1. NOTICE: Did you lose your profile avatar image as a result of the great hammo-ing of 2020? (Sat 16 & Sun 17 Aug). If yes, then you need to know it won't be coming back, best to re-upload.

    This notice may be closed
    Dismiss Notice

Observations 28th September - 1st October

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by POW_hungry, Sep 28, 2016.

  1. nfip

    nfip Cold n' Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2006
    Messages:
    20,918
    Likes Received:
    24,004
    Location:
    South Co
    #251 nfip, Sep 29, 2016
    Last edited: Sep 29, 2016
    shabu_shabu and mick chopps like this.
  2. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    11,812
    Likes Received:
    18,060
    Location:
    Box Hill, Vic.
    It will turn to snow before long
     
  3. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 21, 2003
    Messages:
    12,132
    Likes Received:
    7,483
    Location:
    Elwood
    Yep, but watching the news last night you would have thought what happened in Radelaide yesterday was going to hit here today exactly the same.
     
    glengary and mick chopps like this.
  4. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2006
    Messages:
    76,295
    Likes Received:
    60,946
    Location:
    The barber's chair
    That's were you went wrong.... watching the news.
     
    Timmossy and Chowder11 like this.
  5. blueandwhite

    blueandwhite One of Us

    Joined:
    May 26, 2016
    Messages:
    710
    Likes Received:
    1,953
    Location:
    TQY
    The measuring instrumentation has been deployed on the cedarwood cam. Or someone got an early thirst. One or the other.
     
  6. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    122,858
    Likes Received:
    69,926
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    They obviously don't read our predictions thread ;)
     
  7. dibl0c

    dibl0c coolstorydibloc™ Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 22, 2007
    Messages:
    16,677
    Likes Received:
    26,132
    Location:
    Operation escape Brisbogan.
    It refers to the speed and direction of wind as you move vertically through the atmosphere.

    It is particularly dangerous to aviation.
     
  8. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 21, 2003
    Messages:
    12,132
    Likes Received:
    7,483
    Location:
    Elwood
    This is true.
     
  9. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    122,858
    Likes Received:
    69,926
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    Yes - generally BOM will report wind speeds at different levels - they refer to this as shear.
     
  10. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    11,812
    Likes Received:
    18,060
    Location:
    Box Hill, Vic.
    [​IMG]
    A 737 plane circling around Buller... this storm is wrecking havoc on planes
     
    xuěboarder likes this.
  11. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    122,858
    Likes Received:
    69,926
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    Interestingly the uppers are not very cold here in Melbourne (or Mt Gambier) for that matter

    [​IMG]

    But in Adeliade (6 hours earlier)

    [​IMG]

    Look at that, 50knt+ at 500 hPa levels ;)
     
    Karicta, Majikthise and POW_hungry like this.
  12. dibl0c

    dibl0c coolstorydibloc™ Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 22, 2007
    Messages:
    16,677
    Likes Received:
    26,132
    Location:
    Operation escape Brisbogan.
    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    A couple of mates made it onto ABC 24 last night for Blackoutgate (one of their sisters is a reporter) and I had to stay up to watch the evidence. :rolleyes:

    Edit: More. Those girls are funny. Yeah Andrea, I don't see what the big deal was either. Germans. Nice matching scarves you dorks. :D

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-09-...dents-cope-with-blackout-wild-weather/7887120



    Stay on topic.
     
    #262 dibl0c, Sep 29, 2016
    Last edited: Sep 29, 2016
  13. nfip

    nfip Cold n' Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2006
    Messages:
    20,918
    Likes Received:
    24,004
    Location:
    South Co
    And Melb at 850 hPa .....
    Evidences again the reports coming from Hotham etc.
     
    Claude Cat likes this.
  14. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2013
    Messages:
    66,922
    Likes Received:
    46,383
    Location:
    The Southern Capital
    Lots of rain north of the Divide.
    My folks tell me they had 23mm in Seymour after 2am, with a lot of strong winds.
    They've got lots of surface water on the back of the rain the other night. The place slopes gently from front to back, with the shed out the back. My old man can't get his car in and out of the shed due to all the water. 41mm for the week.
     
    glengary and Claude Cat like this.
  15. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    122,858
    Likes Received:
    69,926
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
  16. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    122,858
    Likes Received:
    69,926
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
  17. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 26, 2014
    Messages:
    19,522
    Likes Received:
    21,189
    Location:
    Canberra
    Great weather for brickies once again.:(
     
  18. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2013
    Messages:
    66,922
    Likes Received:
    46,383
    Location:
    The Southern Capital
    Some sweet looking rotation and storms on the Adelaide radar.
    Although not as impressive looking as the big nasty blob yesterday.
     
