Yeah some systems have a tendency to show up in the long term, vanish for a few days, and then suddenly come back.Pretty solid alignment between EC, GFS and CMC which is interesting considering this system wasn't really showing up on any of their models a few runs ago
GFS showing some very good low level totals for Tas and Vic in particular
GFS flip flopping… There’s no need for a date change based on one run.Maybe the date range need to adjusted to the 1st July.
The classic Aussie snail snow front pattern. The head comes first and the shell behind it.
Then GFS dogs it again.
The upper level low looks pretty strong. Cutoff core of -33 or so.I’m not really seeing too much
Then again I don’t have the high res
Yes can definitely see the potentialThe upper level low looks pretty strong. Cutoff core of -33 or so.
MSLP charts look a bit meh past the 3rd. The high slips underneath and cradles the low.
Strong on the 2nd.
Swings and roundabouts.
Thats pretty much position perfect for Potential.
I think it's best you stop taking every run of EC as gospel.Another underwhelming run at the modelling for the forecasting and prediction period of July 2-6th,
this morning from the EC.
NEXT 7 DAYS
These low pressure systems keep appearing on weekends and not snowing enough, if at all. Is the Grand Poobah in the sky p*ss*ng in our pockets?
If it started with 10-15cm from a westerly front before cutting off and coming in from the east and then moved on quickly (rather than lingering with mild damp like we've even getting) allowing a rapid return to cold clear snowmaking nights with good freezes, yes, otherwise I'd prefer high pressure and cold nights till the next sw front blows in.I think it's best you stop taking every run of EC as gospel.
GFS for the last few days has been throwing up another 30cm plus system for jindy and the east. Honestly wouldn't mind another beast from the east, lower slopes of Thredders need it
What do you mean ? Done and dusted( i.e certain to occur) or stick a fork in it , it is done as in finished, kaput , a non event etc.?It's done.
Yes, it looks cold but not very snowy. The four day rule must be invoked . By Wed. morning it would be a good time decide what it might actually do. Us Victorians will take anything we can get after hardly any skiing happening in 2020.Not sure what this system is going to produce any more lol
Jane’s ec model suggests a max of 5c up here next Saturday so it’s cold.
Yes, This morning 's EC run looks a bit better .EC likes it