*Last year was an anom but net gain post equinox did happen.Funny how the seasons this year have followed the 22nd Dec - 22nd March - 21st June - 22nd Sept pattern to a tee in South-East Australia. I think it's fair to say that after equinox it's tough to get net gain rather than net loss of snow.
It's a complicated answer (too much for me who's on the tools), but Jane has a pretty good handle on it IMO but I think the final outcome will be more in the realm of 15-20cm for the resorts - Perisher likely to pick up the higher end of that range.For those of you in the know, what conditions are you expecting for the NSW resorts (Perisher mostly) for the 23rd-25th period?
http://www.janebunn.net/snow-forecastA strong front arrives later on Saturday. Its dry for most of the day with a strong northerly wind (likely to reach lift wind hold). There is the chance of showers in the afternoon and evening but most will stay dry.
The air is marginally cool on Sunday with persistent precipitation in a westerly wind - falling as snow above 1700/1800 metres and rain below. It cools further and we change to snow for Monday (above 1400 metres, 1200 metres in southern VIC). Expect 20 to 30 cm above 1800 metres, and around 10 cm for the lower slopes.
Its turns dry early on Tuesday as the next high moves through. We're warm again on Wednesday, and dry through the day.
Sunday 24 September
Snow showers. Very windy.
Possible rainfall: 15 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 80%
Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of snow showers. Winds west to northwesterly 40 to 60 km/h.
Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 3:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]
Monday 25 September
Snow shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 8 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%
Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of snow showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds westerly 30 to 45 km/h.
Tuesday 26 September
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 20%
Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a snow shower. Winds westerly 20 to 25 km/h.
Yeah it's ambitious, as is Jane's snow level IMO.I see NSW BOM are sticking to their 1500m asl forecast.
Thats the real so so height for snowlevel forecasts at Perisher i've found.
Usually its soap flake style melters that look pretty . However do sweet fa
Hey dudes any thoughts on the strength of the northerlies ahead of change in central vic? Bom seems like its not too bad, but this year each time there is a front they release a severe wrather warning the day before and it blows the crabs out if the sand or some such metaphor
There's wind. And there will be warnings for the Alpine. Rest-assured.Hey dudes any thoughts on the strength of the northerlies ahead of change in central vic? Bom seems like its not too bad, but this year each time there is a front they release a severe wrather warning the day before and it blows the crabs out if the sand or some such metaphor