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Predictions 21st August on. Ye god's.

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Donzah, Aug 11, 2018.

  1. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    20cm Monday imo
     
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  2. telecrag

    telecrag Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    BOM have downgraded moisture, but upgraded temps for the MR (ie lower temps)
     
  3. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Strong cold front through Sunday Monday
     
  4. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    This Sunday / Monday?
    Can't see squat over the alps.
     
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  5. telecrag

    telecrag Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    BOM going -10 to -2 top station.......Mon and Tues
     
  6. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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  7. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    There's nothing there IMO

    [​IMG]


    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    What there is, is blocked by Tasmania.
    I'd be shocked if we see even 1cm out of this.

    IMO
     
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  8. telecrag

    telecrag Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    So, if we moved Tasmania....?
     
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  9. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    [​IMG]
     
  10. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Those charts are wrong.... Or incorrect.
    Here is EC at 72
     
  11. Untele-whippet

    Untele-whippet beard stroker Ski Pass: Gold

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    You could marry your sister/mother/daughter.....
     
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  12. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Nuffin there. (IMO)

    [​IMG]
     
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  13. cin

    cin Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    And your kids might need 3 skis each!
    So have even numbers so you can get best value out of the extra ski purchase
     
    blueandwhite likes this.
  14. telecrag

    telecrag Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Just looking at that, you never know, those little blobs have to be hard to predict?
     
    7wombathead likes this.
  15. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    Snow down to 250m asl in tassey with Tommoz nights front!
     
  16. Hermon

    Hermon One of Us

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    Yep, it's going to be a shock to the system after this weekend's warmth. Some savage frosts in the mix too this week...
     
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  17. glengary

    glengary One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Monday and Tuesday very cold but also very dry. A bit in it for Tas. but 1-5cm for B.B. and the rest will have to wait until the next system.
     
    doogasnow likes this.
  18. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    Be following tassey with this one, interesting to see how low there snow gets?
     
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  19. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Fantastic alignment of temps in the atmos profile for tomorrow ~10pm. Snow should easily fall to ~300m ASL in the SW of Tas IMO. If the DGZ is there, it could fall to just below 200m IMO.

    Below is for Maatsuyker Island (10pm tomorrow):
    [​IMG]
     
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  20. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    I reckon southern vic could get pretty chilly with this one as well? IMO
    528 line is not far away at all through Tommoz night early Monday morning
    IMO
    Maybe 5-10mm with it.
    Both gfs and accessg look to have slightly upgraded in regards to how cold this thing could get.
     
  21. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Nah, you've got some warm air advection at around 700mb, so might get as low as 800m Monday 4 am for your area IMO, drying up pretty quick by then too.
     
    Claude Cat likes this.
  22. The Fallen

    The Fallen One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Personally, I'm just watching this one as it's a little unique.... We have a low that started life in the bight, headed north through SA, tickled NT, took a right turn into QLD and is currently feeding off Coral Sea moisture and building rotation over Hungerford.

    Tomorrow, it will take a trip to Newcastle where it will deepen and really start to feed. IT will then drift South where it will get a solid kick up the ass from the next cold front....

    Thanks to the lows rotation, the cold front will then get slungshot north back towards the Gong and SydCo....

    Predicting this one is like herding cats... sit back and just enjoy. In My Opinion.
     
    FourSquare04, Lifes2good and nfip like this.