I see a bubble of slightly warmer air between now and tomorrow AM. Enough for snow up high @ Falls though.Will everything that falls from now be snow for 1500m+? Heading down next weekend and got fingers crossed. Cheers.
Westerly wind you mean?Is the westerly aspect a worry for Buller this time? Heading up tomorrow to ski Fri/Sat
I meant the wind, but I get confused if it is the westerly wind or direction of the front?Westerly wind you mean?
By Fri/Sat it's moving into solid neg temps @850hPa, coupled with some North in that wind (lacks the devilish, due West wind) it doesn't warrant too much risk IMO.
Nah I heard about it on Jindy noticeboard... Guy was a customer of one of my best mates..
Should get a top up Friday/Sat but whether it will be enough to open the whole mountain remains to be seen. I'm off to FC on Sunday so looking forward to conditions up there after this event. Hope BB gets plenty.
AXSInteresting little cut/off surface interaction over WA this w/e is looking like a little top-up for the majors by Monday PM.
The interesting thing is the momentum comes from a weakened cut-off interacting with the WA surface trough, which goes on to form an upper level low in the bight.
I think it's got minimum 5-10cm for the majors, with the pot. to surprise with a bit more if it develops more in the bight than the models suggest IMO.
Bugger all chance of a foot down to Bullocks Flat Friday morning, I reckon. Penderlea Gap might be a bit of work, but temps don't duck below 1100m until Friday night, and even then you're talking a few cents IMO.AWD but low clearence. Traction isn't a big issue, but a foot of snow in between the tyres might be. Good thing I'm not driving up there tomorrow ey.