Predictions 15-21Aug

Kletterer

Thredbo Doughnut Tragic
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Nov 26, 2014
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EC cleared out by Friday.
ec clear.png
 

Kletterer

Thredbo Doughnut Tragic
Moderator
Nov 26, 2014
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Canberra
Basicly a period of air mass advection- in this case veering winds causing warm air advection. Tricky situation regarding air mass movement when topography is included into the equation. Hopefully by late Wed we can return to a more favourable balance.
 
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Mctavish

One of Us
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Jul 19, 2003
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GFS consistently showing high moisture totals. Tuesday definitely wet; Wednesday probably still wet - Maybe late Wednesday goodness returns. Thursday on looking better.
 

Vandans

Addicted
Aug 15, 2012
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what does the dotted line on thursdays Bom 4 dayer signify?
 

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telecrag

Old n' Crusty
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Oct 12, 2007
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Im liking the prog temps after Thursday, but dislike moisture Tues/Wed. Looks a bit two steps back one forward for below 1700, possible gain or equal above?
 

POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
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May 28, 2000
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Haven't looked at the models for a couple of days now, but wow. EC and GFS has the cold air in alot earlier (Thursday AM) with some ball breaking totals.
Thursday Arvo, Friday AM looks solid. That little washout Tuesday/Wednesday 'aint gonna matter too much come Saturday (Welcome to Australia).
 

POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
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May 28, 2000
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I think 30-50cm is likely throughout Thurs/Fri/Sat, with Southern resorts the lower-end of the scale.
Whilst Southern resorts will benefit here, things start to dry out Friday as winds swing out from the SW on Friday.

I do see the potential for low level snow by Friday eve for Hobart Suburbs/Southern Tas above 300m.
Snow to as low as 500/700m for Vic & NSW respectively IMO.
 

Kletterer

Thredbo Doughnut Tragic
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Nov 26, 2014
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vvvvvv.jpeg
The mayhem also means strong likelihood for warm air advection in the vertical- figure on right = higher freeze levels.
 
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Donza

Dogs body...
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Apr 21, 2004
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