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15th-17th May system

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by snowkiter, May 6, 2008.

  1. mad4snow

    mad4snow First Runs

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    i don't agree at all

    i think most of the moisture is going to miss the nsw resorts as the system is moving much faster them first expected.

    There may be some in it this afternoon but all the moisture will be gone tomorrow leaving, a cold but relatively stable air-mass.

    i would say we'd be lucky to get 5-10cm out of it!!!!

    [​IMG]
     
    #201 mad4snow, May 17, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  2. MickyJ007

    MickyJ007 First Runs

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    #202 MickyJ007, May 17, 2008
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  3. Anewts

    Anewts Addicted

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    This system will bring some low level now however will not be anywhere near what the Snowy Mtns received a few weeks ago. Yes its cold, but as mentioned it moves through very quickly, taking away a lot of the moisture with it.
     
  4. Anewts

    Anewts Addicted

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    Yes snow a decent chance for Bathurst and Orange, could snow as far as the NSW/QLD border.
     
  5. MickyJ007

    MickyJ007 First Runs

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    It's only about 7 degrees in and around Melbourne at the moment. Bloody cold for the middle of the day, and in mid May [​IMG]
     
    #205 MickyJ007, May 17, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  6. Luken

    Luken One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    The low is still sitting in Bass straight just to the SSE of Melb. As is moves further east it will spin the nice blob of rain that is currently sitting around Melb ATM and head it straight for the hills. With Orographic (sp*) lifting and the possibility of more heading in from the ESE if the low heads more NE than E, I still reckon a good fall of 30 - 50cm for Hotham Falls area. Not sure about NSW resorts. No one cares about them anyway.. [​IMG]


    There is already that much on the ground at Hotham by the looks and from some reports around Charlotes and higher up at Thredbo.
     
    #206 Luken, May 17, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 25, 2013
  7. MickyJ007

    MickyJ007 First Runs

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    Well the BOM forecasts 11-20mm of precip for NSW today, so that sounds promising.
     
  8. WickedPowder

    WickedPowder Hard Yards

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    #208 WickedPowder, May 17, 2008
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  9. Azz

    Azz One of Us

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    I'll be up here (Hotham) until tomorrow arvo, will report back with amounts for you guys.
     
  10. Alexski

    Alexski Addicted

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    Yes its turned out to be much less precip in NSW resorts than hoped. 3pm summary 0.2mm Perisher, and the not much showing on the radar. Victorian resorts have had around 5-10cm and may yet get some more tonight.
     
  11. BH

    BH One of Us

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    I duuno what radar you guys are looking at but I am seeing heaps of moisture slowly making its way north. Weather it hits the NSW alps is another thing. The bulk of the moisture I reckon will hit NSW early Sunday morning.
     
  12. mad4snow

    mad4snow First Runs

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    yer this system has fizzed. NSW won't get more then a dusting tonight followed by nothing tomorrow. Its not looking good for skiing come opening weekend. We really needed this one to deliver!!!!!
     
  13. willmcc

    willmcc Hard Yards

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    The BOM Melbourne rain radar is showing a rather large amount of precipitation looks to be pushing up towards the mountains
     
  14. Bato

    Bato One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    grrrrr
    There is still 3 weeks till opening, its mid may, most of this will melt anyway.
     
    #214 Bato, May 17, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  15. Louie

    Louie A Local

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    the main band of moisture has not even hit the mainland yet - give it time. Have look at the animated sat pic to see what I mean.
     
    #215 Louie, May 17, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  16. ObsessedWithSnow

    ObsessedWithSnow First Runs

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    not much snow that I see on the cams....only patches [​IMG]
     
    #216 ObsessedWithSnow, May 17, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  17. Luken

    Luken One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    OMG would you all calm down please!!

    This is a major rain/cold event and the best is yet to come for the mountains. Just be patient, anything that is on the ground to date is still a bonus. The bulk of the precip and coldest temps are still to come. Whilst the cold air will result in drier air there is a ship load of precip headed straight at the hills which will get there before the coldest air arrives. Please look at the radar and sat pic and if you still are convinced that NSW will not get more of a sprinkle then you are looking at the wrong charts.
     
  18. willmcc

    willmcc Hard Yards

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    Where is the best place to get these from?
     
    #218 willmcc, May 17, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  19. BH

    BH One of Us

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    Its the middle of MAY!!!!- The long weekend is still 21 days away- Besides the the fact that even if the whole mountain is covered in snow they wont open up more then a few runs!!! i.e- Front Valley for Perisher and Friday Flat and Merrits for Thredbo. Any snow that falls this weekend is pure ground cooling snow unless of course we got a nice 40-50cm that would most likely stick around.
     
    #219 BH, May 17, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  20. Luken

    Luken One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    check weatherzone.com.au Radar and sat pics available on the left + heaps of other cool stuff if you sign up.
     
  21. Annago

    Annago Hard Yards Ski Pass: Gold

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    Agree with Luken, BH et al. BOM radar showing two nice bands heading straight towards the Alps and the Sat pic has the next front still looking good.
     
