Off the back of some BBQ discussions, EC ensembles are trending to a decent cold shot through the SE around the 10/11th July. GFS 00z (Determ) has flipped on the lastest run and supports a similar scenario. But use with caution as it's only the deterministic @312 hrs out. GFS ensembles are not yet on board. IMO, this period is in a state of flux with some big upper-level (polar) variables at play, hence the title - given the extended long range, it's a long shot, yet. Bear with us over the next 3-5 days as things will likely swing a bit IMO.