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Predictions 30th May - 3rd June System

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by POW_hungry, May 21, 2020.

  1. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    18z GFS’ SWly vibe looks nice. Deep cold ready made for Buller and the Southern resorts.
     
  2. stormkite2000

    stormkite2000 One of Us

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    00ZGFS ANOM.





    OCF precip forecast atm.
     
  3. stormkite2000

    stormkite2000 One of Us

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    00Z ICON thinks deepening trough.



    Lays the egg.






    Was @ the end of run next frames would have been interesting with that 989mb LP
     
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  4. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    We'd be blessed if we saw the low round-out NW of Tas.
    Good amount of instab & upper level vort in this run.
    [​IMG]
     
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  5. stormkite2000

    stormkite2000 One of Us

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    12z JMA was good too.






    strong anom

    Powder plots with those heights if they verify.
     
  6. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    GEM is building upon its run yesterday, with a very solid upper level setup and Southern Tassie low:


    Talking about 40-70cm for the resorts here.
     
  7. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Sounds like the models just had to chew the fat of that massive Ex Manga TC over the weekend.
     
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  8. Gregah

    Gregah One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Bom are getting interested (Hotham):
     
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  9. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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    http://www.janebunn.net/mt-hotham
    Ms. Bunn's excitable automated modelling is still forecasting a skiable amount of snow. Hot Ham does not open until 22/6/20 so even 10-15 cms is entry fee free chook footing on June 2nd.The Dargo High Plains road could be skiable and still open then too. We shall calm the farm and wait until Saturday and see what is coming our way grasshopper.
    http://www.janebunn.net/mt-stirling
     
  10. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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    I like this. When BOM get on board you know there could be some skiing .
     
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  11. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    EC is not greatly interested....
    That ridge pushing from up north, rather than from the west.
     
  12. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Nice fetch.
    Surf
     
  13. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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    The water is becoming very cold here in VIC. I will switch to mainly planks soon.
     
  14. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    GFS Total Snowfall - Monday

     
  15. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    18z Monday 1st June - Totals

    Not bhed...

     
  16. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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    I will settle for 10-15 cm at 1650 M.in the Hot ham area.
     
  17. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    The German model looks stunning this evening. Plays into former scenarios of late-last week. The Canadian, not too dissimilar.
    Good progression through the run. Classic winter system.

    "Utah, get me two!"
     
  18. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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    BOM are on board for some proper snow at Baw Baw, Mt. Stirling and Hot Ham :)
     
  19. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Favouring an OCF outcome IMO. Models not even close to aligned. Will change.
     
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  20. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    LOLLOL The roller coaster continues
    If u can pow, u might as well share the charts for a laugh :D
     
  21. Kelpieboy

    Kelpieboy One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    I will wait for the graziers warning on this one although there have been a few good'uns that bounced around a bit until very late on.
     
  22. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    I got a feeling this system might deliver a late surprise.

    #4dayrule?
     
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  23. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  24. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    Four day rule for sure on this system, specially how she’s been so all over the shop of late
     
  25. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    EC going for a fat arse High on the 2nd.

     
  26. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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  27. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    These two are connected if you're not aware?
     
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  28. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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    Yes, I can see the high pressure system is not the friend of the person who wants a second ice age for XC skiing ;-P.
     
  29. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    No.
    EC modelling and Jane's automated forecast
     
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  30. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    You referring to me or MrT?
     
  31. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    T
     
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  32. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    It’s been pointed out numerous times but ‘Rock hopping’ is all one sees.
     
  33. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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    If I start frothing about a possible snowfall, then I put the kiss of death on it and then it becomes just rocks and no hopping at all :-(
     
  34. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    The roller coaster continues on gfs, with it being pretty much being ridged out this morning
     
  35. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    EC agrees but holding on
     
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  36. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    4 day rule to confirm the ridge out?
     
  37. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    Lol probably mc.
     
  38. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Frontal system on EC looks ok.
    The Canadian looks good.
    50/50 IMO
     
  39. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    I'll go flip a coin. Heads or tails?
     
  40. Rat trap bindings

    Rat trap bindings One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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  41. WarrandyteWX

    WarrandyteWX One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Dat is a decent fetch. Access goin all GFS on us!
     
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  42. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Access go home you are drunk
     
  43. chriscross

    chriscross One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'll buy Access another drink. And pass the pipe.
     
  44. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    NCEP ensembles look ok.
     
  45. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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    http://www.janebunn.net/mt-hotham

    17cms according Ms. Bunn's automated modelling .This prediction will change by dinner time ;-P .I live in hope that Tuesday June 2nd will be still possible for some rock hopping at JB plain to Paw Paw Plain.
     
  46. stormkite2000

    stormkite2000 One of Us

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  47. stormkite2000

    stormkite2000 One of Us

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    00z OCF precip forecast.
     
  48. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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  49. stormkite2000

    stormkite2000 One of Us

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    00z GFS looked v good with a cold pool cutting off in the embedded low pressure in the head.



    Bulls eye
     
  50. skimax

    skimax Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Mister T in the immortal words of William Shakespeare , " You doth froth too much" ;)