I concur. But letting it go under the Radar. Good setup for weekend BC. Not sure if this is deliberately done by the mainstream forum members, or they only go for big dumps.
'mainstream forum members'!? Nice. GFS is a little too keen on it. EC has it as a clipper. We're talking 1020hPa - it's living in the shadows of what it once was. Other than Baw Baw & Buller, I can't see much more than 5-10cm for Thursday night/Friday IMO.
Tomoz runs should be interesting to see Which model wins the fight?? Lol Hopefully gfs hangs on and access g upgrades
I do feel as though these are the types of systems that give model-watchers downgrade-itis. With Pow on this, the trend to me seems clearer
Now you make me feel bad. I Feeling a whole lot better that I don't have to predict the Socceroos Fate. Sorry bro
Not sure what was meant by 'mainstream forum members'. Can hardly be included amongst that bunch, whom ever they are. No biggie.
You mean the Weather Pool Room*. Anyone can come in, including yourself. * the Weather Pool Room is not actually a thing.
AXS saying we be good for another foot or so by Friday 00z Looks like it. edit this "live " animation so.... 700 RH
Da 4 Day Bom Still keeps giving, and even a clearing High. Cold Front Thursday Middnight looks very strong. So many embedded upper level troughs in this one.
Fingers crossed. A nice 5-10cm top-up for Hotham but not enough to close the Harrietville approach. Yes please.
Tomoz front still hanging in there for southern Vic, According to access r and gfs on this arvo updates Imo 528 line still pretty much hanging around that Gippsland coast area. Could get a stray low level flurrie Yet? Imo
Brief chance of snow above ~500m (between 1-6am Friday AM) IMO, but largely above 600m as per BOM. It's not an overly moist system after the cold air hits IMO.
So are we looking at a higher r**n/snow level for Thursday night? I was under the impression this was a coldie from go to woe.
Marginal temps below 1500m. Perhaps a few mm ahead of the cold air for the Southern resorts tomorrow PM IMO. Not a deal breaker. Levels will drop post 5-6pm IMO.
Heading up to buller tomorrow morning. What are the odds of having to fit chains in a Landcruiser with AT tyres on? Rain or snow tonight and much in it for buller?
A decent chance of some flakes in downtown Hobart tomorrow AM, whilst areas in the SW will probably see something down to sea level IMO.
I predict there could be some aurora over some snowfields at night in the next few with the 14th largest ever recorded X9+ class CME now headed towards Earth on the tail of the smaller one about to hit any time.
Don't mind the look of gfs on this arvo Update for southern vic.imo 528 action looks to pass through overnight at some stage AM imo
We are missing the show...well in Tasmania. Kp is at 8.33 at moment - see... http://www.aurora-service.net/aurora-forecast/