Predictions 29th Jun-1st Jul Ramshead’s Top Up

[POW Hungry]

Not without the usual caveats, this system has popped up for the 30th.
Tassie shadowing looks to be an inhibitor, ridge in the Bight also puts this one on notice.

Gut feel is it will get ridged, but for now it’s trending positively.

GFS:

EC:

The German ICON:

 

[POW Hungry]

Looking across the models it’s a 5-25cm top up, at this point IMO. The divergence in the models gives reason for the broad range in totals.

 

[POW Hungry]

A quick shunt into the Tasman IMO.
EC Ensembles

 

[BenLomond Iceman]

a cold moisture laden south easterly always a classic snow bringer for ben lomond but rare . Very nice if that stays on track

 

[mick chopps]

A quick shunt into the Tasman IMO.
EC Ensembles

Yeah that high looks pretty solid…

 

[BlueHue]

More notable at this point IMO for the period of stability that potentially comes in behind.

 

[Kletterer]

GFS 18Z

 

[Chowder11]

Day tripping next Friday so ill ride this one hard.

Watch it disappear sorry everyone im a weather jinx

 

[Ramshead]

What special privileges do I get from having a system named after me*, apart from having a system named after me?

*Which if I'm not mistaken happened because I was persistently bullish about it in the BBQ thread

 

[Majikthise]

A couple of folk are excited by the prospect of CT snow fot 1/2 July. Not seeing it myself yet.

 

[POW Hungry]

What special privileges do I get from having a system named after me*, apart from having a system named after me?

*Which if I'm not mistaken happened because I was persistently bullish about it in the BBQ thread

A take home copy of Dale Carnegie’s ‘How to Win Friends and Influence People’.

C’mon down!!

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

It could be a top up for Lake Mtn. for Friday next week. I am watching the usual foecasting runs bounce around.

 

[Donza]

This has got legs on the BOM 4 dayer
.

 

[Ramshead]

Legs like a giraffe on stilts on the WZ 7-dayer

 

[weathersourse]

Looking a chance for intermittent snow showers over a few days. Tho myself I don't think there be much in it over the period.

GFS ens latest run.

28th snow showers.

29th ens mean see it for Tassie on that day.

30th looks very light @ best.

1st nada.

 

[Kletterer]

EC

 

[Donza]

Trending cut-off.

Imo

 

[POW Hungry]

Looking like a 12-18 hour system if it does happen to swing through the SE, IMO.
Le flash in le pan.

 

[weathersourse]

EC snow see'in over that period in our region lite shower
dustings @ best on the run.

Still time tho for further jumpiness in the runs. Did not see much on the GFS ens today either for much confidence in the timeframe for anything decent other than lite snow showers. Have not seen the Canucks solutions but yeah appearing lacklustre on paper atm and not thinking there will be any upgrades with this one in the future runs.

 

[robbo mcs]

What special privileges do I get from having a system named after me*, apart from having a system named after me?

*Which if I'm not mistaken happened because I was persistently bullish about it in the BBQ thread

If it comes off, everyone loves you

If it fizzes, or even worse turns wet .... you may be running for cover

My instinct tells me there may be more of the latter

 

[Donza]

Yr.no thinks 10 to 15 for Perisher

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

The grasshopper seems to think some snow will come out of this system.

 

[POW Hungry]

It’s a flake of a system IMO.
It’s got the wobbles of a Ruskin pedestrian. Be lucky to get much of a gain out this one IMO.

 

[SnowBound]

EC snow see'in over that period in our region lite shower
dustings @ best on the run.

Still time tho for further jumpiness in the runs. Did not see much on the GFS ens today either for much confidence in the timeframe for anything decent other than lite snow showers. Have not seen the Canucks solutions but yeah appearing lacklustre on paper atm and not thinking there will be any upgrades with this one in the future runs.

NZ on the other hand..

 

[POW Hungry]

06Z ridge out. GFS puts nothing more than a few cms on the board for this system.
Fading....

 

[Ramshead]

I wanted Everest named after me. You gave me Kosciuszko

 

[POW Hungry]

This is done, IMO.

 

[Chowder11]

Sorry guys my bad

 

[mick chopps]

Don’t beat yourself up, it was never looking especially likely.

 

[Donza]

I haven't lost any faith.
Looks like a moist cut-off to favour nsw.

 

[weathersourse]

12z GFS snow ens, solutions plot for our mainland alps regions.

 

[POW Hungry]

Unsurprisingly latest EC Ens sends this bad boy packing for the Tasman:

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

Unsurprisingly latest EC Ens sends this bad boy packing for the Tasman:

Yep, the computer says " No".

 

[Donza]

Lock the thread. Its done.

 

[POW Hungry]

Wouldn't be surprised if Buller/Baw Baw picks up half a foot out of it by Thursday arvo.
But otherwise, it's a 3-5cm system IMO.

Looks cold for Tas.

 

[Chowder11]

Wouldn't be surprised if Buller/Baw Baw picks up half a foot out of it by Thursday arvo.
But otherwise, it's a 3-5cm system IMO.

Looks cold for Tas.

Ohhhh yes please

 

[Telezacski]

What special privileges do I get from having a system named after me*, apart from having a system named after me?

*Which if I'm not mistaken happened because I was persistently bullish about it in the BBQ thread

Hahaha I thought a ramshead special meant it would snow above 1900 so only good for the ramsheads.

 

[CarveMan]

Hahaha I thought a ramshead special meant it would snow above 1900 so only good for the ramsheads.

That was my first reaction too

 

[Jimi]

Is there a reason the models don’t “learn” these setups almost always end this way?

 

[Donza]

Here is Thursday/Friday am .

 

[lewis]

Showing 5cm for Perisher on yr.no. Better than nothing.

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

The summit area of Falls out on the McKay Nordic ski loop had some fresh snow,wind blown drifts and sastrugi mixed with some icy crust.It depended on the aspect.