july 2021

I've been in two minds about this one. It's looking like a positively-tilted, NW'ly inbounder again, but there's some snow gain in this IMO. Varying levels of agreement (@9 days now). If you're a devout Canadian, you'll love this one as it upgraded to the heavens overnight HERE. Otherwise...

Some might think of this period as a curtain-raiser, interim period but whilst Sydney is in lockdown and Vic is free what better time than now to cloud watch ahead of next weeks action. A few showers sitting on the border Alps at the moment. Doesn't look like much moisture South of the ACT though.

Strong long wave support in this date range, with the possibility of some small top-ups in the dates leading up to 15-19th date range. Showing on both EC Ensembles and GFS, it's got a start IMO. The amplitude at long range is showing big potential for big falls around Friday/Saturday 16/17th...

There's enough in this date range for some reasonable confidence of long-wave influence over the SE region IMO. Ensembles siding with a classic winter set-up, in a flip to the recent few weeks of repetitious cut-off systems. Bring on the SW flow. EC Ensembles: Big nodal support on EC determs: