Predictions 22nd - 26th June System

Claude Cat

On my bike
Moderator
Ski Pass
Platinum
Jul 6, 2001
141,491
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Short, sharp system possible over the 22nd and 23rd ...
This has shown up in the last few EC runs.

get_legacy_plot-web249-21afb3424b395e92cb7f1b5bc9f473fd-q85B_2.gif

get_legacy_plot-web249-21afb3424b395e92cb7f1b5bc9f473fd-V8FFtP.gif


15062200_1400.gif


15062212_1400.gif


GFS has it sliding south.
 
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Donza

Dogs body...
Platinum
Apr 21, 2004
140,085
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woonona
Just EC.
Spag has always been Ok for this period.
Look at the thickness and the cold air boundaries behind the front.
5400 5360...5320 very close together
Thats a strong bubble
 
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Majikthise

Sage
Moderator
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Jan 1, 1970
33,339
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Blue Mts
Ok that is looking more likely, figure we may be in for a good two weeks...I am figuring that will be the pattern of the winter, two weeks good, two weeks meh.
 
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Claude Cat

On my bike
Moderator
Ski Pass
Platinum
Jul 6, 2001
141,491
109,977
3,525
Canterbury, Vic
yr.no is from this morning's EC run.
We should be getting the 00 UTC update shortly. I'm kind of expecting it to back off a bit.
 

Claude Cat

On my bike
Moderator
Ski Pass
Platinum
Jul 6, 2001
141,491
109,977
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Canterbury, Vic
... as I expected.
Latest EC has it peaking a little too far to the west for best effect IMO
It will wobble around a bit yet, but too soon to be calling how big this system will be.
 

Astro66

Still looking for a park in Thredbo
Jul 27, 2009
20,765
20,319
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Eastern Subs Syd
Long way out but .....
Looks good for some northerly moisture feed.
My concern is that bloody High.

output_5MJpB9.gif


850's for that period look spot on.

output_igMZSu.gif
 
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