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Predictions 15-21Aug

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by POW_hungry, Aug 10, 2017.

  1. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    That book-ended almost half a foot of rain.
    *According to a bureau managed AWS.
     
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  2. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS 00Z Says 7-10pm tonight could hold up to 15-20cm alone for some parts of the MR.That's over 5 cents and hr!

    Composite radar looks stacked!
     
  3. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator

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    Looks ok on GFS this arvo.
     
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  4. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah temps aren't to bad on EC either. Down to 1400m at best IMO.
     
  5. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Low deepens better in the bight (I had a feeling GFS might be up for that). Gets it down to 992hPa, whilst EC puts it at around 996hPa at the moment. EC upgrades moisture.

    Still, looks ok for a top-up if we get those temps and the follow-up front Tues/Wed.
    Perishaaaah:
     
  6. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator

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    Yep. GFS also showing some good lift/ bouyancy coming in later on Tuesday with still a bit of reasonable available moisture. Could be some moderate little top ups IMO.
     
  7. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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  8. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    The force is strong with this one. The radar looks even hotter than when you posted earlier Pow. Can someone upload 512 km radar.
     
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  9. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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  10. Nidecker

    Nidecker One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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  11. TheCheese

    TheCheese Hard Yards

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    Any predictions on the probability of lightning hold tomorrow at Hotham/Falls?
     
  12. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator

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    CAPE is an indicator for possible thunder so yes is possible IMO
     
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  13. Woodsy1991

    Woodsy1991 Hard Yards

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    What are the conditions looking like at perisher for tomorrow, most importantly the wind and visibility? An improvement on today I hope. Cheers
     
  14. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Between 9-12pm is the risk. Totals Totals = 55 at around 10am (EC).
    Front due around mid-morning will have a series of bands that will have some good instability, I reckon.

    Edit: Directed @TheCheese
     
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  15. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    I wouldn't expect too much of an improvement on 'skiing conditions' tomorrow. But snowfalls tapering off after midday IMO.
     
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  16. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator

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    Yep shes a windy August this year
     
  17. Adamski

    Adamski Addicted

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    Saturday morning at Thredbo?
     
  18. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    One of those days whereby if it wasn't for the lift queues it's probably gonna be 'day of the season' kind if stuff IMO.
    Layer of fresh, dying wind, lifting cloud by the arvo.... IMO It's where I'd wanna be.
     
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  19. Fancy_Pants

    Fancy_Pants Addicted

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    What kind of overnight minimums does the collective expect this weekend? Bom is calling for -10 at Thredbo. I'll be camping somewhere nearby. Brrrr.
     
  20. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Those mins are for Top Station.
    -5/-7C for places like Diggings & Ngarigo sunday AM, IMO.