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Predictions 28-30th Season Finale

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by POW_hungry, Sep 22, 2018.

  1. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    where's the spag plot
     
  2. Ret-ro

    Ret-ro One of Us

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    This is great , in snow till 8/10, bring it on .. business as usual for snowfall[/QUOTE]
     
  3. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS 06z giving the massive dump a go as well.

    125cm+

    Inching one step closer towards this dreamy looking buzzer beater.
     
  4. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  5. Bendalong+

    Bendalong+ Addicted Ski Pass: Gold

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    The Saturday was brilliant however, the Sunday turned to extensive clear precip. Followed by Jim Richards classic words to round up Bathurst.
     
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  6. Seafm

    Seafm Too far from the snow Ski Pass: Gold

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    Guess who's driving out of town when this is predicted to happen:(:(
     
  7. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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  8. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    That's not even nearly it's biggest play.

    Absolutely feral in East Gippsland.
     
    Rick Ross Da Boss and Claude Cat like this.
  9. Kelpieboy

    Kelpieboy One of Us

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    Being a primary producer in the area with probes on my land belonging to a few govt depts. and a uni I get access to collected data such as temps (including air and sub-terrainian) , moisture content , precipitation etc , wind speed and direction as well as forecasted information for the area. This is why you will see me post absolute temps at specific times eg last night min was 1.3c at 5.07am 954 masl , this info comes straight from their data collection.
     
  10. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    You're talking about forecasted temps though. It would have to be model output not some special farmers/government info... What model is it? Nothing agrees with your -1C temp @ 2000m.

    I suspect it's OCF, which you can ignore for atleast the next 2-3 days IMO
    [​IMG]
     
  11. Infinity Dawn

    Infinity Dawn One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    EC!!! WTF!!! THATS INSANE!!!

     
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  12. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'll believe it when that low is still there by Tuesday.
     
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  13. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Need moar snow...... just place it on top of this lot thanks;). Then we can ski BC till Xmas......

     
    nfip, di6loc, Kletterer and 6 others like this.
  14. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS & EC reverting to normality this morning with a glancing blow as opposed to the BS thrown up last night.
    Ridge takes control by Saturday arvo.

    10-20 cents.
     
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  15. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Classic smash and grab
     
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  16. Paperboy

    Paperboy Addicted

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    Something is always better than none or rain.
     
  17. Lifes2good

    Lifes2good One of Us

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    Yes I recall. In fact by Saturday afternoon we were sweating in the heat and came home with quite bad sunburn. But I think there was 30cm of fresh in the morning. It was an amazing couple of hours.
     
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  18. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    http://www.janebunn.net/snow-forecast/
     
  19. Paperboy

    Paperboy Addicted

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    Not looking very promising now.:(
     
  20. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    Never really was unfortunately
     
  21. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    It was looking amazing for NSW
    Still looks pretty solid on the yanks
    EC is flipping around
     
  22. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  23. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    ~60mm around Goulburn? Still a bit flakey ole GFS IMO.
     
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  24. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    EC has a ridge dominant set-up, much like this morning. IMO this is our trend for this system, making it more like a 10 cents system now.
    [​IMG]
     
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  25. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Wind vectors have done a massive change from yesterday on both GFS and EC. Both models are far from getting some accurate viable prediction probabilities IMO.
     
  26. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    I'd give another day or two. Spring weather is very temperamental in terms of predictions.
     
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  27. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Its a better run this arvo.
    I'll wait for the High Res
     
  28. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    As Claude says - its that time of year, so we are looking at lower tercile preferences in data process. Climate indicators lean towards blocking Highs- but lets hold onto a neg SAM while it lasts.
     
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  29. Paperboy

    Paperboy Addicted

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    Was hoping for one last winter blast. If we can get 10cm, that would be a good result.
     
  30. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    EC/YrNo Perishaaar:
     
  31. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS progging a nice little surface low ahead of the front on Friday PM. Could be a good chance to see some active cells popping through Central Tablelands by mid-arvo. Possibly hitting coastal areas by late arvo.
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
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  32. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Wound back plenty.
    2-5cm for Vic resorts. IMO
     
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  33. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS on board for a 5-10er on the 06z run. Ushered along quickly by that ridge.
    1020hPa over the alps by Saturday AM.

    Friday evening looking very interesting for Sydney & The Gong.
     
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  34. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Wollongong escarpment ST snow perhaps.
    Off EC high res.
     
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  35. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  36. Lifes2good

    Lifes2good One of Us

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  37. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Axs R looking really interesting for Saturday progression
    Considering its the most correct model.......
     
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  38. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Media hysteria on the coldest AFL GF on record:
     
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  39. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    earthschool is plotting 11C on saturday in mlb area

    it's been cold all day here in Gerroa/Kiama.It's late sept - and it's been years since I remember it been normal cold like this in early spring. but all of the forecasts are showing very little precip.so it's basically cold and dry with the occassional tear.

    pond skim here we come ...
     
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  40. IAB

    IAB A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Subscription needed.
     
  41. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Same for me but you can play the video np
     
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  42. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    AXSR very interesting
     
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  43. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    ECL / Tasman Low.
    and another next Thursday / Friday.
     
  44. Ramshead

    Ramshead One of Us

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    I intend to add to that hysteria in my new role as sports editor at Channel Ten's news portal tendaily.com.au. Stand by.
     
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  45. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Congrats, but I think your witty humour is better than 'sports journalism'.;)
     
  46. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    sneaky chance for BMs and OP snow on Saturday arvo
     
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  47. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    A chance @ 1100m yeah. but don't think it'll accumulate.
    Cheeky mid-level pool though:
    [​IMG]
     
  48. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Inflow is perfect
    Due south
     
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  49. Ozgirl

    Ozgirl A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Ha! Mate of mine just started as their social media dude! Lawrence is his name.
     
  50. Gregah

    Gregah Addicted Ski Pass: Silver

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    Hows the general moisture interest on AXS-R Donzah? 5cm type falls?