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Predictions 22-26th July - The Neg AAO tips it's hat to SE Aus

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by POW_hungry, Jul 13, 2019.

  1. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah, I think Buller (village/below) will see some marginal wintery-mix stuff by Tuesday night.
     
    Kletterer and Gregah like this.
  2. Baw Baw Bear

    Baw Baw Bear One of Us

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    IMO Not looking good for Baw Baw but i am always optimistic..
     
  3. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    BoM Alpine District Forecast, with the 1100m magic number:
     
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  4. Max2000

    Max2000 Hard Yards

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    Thanks for the info! Do you think there will still be a net gain at lower Northside etc at buller?
     
  5. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans calm and rational Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yes there would be. But nothing really major, probably 15-20cm with a bit of rain and mix in the new snowpack.

    It will be all snow above say 1500m IMO. 1600m, maybe 1700m if we are really heading in the wrong direction, but I don’t think we will see that. The uppers and later the wind should help us out.
     
  6. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    EC Rapid 06Z has a slight to mild downgrade all resorts. This plot showing the ST Jet stream is partly to blame imo.
     
  7. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS showing some upper Convergence/ Lower Divergence in the mix atm. Dont expect big figures imo
     
  8. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Lol heard that before....
     
  9. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Next 24 hours
     
  10. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    A few flurries above 1700m for Vic mid/late morning tomorrow.
    Moderate 20 knot winds.
    Snow lowering to ~1600m by late afternoon.
    Dusting to 1-2cm in major resorts above 1700m IMO.
     
    Kletterer and DiscoStuAU like this.