It snowed over 6 calender days in 2019 (overnight mainly) July, August and September 2019 Canberra, one of those snowfalls was a brief flurry at the AFL. It was snowing moderately last September in Canberra's west. The last major settled snowfall in Canberra was in May 2000 where up to 15cm fell heavily in the suburbs of Weetangera and Hawker amongst other locations, these are two of Canberra's most elevated suburbs which are slightly under 670m above sea level. The northwest suburbs of Canberra, in particular, Nicholls , Taylor and Casey are usually Canberra's snowiest suburbs and receive annual snowfall usually once per year on average.
BOM still bullish. Thredbo Forecast View the current warnings for New South Wales Forecast issued at 4:45 am EST on Friday 21 August 2020. Forecast for the rest of Friday Summary Max -4 Snow showers. Windy. Possible rainfall: 25 to 60 mm Chance of any rain: 100% Alpine area Cloudy. Very high (95%) chance of snow showers. The chance of a thunderstorm this afternoon and evening. Winds west to northwesterly 35 to 55 km/h. Saturday 22 August Summary Min -6 Max -5 Snow showers. Windy. Possible rainfall: 10 to 30 mm Chance of any rain: 90% Alpine area Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of snow showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon. Winds westerly 35 to 55 km/h. Sun protection recommended from 10:30 am to 1:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate] Sunday 23 August Summary Min -5 Max -3 Snow showers. Windy. Possible rainfall: 2 to 4 mm Chance of any rain: 90% Alpine area Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of snow showers. Winds southwesterly 25 to 40 km/h tending west to southwesterly 35 to 50 km/h during the morning.
Speckled cloud west of Tassie does not have much NE trajectory, more E, so perhaps much of the polar maritime air from Antarctic coast will be directed thru Bass Strait. Have a close look at WZ Vic sat loop. 10 am BOM MSLP update should start to show the trend.
Go silver sovereign! Blackheath: many dangling chains. A few showers and arse cold. Looks like just a few flurries here later tonight but hopefully more.
Ok Weather Guru’s - am I being too optimistic? Can the NW moisture get across to join the cold SW airstream and hit the alps before the cold air heads too far east?
In short, no. A lot of what you're seeing is sitting at between 200-400mb in height, which is virtually in the jetstream. Anything 'leapfrogging' the ridge will have little/no bearing on moisture inclusion on the current system. Anything below this level will be brushed south by the ridge.
To be fair you probably don't want the moisture coming in from there anyway. There's not very much in it for the west coast either, some showers are expected in the SW but that's mostly due to a weak low approaching the capes.
Bom now have snow to 500m in there forecast for southern vic Tommoz! Hopefully see some decent bursts of snow here in heavier showers.
Another perspective. The cloud coming in from the Indian Ocean IS in the jetstream which is gently curving over Oz and exiting the east coast where you see that bit of cloud over the most eastern extremity of the continent at 6 pm tonight. See WZ jet stream map.So it is not only at a higher level in the atmosphere than the speckled Bight cloud but is not being directed down to Vic. IMO it is going to force the Antarctic air away from a wanted by skiers NE trajectory and make it go E thru Bass Strait, which from the Sat loops is what it is appearing to do. Any cold air hitting say the NSW Central Tablelands is devoid of moisture by virtue of its low temp and won't produce any great depth of snow.
Pretty much thinking the blue mountains will be getting a dusting around midnight or just after.So its only a few hour away. And the wee hours on sunday morning even better.
I'm thinking if we are to get any here in the Southern Highlands it's similar - now 5 degrees with a few showers so not too far to go. Another slight chance late afternoon tomorrow
That’s not what the satellite pic is showing, do you have further info? It seems to show it is blocking it I remember an event in the second week of October 1987 where an upper level jet stream Interacted with a surge from the south and it snowed in Canberra and the BOM guy explained why?
Best chance for snow in Jindy around 7:30-8pm tonight IMO. Trof working its way through southern Vic ATM
Ah, yes, weather observing v forecasting. Low almost parked over Tas for last 12 hours so now SW flow across SE mainland OZ . A 45 degree shift has made all the difference.
Hi guys, would anyone please care to comment on the weather for tomorrow at Perisher? Windy? Cloud/fog/snow etc Wanting to know where to ride tomorrow, in resort or out. Hoping to go out if the wind and vis is OK. Thanks.
Will be socked in for much of the day tomorrow at Peri IMO. Bit of snow (2-5cm) and 15-20 knot westerlies.
Sleet earlier at 7pm at my location next to Stadium. Radar indicates more sleet 25 minutes away. 3.5 degrees.
