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Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Jellybeans, Aug 22, 2019.
I will take 10 to 15 cm.
Not Much wind, coldish, and clearing quickly. Good for some higher alpine areas above 7000 ft.
Wombat Team Alert
some locations will imo receive more than just a dustings. The lower pressure with cold temps its selft is enough for more snow. Trop gets quite low with the 534.
This has snow in odd places written all over it!
Yr.no showing very little snow on Thursday at Perisher. Surely we'll get more than this.
This could be a weird one IMO
20cm Bombala, 10cm Jindy 5cm resorts kind of thing..
Not much in oz above 7000ft....
As has been consistently pointed out for 15 years....
Stay on topic.
Those heat lows over the NW are also interesting. First V early indercation of the tropics patern change
I Noticed that too, particularly with the ridge moving into the 40 degrees south.
But there is more than one peak worth riding and climbing.
I honestly don't know what to make of this complex little upper-level trough, in terms of predicting 1 cm (Pessimistic), 5 - 7 cm (Realistic) or 12 -20cm (Over optimistic, Frother).
Bom 4 dayer Seems a little different to EC and GFS
It's super messy and pressures are high, but resort level temps and thicknesses look ok. Moisture doesn't look great on GFS but it's also showing a different progression for the system in general.
Feel like the amount of precip will be hard to predict and predictions for snow in weird eastern locations might be on point.
Any chance of a last min reduction in daytime temps for the weekend? One can hope.
GFS’s love affair with an overrated Tasman Lows (or ECL) continues...
Underwhelming is a word that comes to mind for this system.
I love these under the radar systems.
Upgrades all round and should be good in the alpine.
Not even an obs thread.
No wind is good for the alpine.
AXS-C is showing 20-30 knots, by 2-3am tomorrow.
Obs: misty and relatively still all day at Buller though the AWS suggests 12-24kts. I’m still so spoiled from the last 2 seasons I’ve stayed inside and played with my daughter. Yesterday was nice though, fast groomers on the firm side and slush bumps on the soft side then went for an arvo XC ski.
Got a couple of obligations in town the next few days but the plan is to spend as much of Sept as I can in the mountains.
Snow down to 1100m tomorrow in the CT's if there's any moisture left.
Snowing at Buller
Obs thread is up
Not that windy at 700 hpa
Its windier at 850 hpa than 700 hpa which is unusual. How would you classify this front?
That's pretty evident. I was just looking at the soundings and there is a wobble in the plot around 850 to 700 hPa.
Time and location ? There is some funky Advection 4-10 am tomorow.
Just looks like the standard dry layer through the mid levels.
Pretty shallow stuff IMO.
Drying out above 700mb