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Not good at all, the last thing farmers want to hear is another +IOD.
A friend of mine said the other day that if we got another +IOD and/or El Nino now, Australia wouldn't be able to handle it.
The computer models are all over the shop at the moment and that cold pool has reached the surface, it's up to the atmosphere now.
There is enough cold water down there to fuel a strong La Nina. What happened I think in 2016 was that there was just too much heat to allow the...
There is a battle going on in the Pacific at the moment, GFS is hinting at a westerly wind burst but right next to it, it's going for a trade wind...
The bureau have released the latest outlook, they say the Pacific is continuing to cool.
La Nina usually triggers a positive Southern Annular Mode. Two Sudden Stratospheric Warming events in a row would set off alarm bells because they...
The cold pool is just about to reach the surface in the eastern Pacific, La Nina is trying to get going.
I don't think the agricultural sector could handle another positive Indian Ocean Dipole event or El Nino for that matter.
The bottom has fallen out of the equatorial Pacific heat content and that cold pool is gaining strength, could be a big La Nina if the atmosphere...
CFS is probably reacting to the subsurface cold pool, at least no El Nino or positive Indian Ocean Dipole is predicted.
That subsurface cold pool looks to be getting stronger and decent trade winds are predicted, the best explanation is time.
A lot of farmers and people connected with the agricultural sector would be hoping and praying that Australia's climate drivers will switch this year.
All that heat that was left over from the massive El Nino in 2015 may have finally dissipated. What's the PDO doing?
All we can do is wait and see, it's still early days yet.
Let's hope the atmosphere responds, it could end up being like 2016 in where the ocean cooled but the atmosphere failed to couple with the cooling...
The climate drivers have to switch sooner or later and when they do it's going to be big, look at 2010
Time will tell although a strong La Nina would be good.
Satellite images are showing a reduction in air pollution over countries impacted by Covid-19, I wonder if that will have an impact on our weather?
We might end up in a Super La Nina this year with a strong -IOD to boot. The pattern has to change sooner or later.