22-25 Aug Obs

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by MickM, Aug 22, 2006.

  1. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2005
    Messages:
    71,679
    Likes Received:
    26,139
    Location:
    Cranhole, Melbourne, VIC
    hate to say i told you so.

    it was never going to happen [​IMG]
     
    #201 Vermillion, Aug 24, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  2. rossi

    rossi First Runs

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2006
    Messages:
    1,218
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    CANE TOAD COUNTRY
    The 5400 line is progged to be above the Vic resorts early tomorrow and this is pretty consistent with the cold southerly fetch that is creeping northward thru Bass Straight at the moment.

    If you look at the BOM sat pic you can see the cold speckled air mass moving north slowly and the temperatures at some AWS are starting to drop very slowly as they come under the influence of the southerly flow.

    I think that there is a chance of some snow tonite and tomorrow morning particularly in the Victorian resorts.

    The more northerly and eastern facing areas may not fare so well due to the lingering influence created by todays system. Plus, the NSW resorts appear to have much more to make up for in terms of cover than Hotham and Falls who didn't seem to record as much rain.

    There is still some hope I think, so check the cams in the morning around ten, it could be interesting.
     
    #202 rossi, Aug 24, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  3. thepass

    thepass First Runs

    Joined:
    Jun 4, 2006
    Messages:
    113
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    Canberra
    If it was in the minus' all today and last night how much snow would be on the ground since this system came? Because their was a big amount of rain. And in the last hour thredbo top station has seen 12.6mm of rain.
     
  4. Taipan

    Taipan Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 5, 2001
    Messages:
    27,403
    Likes Received:
    3,155
    Location:
    Currently NSW North Coast
    25-30 cm

    Last 24 hours has seen around 25mm of rain. Roughly in Australia you can expect 1mm = 1+cm.

    Lets see what happens tonight. Rain was expected in this system, and then followed cooler air and snow.

    Also note the wind is still out of the NW. Wait for it to swing w and then south for the cold air.
     
  5. Style Doggie

    Style Doggie Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2003
    Messages:
    213
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    Sydney
    I hope your right but it looks to me that by the time the cooler air mass arrives most of the moisture will have left the building. I guess first light will reveal all.
     
  6. BrumbyJack

    BrumbyJack First Runs

    Joined:
    May 10, 2000
    Messages:
    19,669
    Likes Received:
    1
    Location:
    Jindabyne :-)
    An amazing amount of rain fell at Thredbo today (and PB apparently).

    There was inches of water lying over the snow on high noon and the Supertrail today, but surprisingly the snow was still pretty good. Scarey to see so much rain fall.

    At the Basin it was sleet/freezing rain, damned painful with the wind (and zero visibility).

    I hope it cools down fast, was 8 degrees in the village today.
     
    #206 BrumbyJack, Aug 24, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  7. Outlooker

    Outlooker Addicted

    Joined:
    Mar 20, 2003
    Messages:
    966
    Likes Received:
    140
    Location:
    Northern Beaches, Sydney
    Seen this all before in July 2003. Massive amounts of rain (I think about 100mm)then followed by about 10cm of snow which made the skiing good the next day. Big issue this year is that we have no base.
     
  8. tot

    tot Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Mar 12, 2005
    Messages:
    302
    Likes Received:
    36
    Location:
    perth
    10 news perth stated that the WA south coast has its first spring front setting up. apparently the spring fronts take some of the power out of the systems heading east [​IMG] . certainly feels like winter is trying to finish.
     
    #208 tot, Aug 24, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  9. mumbo

    mumbo Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Jun 9, 2005
    Messages:
    41
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    Cronulla.NSW
    The Weather Channel at 5pm's snow report said PB 20cms for tomorrow :rolleyes: Ha. Would be nice if they were right ,especially as COLA has downgraded from 5-10cms to 1-5 cms. Temps are dropping slightly though. Think my week from Sunday will be cut short unless Blue Cow(higher) is OK. Dont know if they got something out of todays moisture. Hope Rossi is right!
     
