Predictions 16-21st June System

POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
Moderator
Ski Pass
May 28, 2000
23,032
36,863
1,063
Eastern Burbs of Sydney
Yeah, let’s see if it gets there.
Not completely sold on it myself.

The occluded front is the Brany in the pudding for Friday when it draws in from the South behind Tas.
 

Donza

Dogs body...
Ski Pass
Platinum
Apr 21, 2004
125,590
80,148
3,563
woonona
Yeah, let’s see if it gets there.
Not completely sold on it myself.

The occluded front is the Sherry in the pudding for Friday when it draws in from the South behind Tas.
I'm very much in the one model run at a time mode.

AXS throws out 15cm in 3 hours for mine...
7pm tomorrow evening.
Pretty decent timing for a event..
 

7wombathead

One of Us
Aug 4, 2010
1,922
1,613
363
South
AXS-C is on weatherzone layers.

I presume R is still kicking on the BOM site?
Access R at < 72 hrs is not up on the BOM site, they call it Access G3.

Rodger that Pow. I miss the old access R but Access G3 seems the same at less than < 72 hrs.

Agree it does look bullish.
 
  • Like
Reactions: POW Hungry

Kletterer

Thredbo Doughnut Tragic
Moderator
Nov 26, 2014
21,906
26,214
1,063
Canberra
xx_model-en-304-0_modez_2021061500_81_41597_294.png
 

PowWow

Addicted
Aug 26, 2010
210
167
113
Perisher - BOM have upgraded a bit today. Looking at yr.no, it appears that EC have moisture arriving at the right time with cold air (just). After glancing at the national radar / satellite... I'm gonna say... 15cm for Perisher.

This seems about as useful as looking at all the flip / flop charts. :out:

p.s. I've named this one "The Consolidator". It'll save all those poor bastards I saw bogged in trees with no base on the weekend.
 
Last edited:

Mister Tee on XC Skis

Not your average unconventional eccentric.
Ski Pass
Jul 29, 2015
11,105
11,418
813
Melbourne, Lockdown-i-stan .
soundcloud.com

snowgum

A Local
Ski Pass
May 4, 1999
5,912
4,378
563
54
vic
I notice Jane saying snow above 1800m Today/Tomorrow.
Looking at AXS-C it looks good for snow above 1600m, at least IMO.
This mixed f/cast - messenging does my head in. 1600m can be OK for Falls/Hotham - 1800m forget it.
 

POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
Moderator
Ski Pass
May 28, 2000
23,032
36,863
1,063
Eastern Burbs of Sydney
For much of today/tonight in Victoria, according to AXS-C:
~1440m ASL is ~3°C puts FL around 1700m
700mb (3000m/mid-level atmosphere) -5°C
500mb (upper levels at 5540m) -23°C

That generally indicates snow will easily fall below 1600/1700m with shower activity.
Snow >1800m for today/tonight in Vic resorts is overly pessimistic IMO.
 

Donza

Dogs body...
Ski Pass
Platinum
Apr 21, 2004
125,590
80,148
3,563
woonona
For much of today/tonight in Victoria, according to AXS-C:
~1440m ASL is ~3°C puts FL around 1700m
700mb (3000m/mid-level atmosphere) -5°C
500mb (upper levels at 5540m) -23°C

That generally indicates snow will easily fall below 1600/1700m with shower activity.
Snow >1800m for today/tonight in Vic resorts is overly pessimistic IMO.
I've got a feeling Jane hasn't really looked at it....
 
Remove ads with a
Ski Pass

Log in

or Log in using
Learn how membership works on these forums
Remove ads with a
Ski Pass