Event 29 SEP - 2 OCT SE Aus Broad-based Low

POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
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May 28, 2000
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Nice little hook before on this cell near Hillston?
1632987884995.png


Doppler at the same time.

1632987970085.png
Hrmm looks inverted to me.
A hook echo would usually would have the heaviest precip (core) nearer to the 'tail'.
 
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POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
Moderator
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May 28, 2000
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Eastern Burbs of Sydney
What's with the super-cell potential today, 500hPa winds don't seem too extreme. But it think its more the shear with winds at 500hPa being quicker than 300hPa. Welcome any insight.

Screen Shot 2021-09-30 at 5.48.48 pm.png


Screen Shot 2021-09-30 at 5.51.02 pm.png
IMHO, I don't think there were many genuine 'supercells' out there today. The media certainly blew it up that way.
That said, just take a look at all that cool dry air aloft on the Cobar sounding this morning.

1632990798857.png


That Bathurst one was doozy though. It was explosive, both on radar & satellite.
 
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POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
Moderator
Ski Pass
May 28, 2000
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39,094
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Eastern Burbs of Sydney
I recon you'd struggle to find any better footage of a tornado in Aus. Definitely one for the archives. Storm porn for Aus.

Happy to be wrong
TBH, I wasn't far from jumping on the bandwagon but tornado touchdown is uber critical for the fastidious. Funnels are relatively commonplace, otherwise.
giphy.gif
 

POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
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May 28, 2000
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Eastern Burbs of Sydney
I think GFS did a good job yesterday, given it's res against EC & AXS-C.
If we were to side with it again today, Brisbane & Gold Coast region is in for a solid bout of hail.
 
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POW Hungry

Old n' Crusty
Moderator
Ski Pass
May 28, 2000
23,793
39,094
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Eastern Burbs of Sydney
I think GFS did a good job yesterday, given it's res against EC & AXS-C.
If we were to side with it again today, Brisbane & Gold Coast region is in for a solid bout of hail.
This GFS sounding is sampled from 4pm today, circa Beaudesert/Lamington NP (also Kingaroy).
Looking very ominous. When she has booty on it like that, it's golfballs on the menu.
1633040225466.png
 
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