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TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
8:45 PM ECT SAT AUG 24 2019
THIS IS FOR THE...
interesting mean ens track.
[ATTACH] [ATTACH] [ATTACH] looks ok.[ATTACH] [ATTACH] [ATTACH]
Morning from a decidedly moody Taitung in SE #Taiwan - severe tropical storm #Bailu is lurking offshore and looks...
HWRF is thinking BAILU will be a elongated system @80+kts max rake. The system it models
behind this it blows up in PI sea.
No gulf for this one cc. https://web.uwm.edu/hurricane-models/models/.
[ATTACH] [ATTACH] [ATTACH]
.[ATTACH] [ATTACH] [ATTACH][ATTACH]
CMC see's 20-25cents @28-29th with a passing V/cold front on paper.
BAILU has excellent divergence aloft for mass air transfer. Also v/good convergence too premote
strong thunder storms within the feeder bands....
If they verify,and with lag maybe a few weeks md sept be my (guess)
GFS ens mean.
[ATTACH] Also [ATTACH]
Brakes on here for me i'm not buying into that bullish forecast atm.But do hope it.verifys.
@Take a plunge
TROPICAL CYCLONE BAILU
(2019-08-21 07:16:21 UTC)
210600Z 15.7N 132.3E 35KT
(+024H) 17.2N 129.0E...
One of the advantages that one should expect from using ensemble-based products, in particular the ensemble mean, instead of a single...
AAO and LW tools will likely be the decider here. @POW_hungry
Current invest 97W
ABPW10 PGTW 200600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE...