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Great input. Love your work mate.
On the bright side this system just got jacked overnight on GFS. EC remained steady as she goes.
I am siding with EC, as GFS 12z looks like beer...
GFS going bold this morning for the 23rd, with a nice little embedded low forming just East of the Bight.
Do like. Hope it stays.
Yep. Pack it up.
Close the lifts and better luck next year.:rolleyes:
10 days is doable, if you had agreement and Ensembles agreement.
Confirmed, no beast.
EC staying with this one, whilst GFS fades. Could go either way but nothing more than 15cm IMO.
MSLP have me thinking somewhere in the realm of a...
Do love that vort @Jwintermix
Enough to shake the money from the tree, so to speak, provided we see some upper level moisture.
Downgrades have always been on the menu for this range as per post #16, given the fighting chance against unsupportive AAO+ trend.
Alas, a week...
Very true @MarzNC :thumbs:
There's very little moisture in the NW (Indo-Australian IO) driven by V cool SSTAs, so whilst the models might show it, I think it'll be...
Yeah, they're out there, don't get me wrong.
But the chances of picking one of those people would be pretty low, I would've thought.
I’d say they have to restrict to US for reasons of T&C’s.
2 nights? I’d doubt it’s airfares included so I wonder if it would even be used by the...
This period is looking quite strong in recent days. Keep the eyes peeled (2-5 Aug), IMO.
I am seeing a cut-off low in recent runs.
Slip sliding away.
@ 6-8 hours duration it'll be lucky to match last night.
GFS is hope, and that's dangerous.
ICON is on board.
With a cut off into the Tasman.
Thredbo TS sitting on -4.3C.
RH robbed us of a few hours here.
Yes, but not as much as a day of warm (>5C) wind + solar.
You'll end up with rhimey surfaces, freezing rain or crusty snow.
It's just water...