Predictions 11-13th September

[POW Hungry]

Well it's coming together.
Both GFS & EC have some spark left in the season yet. Looks slidey AF, but trending positively.

Has potential for a 10-25cm fall IMO. But to keep expectations in check, right now it's sitting in the 5cm camp.

Smells like a Baw Baw/Buller special IMO.

EC:

GFS:

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

EC likes what is coming to Baw Baw during the date range for this thread.

 

[Young Angus]

Well ain't that swell...hold the line please Hughey

 

[POW Hungry]

GFS Trending:

 

[POW Hungry]

FWIW, EC 12z progs a slider system which falls a little later as a result of it's approach (12-15th).
~20cm in it, as it stands.

 

[Young Angus]

Watching this carefully now as being fortunate enough to be regional VIC we are going to take the opportunity to try and get up before it all melts...hoping the start of next week delivers

 

[Snow Dog]

me2

 

[chriscross]

Hoping the system delivers and some of you can get up there and into it.

 

[POW Hungry]

Looking good on GFS this arvo (00z).

Let’s see what EC has in the bagga tricks.

 

[POW Hungry]

EC showing that 15-25cm glimmer of hope as initially speculated.
We’ll take it!

 

[Kletterer]

3 Hourly plots.

 

[Goanna]

Big upgrade on BoM this afternoon for Perisher/Thredbo.

 

[Young Angus]

Hmm Hotham got a little bump too, nothing quite so good as what Perisher got though

 

[POW Hungry]

Hmm Hotham got a little bump too, nothing quite so good as what Perisher got though

Yeah, allocations are NSW-biased. Not the first time this week.

Jokes aside, different Met office. They'll come round.

 

[POW Hungry]

Oberon Plateau should pick up 3-5cm out this.

 

[Goanna]

Severe weather warning Snowies.

DAMAGING WINDS, averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts in excess of 90 km/h are expected in alpine areas above 1200 metres from early Saturday.

DAMAGING WINDS, averaging 75 to 85 km/h with peak gusts in excess of 120 km/h are expected in alpine peaks above 1900 metres.

Winds are expected to ease during Sunday morning after the passage of the front.

BLIZZARDS are possible.

 

[POW Hungry]

This has backed off in recent runs.
She's a 10-15cm system now IMO.
Part clipper, part backdoor delivery.

 

[Young Angus]

How are we all feeling about how this system will play out up Hotham tomorrow at this stage? Trying to figure out if I try to get out for a ski tomorrow or wait for Monday…regional Vic Melbourne supporter problems I know

 

[Jellybeans]

How are we all feeling about how this system will play out up Hotham tomorrow at this stage? Trying to figure out if I try to get out for a ski tomorrow or wait for Monday…regional Vic Melbourne supporter problems I know

I mean it’s 5-10cm, with possible rain down low earlier on.
I’d focus on finding days to harvest the corn at this time of year.

 

[Young Angus]

Haha who doesn’t like corn