  19. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 1970
    Messages:
    31,669
    Likes Received:
    17,382
    Location:
    Blue Mts
    Himawari watching has been impressive
     
  20. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    11,812
    Likes Received:
    18,060
    Location:
    Box Hill, Vic.
    Stopped snowing now at Hotham :(
     
  21. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Sep 9, 2010
    Messages:
    2,937
    Likes Received:
    4,414
    Location:
    Gerroa
    It's right on time at zero degrees at TTS at 10am.
     
    Kletterer and Majikthise like this.
  22. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    11,812
    Likes Received:
    18,060
    Location:
    Box Hill, Vic.
    Last bit of "Part 1" is to hit Hotham within half an hour. Lucky that we are cold!
     
    dr80 likes this.
  23. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

    Joined:
    Jul 7, 2007
    Messages:
    1,610
    Likes Received:
    1,872
    Location:
    Northern Beaches, Sydney
    I don't have any quality photos worth posting but the colours around Sydney this morning at sunrise as absolutely amazing.
     
    SAsurfa likes this.
  24. glengary

    glengary One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 31, 2015
    Messages:
    648
    Likes Received:
    908
    Similar around Wang. My bro had 29mm this morning and can't walk on his lawn it is that soggy.
     
  25. woggybot

    woggybot One of Us

    Joined:
    Jul 8, 2000
    Messages:
    4,159
    Likes Received:
    205
    Location:
    Kings-bloody-wood, NSW, Australia
    Went from 2.4C at 9am to 0.0C at 10am.

    Nicccce
     
  26. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    20,758
    Likes Received:
    29,937
    Location:
    Eastern Burbs of Sydney
    Snow @ Buller
    [​IMG]
     
    Claude Cat, NewTurns and dibl0c like this.
  27. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

    Joined:
    Jul 7, 2007
    Messages:
    1,610
    Likes Received:
    1,872
    Location:
    Northern Beaches, Sydney
    Okay decided a poor photo is still better than none at all. This morning around 5.30am. City is far right of the photo.

    [​IMG]
     
    dibl0c, SAsurfa and Snowy Joey like this.
  28. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 26, 2014
    Messages:
    19,522
    Likes Received:
    21,189
    Location:
    Canberra
    Rather bleak at Lake George.
     
  29. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    20,758
    Likes Received:
    29,937
    Location:
    Eastern Burbs of Sydney
    The glow in Bondi that woke me this morning.

    [​IMG]
     
    chunky, SnowBound, glengary and 4 others like this.
  30. NewTurns

    NewTurns One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Sep 30, 2013
    Messages:
    1,520
    Likes Received:
    2,912
    Location:
    Sydney
    Rain turning to sleet now in Thredbo Village. Good. Needs to get a degree or two colder and we are away....
     
    C:'s and SAsurfa like this.
  31. warrie

    warrie One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 15, 2008
    Messages:
    576
    Likes Received:
    319
    Location:
    Sydney
    And with daylight saving time starting Sunday 2 am any glows will be an hour later so you can sleep in... W
     
    POW_hungry likes this.
  32. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    11,812
    Likes Received:
    18,060
    Location:
    Box Hill, Vic.
    Snowing at Hotham again... it better be heavy.
     
    mick chopps and SAsurfa like this.
  33. Kimski

    Kimski One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

    Joined:
    Jul 13, 2010
    Messages:
    1,245
    Likes Received:
    1,301
    Should be okay. I'm sure my mum will let me know if there's any problems as she's a news addict :D
     
  34. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    11,812
    Likes Received:
    18,060
    Location:
    Box Hill, Vic.
    Obs out of Adelaide suggest tonight and tomorrow morning could be tough up high.
     
  35. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2005
    Messages:
    73,624
    Likes Received:
    28,798
    Location:
    Cranhole, Melbourne, VIC
    Tide heights are much higher than predicted on the S coast today. I just watched a video of water all through the carpark at Warneet on a tide that should not have it anywhere near that high.
     