  10. rossi

    rossi First Runs

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2006
    Messages:
    1,218
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    CANE TOAD COUNTRY
    There are some good negative numbers appearing in Tasmania at the moment. Mt Wellington and some other areas are in the minus'.

    If the fetch can make it up to VIC lets hope the cold and some orographics can generate the moisture.

    But the current warm blanket of mid level moisture needs to shift first.

    I think the southerly maritime air will bring precipitation of the positive kind but its a question of how far north this gets.
     
  11. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2005
    Messages:
    71,679
    Likes Received:
    26,139
    Location:
    Cranhole, Melbourne, VIC
    wont happen. TAS got the temps but not quite the amount of moisture, mainland got the moisture but not the temps. And it wasnt just like half a degree or so off, it was a good 2C off being snow.
     
  12. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 12, 2000
    Messages:
    76,243
    Likes Received:
    41,040
    Location:
    Les Hautes Montagnes
    Lightly raining.
     
  13. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2005
    Messages:
    71,679
    Likes Received:
    26,139
    Location:
    Cranhole, Melbourne, VIC
    gotta drop 2.5C minimum before that turns to snow, and thats not going to happen any time soon.
     
  14. smeer

    smeer First Runs

    Joined:
    Sep 10, 2004
    Messages:
    54
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    Canberra, Australia
    this country sucks.
     
  15. skiflat

    skiflat Old n' Crusty

    Joined:
    Aug 10, 1999
    Messages:
    37,017
    Likes Received:
    326
    Umm well you do live in Canberra! Sorry VSG :out:
     
    #215 skiflat, Aug 25, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  16. skiflat

    skiflat Old n' Crusty

    Joined:
    Aug 10, 1999
    Messages:
    37,017
    Likes Received:
    326
    Hotham just into the negatives, and Buller about 1degree at the moment.

    Not much more precip to come through for Vic now, the Fat lady has sung once again!
     
  17. the_guru

    the_guru One of Us

    Joined:
    May 30, 2002
    Messages:
    3,135
    Likes Received:
    10
    Location:
    On Location!
    Been snowing since about 5am, only a couple of cm's so far. Let's see how long it lasts.
    You forecasters are funny.
    With the past trends in weather perhaps we will not get much snow at all out of this system, but anything can happen, there is no way of telling no matter how well you can read the charts.
     
  18. Mattus

    Mattus First Runs

    Joined:
    Jun 25, 2002
    Messages:
    671
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    Wollongong
    Perisher cams show a definite fall of snow all the way to the car park level.

    If it continues during the day I will be very [​IMG]
     
    #218 Mattus, Aug 25, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  19. thepass

    thepass First Runs

    Joined:
    Jun 4, 2006
    Messages:
    113
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    Canberra
    Charlotte Pass reported 2cm of snow. But if you look at the snow cam it looks much much better then that
     
  20. rossi

    rossi First Runs

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2006
    Messages:
    1,218
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    CANE TOAD COUNTRY
    tsk, tsk.
     
    #220 rossi, Aug 25, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  21. the_guru

    the_guru One of Us

    Joined:
    May 30, 2002
    Messages:
    3,135
    Likes Received:
    10
    Location:
    On Location!
    Snowing pretty hard now, have to sign off. Will update this evening.
     
  22. rossi

    rossi First Runs

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2006
    Messages:
    1,218
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    CANE TOAD COUNTRY
    Told ya all last night it was gonna snow.

    Not putting any great depths in this but the fetch is still looking good for a day of on an off snow.
     
  23. longinforearly90s

    longinforearly90s First Runs

    Joined:
    Jul 11, 2006
    Messages:
    104
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    queanbeyan
    Well done style doggie. i cancelled my Sept trip to Hotham, lost $300 and booked a week in Methven. Whole trip will cost only $2000!. Hey if Hutt's shut you've got plenty of other options like Porters or Broken River. Porters has its best snow in 25years!
     
