Predictions 26-28 August 2017

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by Snow Blowey, Aug 25, 2017.

  1. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Nice little cold blast showing up on most models tonight. Haven't been paying too much attention over the last week but can't remember seeing anything until now.

    But it down as a late upgrade for the naysayers that think models only ever downgrade.
     
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  2. Ijay

    Ijay Hard Yards Ski Pass: Silver

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    Noticed that myself on the BoM 4 dayer, always fingers crossed at this time of year.
     
  3. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    I assume you're talking about the 26-27th? I see nothing beyond that on the 28th.
    I can see < 5cm for the majors (the southerly resorts will do best) overnight on Saturday, Baw Baw might get 10cm - if it's cold enough.

    IMO
     
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  4. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  5. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Problem is moisture.
    Tassie gets in the way.
     
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  6. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    A cheeky 5cm.
     
  7. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    By getting in the way.... you mean getting smashed?
     
  8. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    I could read that.
    So many ways.
     
  9. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Decent system south of B Strait. Lacks intrusion. No more than 5 cents on the Aus mainland, from what I see.
     
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  10. loweee

    loweee One of Us

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    Im goung out on a limb and calling a chance of 7cm IMO
     
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  11. Hermon

    Hermon One of Us

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    Really cold air at 850 and 700 HPa with this one tomorrow. A Baw Baw special.
     
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  12. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    Yeah im thinking this one is really
    Only a southern resort event, Baw Baw
    Could do ok with the south west aspect and lake mountain ?? Imo

    I think Baw baw could get 10-15cm
    Out of this type of set up? Imo

    Nice and cold so maybe a dusting
    Around the higher strezleki Rangers
    Around were I am?
     
  13. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Its going to snow in Jindy
     
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  14. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Flash in the pan IMO. Something for Vic.
     
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  15. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    ACCESS R has another upgrade

    [​IMG]
     
  16. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Potentially > 10 cm

    Nice and cold too.
     
  17. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Has fronto and vorticity going for it but pressure is quite high .
     
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  18. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Vertical velocity pattern depicts close to being a clipper. Initial snow for Vic and a dusting for NSW on the back end IMO
     
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  19. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  20. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Yep looks even better again.
    [​IMG]
     
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  21. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'll bump to 10-15cm of cold chalk and some road dramas
    Freeze level of 700ish in NSW on the tail
     
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  22. chicski

    chicski A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Chains from Cooma? ;)
     
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  23. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Massive Dendtritic Growth Zone by midday tomorrow (+200mb). Gonna be some large super-cooled textbook flakes. A little dry up high though.
    I see what you did there increasing the total @Donzah I am inclined to go with you on that punt.

    EC upgraded to 5-10cm.

    Thredbo 1pm:
     
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  24. chicski

    chicski A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Wow just looked at BOM. There are snowflakes expected in Cooma :eek:
     
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  25. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Certainly won't require chains though IMO.
     
  26. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Perisher (EC):
     
  27. Ijay

    Ijay Hard Yards Ski Pass: Silver

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    Hoping for good pics from my place tomorrow, I can see the Wadbilliga plateau to the west ~1300mts. And as the crow flies, not very far.

    BoM says for the South Coast, NSW.

    Sunday 27 August
    Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, with possible small hail. Snow falling above 600 metres. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h turning southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then increasing to 30 to 45 km/h in the middle of the day.

    Camera ready!
     
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  28. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    The Budawangs! That'd be a treat to see.
     
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  29. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    EC suggesting 15cm for Baw Baw.
    IMO
     
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  30. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    EC/yr.no has progged just under 10mm for Buller tonight. Could be a lovely little sneaky top up.
     
    #30 CarveMan, Aug 26, 2017
    Last edited: Aug 26, 2017
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  31. robbo mcs

    robbo mcs One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    BOM are saying snow for Jindy and Cooma, but minimal amounts. Guess I may not be going for my sunday arvo bike ride though.
     
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  32. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Penderlea wobbles
     
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  33. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Followed quickly by strong divergence . She gonna be brief IMO.
     
  34. chicski

    chicski A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah maybe not. Today was superb, took your advice and tried a new road. Beautiful, peaceful, f'n lots of climbing :eek:
     
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  35. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  36. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Bom Forecast

    Melbourne area

    Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Snow falling above 700 metres. Possible hail in the morning and afternoon. Winds northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h shifting southerly early in the morning then becoming south to southwesterly and light in the evening
     
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  37. skimax

    skimax Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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