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Predictions 21st August on. Ye god's.

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Donzah, Aug 11, 2018.

  1. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looking incredible.
    At 200hrs plus.
     
    POW_hungry, Ret-ro, SMSkier and 2 others like this.
  2. Seafm

    Seafm Too far from the snow Ski Pass: Gold

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    Are we looking at a 3mt season?
     
  3. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    Sign of EPS Support. Tick.
     
  4. teckel

    teckel Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Watch for the inevitable downgrade :(

    Like your cropping - "elated links". LOL
     
  5. Kopite

    Kopite One of Us

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    Hmmmmmmmmm do I stick or twist??? Looking at maybe heading down Monday to Perisher, but do I delay in prospect of this bad boy developing!?! Decisions to be made....
     
    oldgeezer likes this.
  6. Ret-ro

    Ret-ro One of Us

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    I think you have something there!.. One of the experts (ie everyone quotes them) says that the max level of snow will be attained this week, for the season. Well I don't think it will. 2.5 is possible. 3m would be very nice.
     
    Infinity Dawn and Kopite like this.
  7. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    Who?
     
  8. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Peak depth is typically first week Sept
     
  9. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Windy.com EC visualisation looks pretty sweet - last frame available is still Monday 20th but you can see....

     
    Majikthise likes this.
  10. glengary

    glengary One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Make hay while the sun shines, better still do two trips.
     
  11. snowblowa

    snowblowa One of Us

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    #tripleyolker
     
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  12. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah, looks ok.
    GFS has it ridged out. Needs to come a long way to align but I think it’s good for maybe ~30cm .
     
    SMSkier and Claude Cat like this.
  13. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    What have we here ? Stacked and cut loose.
     
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  14. Kopite

    Kopite One of Us

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    You sir, are a wise man!
     
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  15. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    what ... only a 1 foot storm!
     
  16. Ret-ro

    Ret-ro One of Us

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    Fman.. swatch was the man, its in his summary, came up on my fb feed
    I completely disagree and offered a little wager..
     
  17. Lady Penelope

    Lady Penelope One of some lot ... Ski Pass: Gold

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    Ummm .... The ubiquitous frog (sorry, Steve) has forecast some rain for Perisher on Tuesday 21st August. Long way out, I know, but it concerns me as I will be at Smiggins/Perisher for that week and friends were considering joining us on ... Tuesday. Any thoughts this early in the piece?
     
    oldgeezer, Ret-ro and FourSquare04 like this.
  18. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    That guy only reads GFS. GFS forecasts rain maybe snow later. EC snow throughout. We unfortunately have to be patient with this one.
     
  19. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    No offence . Please don't quote the frog
     
  20. Marty_McSly

    Marty_McSly Backwards to the future! Ski Pass: Gold

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    4 day rule.
     
  21. Lady Penelope

    Lady Penelope One of some lot ... Ski Pass: Gold

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    :D Point taken.
     
  22. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    John McEnroe-
     
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  23. chicski

    chicski A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    He only updates Monday to Friday. Check it now, no rain. Weatherzone (GFS?) gives an almost identical forecast and has backed off on the numbers.
     
  24. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    BOM still showing some tears on Tuesday for PV. But only enough to put some slick down. And maybe gone in today's arvo update?
     
  25. Mattoman

    Mattoman Hard Yards

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    Bit of moisture around... Still a long way out.

    [​IMG]
     
  26. Ret-ro

    Ret-ro One of Us

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    Fair comment.
     
  27. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Stay on topic.
     
  28. snowblowa

    snowblowa One of Us

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    Polite and friendly? LOL
     
  29. Mattoman

    Mattoman Hard Yards

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    Moisture is there IMO, what about the temps?

    [​IMG]
     
  30. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    A bit of prefrontal for the first hour or so based on GFS.

    EC's a ridger though.
     
  31. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    IMO EC has gone right off this one.
     
    Jellybeans likes this.
  32. jonathanc

    jonathanc One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Access seems to like it...
     
  33. Hermon

    Hermon One of Us

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    Access-G just looks weird with that 'mother-of-all-ECLs' in the Tasman Sea....
     
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  34. Mattoman

    Mattoman Hard Yards

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    Looks interesting IMO... Too far out still.

    [​IMG]

    Looking forward to watching this forecast play out over the next few days...

    [​IMG]

    How's EC looking CC?
     
  35. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Urgh. Southerly. That Axs chart can take a hike.
    Not much snow, and what there is will be blasted to shizen by the wind. Coral reef for days.
     
  36. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    EC shows a fair amount of moisture and cold. Looks like 10-30cm IMO.
     
  37. jonathanc

    jonathanc One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Yep, weird is the right word for it
     
  38. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    No chart on the same page again this Arvo.
    Wait and see. ..
     
  39. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    IMO this looks dead to me.
     
  40. IAB

    IAB A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Well that unescalated quickly.
     
    dawooduck, Undies, mx_boarder and 3 others like this.
  41. Chales Guthrie

    Chales Guthrie Hard Yards

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    ROFL
     
  42. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    If there are still piles of snow about at the end of August then I will ski again if my gammy leg has healed by then!!Keep the predictions coming :).I could even do a KNP trip early next month !
     
  43. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    There's a pulse.
    Hopefully some rain as well from a onshore flow
     
    Chales Guthrie likes this.
  44. Belly

    Belly A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    I've been following this date range for the last week or though due to Splitfest the following weekend. Posted similar in BC thread but it has been looking zonal and marginal the whole time. Good outcome would be a 10cm top up and cold temps above 1500. Most models are showing a nice little follow up swipe to this weekends front.
     
  45. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    A dusting at best now. IMO
     
    skiflat and Donzah like this.
  46. Belly

    Belly A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah the immediate follow up progression disappeared (you were right) but a bit of a dusting for Friday by the looks. Should be an interesting snowpack by the 24th ;)
     
    Claude Cat likes this.
  47. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Another 15cm
     
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  48. Mattoman

    Mattoman Hard Yards

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    Hoping this comes off, but I'm predicting about a 5cm dusting... The weekend that follows is currently looking pretty ugly IMO.
     
    FourSquare04 likes this.
  49. Hermon

    Hermon One of Us

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    A bit of a warm spell next weekend, but August 28 could be epic and repair any damage.
     
    Mattoman likes this.
  50. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    Next weekend looks like a horrible rain event at this point - yuck