  24. rossi

    rossi First Runs

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2006
    Messages:
    1,218
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    CANE TOAD COUNTRY
    My mate at Falls reports it is now snowing heavier there.
     
  25. tomtankman

    tomtankman Addicted

    Joined:
    May 12, 2003
    Messages:
    261
    Likes Received:
    142
    Location:
    Sydney
    The forecast snow level is the lowest level that snow is expected to fall in the 24 hour period. The forecast snow amount is the average across all resorts. So it is not 5-10cm for everywhere above 1400m. That forecast is probably for 10cm on the peaks and <1cm <1500m.
     
    #225 tomtankman, Aug 25, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 25, 2013
  26. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    18,265
    Likes Received:
    22,594
    Location:
    Eastern Burbs of Sydney
    Snowing on Buller, on and off since about 5am this morning. Lightly snowing at the moment.
    Just a dusting- 1cm at the moment.
     
  27. Heli

    Heli A Local

    Joined:
    Jun 15, 2000
    Messages:
    8,158
    Likes Received:
    205
    Location:
    Macedon Ranges, Victoria
    Steady good snow since 0500 at Dinner Plain, with little sign of easing. About 3" so far, it's even settled on the mesh top to the ski basket, so it must be heavy [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
    #227 Heli, Aug 25, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  28. IAB

    IAB A Local Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 20, 2005
    Messages:
    8,768
    Likes Received:
    8,106
    Location:
    The Shire, Sydney
    Wow!

    [​IMG]
     
    #228 IAB, Aug 25, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  29. Cliff-jumper_2000

    Cliff-jumper_2000 First Runs

    Joined:
    Mar 24, 2000
    Messages:
    3,022
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    Vic, Australia
    Looks sweet looks like its pumping down! Plenty of precip comming in from the SE heading to the alps so if this came continue all day we will be sitting pretty possibly that luck i was talking about pages and pages ago [​IMG]
     
    #229 Cliff-jumper_2000, Aug 25, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  30. skiflat

    skiflat Old n' Crusty

    Joined:
    Aug 10, 1999
    Messages:
    37,017
    Likes Received:
    326
    Hotham/Falls look like they have got well over 10cms so far.

    Buller looks minimal
     
  31. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    18,265
    Likes Received:
    22,594
    Location:
    Eastern Burbs of Sydney
    Snowing steadily/solidly. 1-2cm in the last hour and half.
     
  32. IAB

    IAB A Local Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 20, 2005
    Messages:
    8,768
    Likes Received:
    8,106
    Location:
    The Shire, Sydney
    Seems to have stopped at PB but a bit hard to tell from the cams.
     
  33. Bato

    Bato One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 25, 2005
    Messages:
    3,195
    Likes Received:
    699
    Location:
    Davos/Jindabyne/Brunswick Heads
    You cant really tell from those cams.
     
  34. Outlooker

    Outlooker Addicted

    Joined:
    Mar 20, 2003
    Messages:
    966
    Likes Received:
    140
    Location:
    Northern Beaches, Sydney
    Temps are dropping in SE Vic but unfortunately so is the precipitation. Need the low to slow its tracking east but we should still get a bit from it yet. Probably all over by this evening but we can always hope.
     
  35. james.dutschke

    james.dutschke First Runs

    Joined:
    Jun 6, 2005
    Messages:
    141
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    adelaide
    So whats the net loss at the NSW resorts.
    16mm of rain at the top of thredders yesterday? it must have been a tidal wave. At least lake jindy should be looking a bit fuller.
     
  36. Curto

    Curto One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 10, 2006
    Messages:
    1,786
    Likes Received:
    71
    Location:
    Melbourne
    Nah, still snowing.
     