  22. Louie

    Louie A Local

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    #222 Louie, May 17, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 14, 2013
  23. mad4snow

    mad4snow First Runs

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    Do you ppl have any idea how improbable it is for these systems to eventuate, even now. They are all moving much faster then expected and look now to be dropping further south then predicted even a few hours ago. The moisture levels are also being consistently downgraded and most charts are indicating only between 5-10mm of precipitation tonight. like i said before NSW will be lucky to get between 5-10cm with vic doing a bit better.
     
  24. sidetrack

    sidetrack One of Us

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    Looks like Baw Baw will get smashed in the next 2-4 hours.
     
  25. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    wow I can't believe how much you are all blowing up about this system!!! As BH has said, It's only the middle of may and we are damn lucky to be seeing these kinds of systems coming through so early (mind you it would be a lot better to see them come through in about 2 months time!).
    Anyway, the main thing is this system will drop some snow, it will keep the ground cool & possibly the best feature becoming visible on the models is once this system moves through a large high will become the dominant feature across SE australia and you know what that means? Snowmaking time baby, in a big way [​IMG]
    So, the worst case scenario from this system is unless we have a horrible rain even in the next 2 to 3 weeks (looking unlikely at this stage), we are all going to see at least a man made base on the ground for opening weekend! Who knows, if the follow up system comes through we may open a week early ???
     
    #225 FourSquare04, May 17, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  26. Annago

    Annago Hard Yards Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'll take any precip at the moment Mad4. Radar still looks ok and the rain seemed to hang around the MCG for a while
     
  27. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    i reckon a few people need to take a damn chill pill here. VIC resorts are going to have a great night. and 20mm+ and still falling in melbourne and surrounds is fantastic no matter if it's snowing up top or not.

    You will see 15cms and more at the VIC resorts tomorrow morning.
     
  28. Undies

    Undies Pizza! Ski Pass: Gold

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    That's it, season 2008 is over. What a fizzer.

    Bring on 2009!!!
     
  29. Bato

    Bato One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Dam undies u beat me too it
     
  30. sidetrack

    sidetrack One of Us

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    I dont understand whats wrong with being excited about snow falling??
     
  31. mad4snow

    mad4snow First Runs

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    yer i no stop being so up tight undies and bato. There r gonna be many mroe systems this season stop being such smart asses.
     
  32. BH

    BH One of Us

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    Is this a bad thing-Its all good at this time of year!!! I still think we may see more then 5-10cm a huge band of Moisture has left Melbourne and is making a bee line for the resorts.
     
    #232 BH, May 17, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  33. the_guru

    the_guru One of Us

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    The smell excites me.
     
    #233 the_guru, May 17, 2008
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  34. Undies

    Undies Pizza! Ski Pass: Gold

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    [​IMG] @ mad and co. I love this time of year.

    Bit more moisture coming up now, with a little precip over the Brindies at the moment. They're so perty with a dusting.
     
    #234 Undies, May 17, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  35. mad4snow

    mad4snow First Runs

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    i think ur dreaming if u actually believe there is going to be snow on the brindies in the morning!!!
     
  36. Annago

    Annago Hard Yards Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'll take any precip at the moment Mad4. Radar still looks ok and the rain seemed to hang around the MCG for a while
     
  37. BH

    BH One of Us

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    The Brindabella's sit at around 1000m-ASL. I think snow there tonight would be more then 50/50 chance. Hardly in the dreaming category.
     
    #237 BH, May 17, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  38. clubbiesnowsnob

    clubbiesnowsnob Hard Yards

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    take a few roundabouts and get up to the Brindies
     
  39. the_guru

    the_guru One of Us

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    looks like there is something on it's way.
     
  40. WickedPowder

    WickedPowder Hard Yards

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    The tallest peaks in the brindies exceed 1800m - From Mt Bimberi to Mt Ginni the two ridges are both higher than 1500m, there will be snow on the brindies tommorrow morning.
     
  41. Outlooker

    Outlooker Addicted

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    Mad4snow=CoreyWorthington. Nobody wants to hear your s%$# anytway. Crawl back into your hole.
     
  42. oreo

    oreo One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    don't hold back outlooker, tell him what you think...
     
  43. DeesOnSkis

    DeesOnSkis One of Us

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    Damn right. With some more snow showers during the morning by the
    look of it.
     
    #243 DeesOnSkis, May 18, 2008
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  44. Ozpow

    Ozpow Hard Yards

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    Been snowing hard @ Falls Ck for the last few hours - say its close to 20cm now..
     
  45. snowishing

    snowishing Hard Yards

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    undies, you wouldn't have happened to be in hakuba in january this year?
     
  46. Riggs

    Riggs Hard Yards

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    Brindies have a nice white blanket this morning.
     
  47. mad4snow

    mad4snow First Runs

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    wow i sure picked this one for the nsw resorts and u jokers were talkin up 40-50cm. lol. If any of u want some snow tipping advice please don't be afraid to ask!!!!!!
     
  48. mad4snow

    mad4snow First Runs

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    #248 mad4snow, May 18, 2008
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  49. Wodonga Josh

    Wodonga Josh Part of the Furniture

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    Mad4snow....thats no way toearn respect. If you think your forcasting skills are so good and that your so tought, then come in the snow tipping comp, and see where you end up.
     
  50. Dylan

    Dylan Hard Yards

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    and how about that statement?
     
    #250 Dylan, May 18, 2008
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