Keep pumping the info in stormk it’s much appreciated! This system only needs a small upgrade and it could be quite cold and fruitful for probably mainly southern vic imo
Tassey cops the full brunt of this one again imo Those highs are just flattening the systems enough to take the edge off imo
Thanks stormkite (and all the regulars too), I really appreciate the model runs and insight you post on here! Just because there isn't a lot of posts on the thread doesn't mean there isn't there isn't interest for people like me that watch from the sidelines! Definately looks like system that favours the southern resorts open for regional vic's and I'm hopeful for 10-15cm for Buller/Baw Baw but it may need a little upgrade to see that.
Plenty of sideline interest here. Cant really post much as you blokes cover off on most things so well it doesnt leave much unsaid. We are just about to enter the 4 day period so now interest will increase even more although with things are as they are in Melbourne and this looking predominantly a Vic event ................... I think a lot are still in awe of the last little accumulation and are probably out there enjoying it.
Ms.Bunn is not predicting anything like what NSW got recently. NEXT 7 DAYS Mt Buller: 8cm Mt Hotham: 6cm Falls Creek: 4cm Mt Baw Baw: 6cm Perisher: 5cm Thredbo: 5cm Charlotte Pass: 7cm Selwyn: 3cm Lake Mountain: 6cm Mt Stirling: cm Ben Lomond: cm Mt Mawson: cm
Outside of dates and only an obs ,damn chilly this morning at the high perch ( -2.5c) no wind and clear skies. I am not seeing a lot of the white stuff in this upcoming little clipper and less for NSW ,5 -10 if we are lucky.
Yup, as expected EC upgrades moisture. Here 5-10cm from Sunday Night IMO. Down as low as 800m for Southern Vic. Baw Baw should do orright Monday out of the SW.
Would it be silly to still feel like there might be a bit more of an upgrade yet before this one comes through?? Just feels like day by day it’s slowly getting colder and may produce more snow than expected. IMO Some good cold air building nicely to the south that’s going to push up west of tassey imo
BOM update for Thredbo Sunday 19 July Summary Min -3 Max 1 Snow showers. Very windy. Possible rainfall: 6 to 15 mm Chance of any rain: 90% Alpine area Partly cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of snow showers, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Winds northwesterly 35 to 50 km/h increasing to 50 to 70 km/h in the afternoon, then tending westerly in the evening. Sun protection recommended from 11:40 am to 12:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate] Monday 20 July Summary Min -5 Max -2 Snow showers. Windy. Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm Chance of any rain: 90% Alpine area Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of snow showers, most likely in the morning. Winds westerly 50 to 70 km/h decreasing to 35 to 50 km/h during the morning then turning southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h during the afternoon.
NEXT 7 DAYS Mt Buller: 19cm Mt Hotham: 15cm Falls Creek: 11cm Mt Baw Baw: 11cm Perisher: 9cm Thredbo: 9cm Charlotte Pass: 15cm Selwyn: 7cm Lake Mountain: 12cm Mt Stirling: 21cm Ben Lomond: 7cm Mt Mawson: 33cm
Above Pretty much forecasting what Global models have been indicating mostly within the runs. There has always been a small window for flakes.
Only a little high cloud ,mostly sunny and no wind at all on the western side. Quite warm as well at 11c.
Go southern VIC we need something to keep us going right now, a few flakes would be very welcome indeed.
Baw Baw might get some well needed snow. Last year in August 2019 the whole BB Plateau had at least a metre of snow on it. Mt.St. Phillack's rock cairn was buried!!