    #236 Curto, Aug 25, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  37. IAB

    IAB A Local Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 20, 2005
    Messages:
    8,768
    Likes Received:
    8,106
    Location:
    The Shire, Sydney
    :woohoo:
     
    #237 IAB, Aug 25, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  38. smeer

    smeer First Runs

    Joined:
    Sep 10, 2004
    Messages:
    54
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    Canberra, Australia
    lol.. well, I used to for a few years
    Now im back in adelaide where ski trips cost twice as much and can't be cancelled :p

    Can't complain about today's snow falls tho [​IMG]
     
    #238 smeer, Aug 25, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  39. Outlooker

    Outlooker Addicted

    Joined:
    Mar 20, 2003
    Messages:
    966
    Likes Received:
    140
    Location:
    Northern Beaches, Sydney
    Just spoke to someone at PB and they said they have had 5 - 10 of very wet snow and it is covering the carpark. He said it is snowing heavier now than before so hopefully the temps are droping.
    The slopes have been damaged by the rain so we need a bit to make up the loss.
     
  40. BH

    BH One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 24, 2006
    Messages:
    1,092
    Likes Received:
    37
    Jindy and Eucumbene need a whole lot more then a piddly 16mm maybe 166mm and you might see a slight rise.
     
    #240 BH, Aug 25, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 25, 2013
  41. Principal Douglas

    Principal Douglas A Local

    Joined:
    Mar 21, 2002
    Messages:
    5,221
    Likes Received:
    573
    Location:
    Jindabyne
    It's snowing heavily at Lake Crackenback (Thredbo Valley app. 1100m).
     
  42. Mattus

    Mattus First Runs

    Joined:
    Jun 25, 2002
    Messages:
    671
    Likes Received:
    0
    Location:
    Wollongong
    PB website reports 10cm so far.

    mt p creek looks filled in [​IMG]
     
    #242 Mattus, Aug 25, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  43. adminvb

    adminvb First Runs

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2013
    Messages:
    0
    Likes Received:
    3
    My God Professor, It's ALIVE! IT'S ALIVE!! [​IMG]
     
    #243 adminvb, Aug 25, 2006
    Last edited: Nov 25, 2013
  44. STEEZY GONZALES

    STEEZY GONZALES First Runs

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2006
    Messages:
    266
    Likes Received:
    0
    :rolleyes:
     
    #244 STEEZY GONZALES, Aug 25, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  45. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2001
    Messages:
    5,860
    Likes Received:
    3,174
    Location:
    Wollongong
    who remembers seeing the Cam shot of smiggins yesterday ? It was very patchy.
    This morning's shot shows it completely covered again so they must have had a good 10cm and that's at about 1600m.
    Top of Mt P / Thredbo would have have had 15cm+++ ?
     
  46. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2001
    Messages:
    5,860
    Likes Received:
    3,174
    Location:
    Wollongong
    This is the Smigs Cam shot now.

    [​IMG]

    will update.

    yesterday this was VERY patchy.
     
    #246 FourSquare04, Aug 25, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  47. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2001
    Messages:
    5,860
    Likes Received:
    3,174
    Location:
    Wollongong
    Take a look at the V8 cam, looks to be absolutely bucketing down!!! Look how much is in the trees in the foreground too!!

    [​IMG]

    :woohoo:
     
    #247 FourSquare04, Aug 25, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  48. Kangaroo

    Kangaroo One of Us

    Joined:
    May 30, 2005
    Messages:
    2,186
    Likes Received:
    348
    Location:
    Sydney NSW
    ..and it's still falling [​IMG] The temperature at Thredbo AWS has been gradually falling since early morning and the sat loops look good for a few more hours yet. [​IMG]
     
    #248 Kangaroo, Aug 25, 2006
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  49. QldSkiBum

    QldSkiBum First Runs

    Joined:
    May 31, 2005
    Messages:
    174
    Likes Received:
    0
    looks like last Thursday, but has decided to kick on pass lunch time.

    How many cms left do you reckons?????????

    Only told the wife this morning the sept ski trip is off. Maybe just maybe.

    a metre perhaps :fishing:
     
  50. BH

    BH One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 24, 2006
    Messages:
    1,092
    Likes Received:
    37
    Snowing in Berridale nice fat flakes- Was rainy snow and has just turned to snow only. I think we may see some snow settle this afternoon. Break out ya chains Yee haa!!!!