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Predictions 30th May - 3rd June System

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by POW_hungry, May 21, 2020.

  1. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    Certainly has dropped snow totals (a little sudden) all round:

    but the snow gets to go further north.
     
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  2. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    System has turned ugly quickly for vicco. Very volatile changes all throughout the lead up to this system lol
    One for nsw imo
     
  3. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    I don’t think it’s ever good for the ski fields when the snow heads to the North up the tablelands.
     
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  4. nfip

    nfip Cold n' Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    seasons in transition.
    therefore modelling same.
     
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  5. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    Yep, usually takes up until nearly July to fully settle down imo
     
  6. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    UKMET, JMA & The Canadian still backing the frontal scenario, so work that out...


     
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  7. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    I’ve stopped trying pow :cry: lol
    I’ve got no idea how to read this system and neither do the models by the look of it
     
  8. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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  9. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    stop hopecasting. it's tiresome.
     
  10. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    I’m working on my first doomcast. That should clear the seasonal gloom.
     
  11. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    It still weather that won't make fire.

    10 to 20 cm is still on the cards. Maybe wont make a base, but where there is a base (MR) it will be super good.
    [MOD NOTE: *IMO]

    [​IMG]
     
  12. stormkite2000

    stormkite2000 One of Us

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    looking over the ec ens run. The jma solution on the their last run looks likely the most chance to verify to me.



     
  13. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Amen sister
     
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  14. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    I've still got some good vibes about this.
    It has the potential to bring the low through Bass Strait..Rather than cutoff and over SA, western Victoria.
     
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  15. Undies

    Undies Pizza! Ski Pass: Gold

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    @Mufts
     
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  16. stormkite2000

    stormkite2000 One of Us

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    Yeah agree thats on the table.

     
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  17. WarrandyteWX

    WarrandyteWX One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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  18. sdsdc

    sdsdc Hard Yards

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    and calling Hotham hot ham.
     
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  19. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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  20. Karicta

    Karicta A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Hmmm starts with ****
    2nd front brings snow
    Finishes with ****

    ????
     
  21. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Rain? nah not much tbh
     
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  22. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    looks like an ok hotham NW system to me
     
  23. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    There might be life in the piggy back yet lol
     
  24. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS has settled on something inbetweeen this mornings run.
    Looks largely back on track.
    I am still a big fan of this system. Nicely stacked, good cold pool on target.

    Looking forward to Monday IMO.
     
  25. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  26. Gregah

    Gregah One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Bom have backed off a fair bit (for Hotham). Temps (particularly for Monday) are marginal. Forecast looks a bit NQR to me.
     
  27. Gregah

    Gregah One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Bom have backed off a fair bit (for Hotham). Temps (particularly for Monday) are marginal. Forecast looks a bit NQR to me.
     
  28. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    EC has that cold pool slingshot up through Western Vic which is a right ball-ache for any substantial snowfall on the alps.

    The big problem is, it’s now backed by The Canadian and ICON.
    That and a Tassie shadow.
     
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  29. stormkite2000

    stormkite2000 One of Us

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    Weatherzone synoptic chart is there about with most ens with the low.
    EC mean had a cluster in the strait. Guess we see how this pans over the weekend.
     
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  30. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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    :-0
     
  31. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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  32. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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  33. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    BAcked on 4 day chart
    [​IMG]

    LOOKS PROMISING
     
  34. stormkite2000

    stormkite2000 One of Us

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    Head of the first front.





     
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  35. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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  36. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Obs thread? It's pretty windy in Melb
     
  37. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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    NEXT 7 DAYS
    Mt Buller: 6cm
    Mt Hotham: 8cm
    Falls Creek: 0cm
    Mt Baw Baw: 8cm
    Perisher: 13cm
    Thredbo: 17cm
    Charlotte Pass: 23cm
    Selwyn: 6cm
    Lake Mountain: 8cm
    Mt Stirling: 7cm
    Ben Lomond: 2cm
    Mt Mawson: 6cm

    A major revision of predicted snowfall totals for Monday and Tuesday this week from Ms Bunn's automated modelling as Sat. May 30th . Not much to froth about :-(. However there is another low pressure weather system approaching us on Sunday week which is of interest to snow lovers and surfers alike.
     
  38. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    I know it's been said already but man that cold pool gets slung pretty far North by Monday PM/Tuesday AM (GFS)

    Northern Tablelands in for a rude shock to the system...

     
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  39. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    Gfs not real appealing on this arvo update imo (for gippsland area anyway)
     
  40. JustCantStop

    JustCantStop Addicted

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    Almost no precipitation forecast for Melbourne now.... eek.
     
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  41. stormkite2000

    stormkite2000 One of Us

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    GEFS ENS - JMA 1.25° Operational Last run still was not going on a total walk-about like the others. Don't cutoff from the south.





















    Still looking a low confidence forecast with the wandering cold pool so far nth i think.
     
    #291 stormkite2000, May 30, 2020
    Last edited: May 30, 2020
  42. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    EC looks epic
     
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  43. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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  44. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah that tightening NW quadrant of that low looks fun.
    Hope it stays in the prog.
     
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  45. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    SW Vic gonna be hit head on if this verifies...

     
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  46. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    That's that NW quadrant. ;)
     
  47. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    Snow down to ~600-700m in some areas in Western & Northern Victoria, per the EC run:


    Snow in strange places....
     
  48. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    DiscoStuAU, TheFake, CarveMan and 7 others like this.
  49. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    Was about to say - snap
     
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  50. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    Couple of cm's possible for OP Monday night?