  36. SAsurfa

    SAsurfa One of Us

    Joined:
    Feb 11, 2005
    Messages:
    1,761
    Likes Received:
    2,986
    Location:
    Manly, Sydney
    This is due to the Inverse Barometer Effect.

    Tides are calibrated for 1013hPa, but if pressure higher than this, the sea level is lower 1cm/1hPa and if the pressure is lower, the sea level is higher by a same rate.

    So a really deep low will bring with it much higher sea levels, mix that in with wind setup from strong onshores and you get storm surges.

    https://www.swellnet.com/news/swellnet-analysis/2016/04/19/inverse-barometer-effect

    [​IMG]
     
  37. Ubiquitous Steve

    Ubiquitous Steve A Local Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Feb 29, 2008
    Messages:
    9,843
    Likes Received:
    4,156
    Mt lofty received over 60mm yesterday till 9am this morning and has banged on another 5mm since this morning..:thumbs:
     
  38. 1000m

    1000m Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2015
    Messages:
    69
    Likes Received:
    82
    Lake is filling up
     
    Kletterer likes this.
  39. dibl0c

    dibl0c coolstorydibloc™ Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 22, 2007
    Messages:
    16,677
    Likes Received:
    26,132
    Location:
    Operation escape Brisbogan.
    Heard they recorded 974 somewhere in SA.
     
    Claude Cat likes this.
  40. Teisto

    Teisto One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Feb 17, 2000
    Messages:
    5,532
    Likes Received:
    77
    Location:
    Sydney, NSW
    dumping wet snow at perisher
     
    POW_hungry and Tweekin like this.
  41. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2010
    Messages:
    1,906
    Likes Received:
    1,591
    Location:
    South
    We have more experts on this forum than anywhere else and we sometimes stick to the facts. We a need a similar forum on global politics. The main stream media is competently crazy.

    Hows the fetch (45 to 64 knots) smashing SA and Vic. You usually get these babies down 50 to 60 degrees South.

    [​IMG]
     
  42. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    20,758
    Likes Received:
    29,937
    Location:
    Eastern Burbs of Sydney
    When it comes to Ocean WX Craigos is the (well respected) man. The fountain of knowledge is published on SwellNet, almost daily.

    Good having you around @SAsurfa :thumbs:
     
    nfip, malas1, dibl0c and 4 others like this.
  43. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2010
    Messages:
    1,906
    Likes Received:
    1,591
    Location:
    South
    Yeps its good to have everyone on here observing natural phenomenon. I Observe its my salvation from daily crap on the internet. :thumbs:
     
    nfip, glengary and SAsurfa like this.
  44. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 1970
    Messages:
    31,669
    Likes Received:
    17,382
    Location:
    Blue Mts
    1013? There has to be a story to go with that.
     
  45. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Nov 13, 2005
    Messages:
    73,624
    Likes Received:
    28,798
    Location:
    Cranhole, Melbourne, VIC
    Isnt 1013 usually taken as the 'mean' sea level pressure for Earth? That's what 1 atmosphere is calculated at.
     
    Majikthise, Jellybeans and POW_hungry like this.
  46. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    20,758
    Likes Received:
    29,937
    Location:
    Eastern Burbs of Sydney
    That's my take on it. Stable Standardized MSL Global Pressure is 1013hPa.
     
  47. William

    William A Local Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 1970
    Messages:
    9,320
    Likes Received:
    381
    Location:
    Cairns
    It would be better if it stayed down that far for the surf, so close it has no time to organise. The swell hitting the coast is a real mish-mash of different periods and directions. There was some big movements off Cape du Couedic but we seem to have lost contact with the wave rider buoy they have off-shore when swells to 10m started coming through regularly this morning.
     
    7wombathead likes this.
  48. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    20,758
    Likes Received:
    29,937
    Location:
    Eastern Burbs of Sydney
  49. SAsurfa

    SAsurfa One of Us

    Joined:
    Feb 11, 2005
    Messages:
    1,761
    Likes Received:
    2,986
    Location:
    Manly, Sydney
    Thanks guys, I just froth on all of this weather stuff as much as any of you, but also have a different angle coming in from the Ocean/Surf Forecasting profession.
     
    nfip and dibl0c like this.
  50. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    11,812
    Likes Received:
    18,060
    Location:
    Box Hill, Vic.
    That's some resume, glad to have you on board @SAsurfa
     
    SAsurfa likes this.