Predictions 30th May - 3rd June System

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by POW_hungry, May 21, 2020.

  1. stormkite2000

    stormkite2000 One of Us

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 2020
    Messages:
    710
    Likes Received:
    2,044
    Now that's a fine tuned forecast with the even a prediction time stamp.:thumbs:
     
  2. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    19,916
    Likes Received:
    27,232
    Location:
    Eastern Burbs of Sydney
    Sounds like a nice time for the embeded UL vort bands to rock the casbah:


    EC 1pm:
     
  3. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2017
    Messages:
    38,782
    Likes Received:
    39,616
    Location:
    woonona
    T storm for Vicco?
     
  4. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    19,916
    Likes Received:
    27,232
    Location:
    Eastern Burbs of Sydney
    With that band? It’s got a good chance IMO.
    But more likely to induce heavy falls/hail, sleet to low levels IMO.
     
  5. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Silver

    Joined:
    Jul 29, 2015
    Messages:
    7,459
    Likes Received:
    6,857
    Location:
    Melbourne
    Ms.Bunn's automated modelling has come down 5 cms from 20 +cms to about 14-15 cms for 1650 M. at Hotham. Still XC skiable but like not 20+cms is.
    http://www.janebunn.net/mt-hotham
     
  6. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

    Joined:
    Mar 7, 2010
    Messages:
    1,104
    Likes Received:
    642
    What about mt dandy pow? Sits at 630m asl
     
  7. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

    Joined:
    Mar 7, 2010
    Messages:
    1,104
    Likes Received:
    642
    Trentham sits at exactly 700m asl.
    Daylesford sits at 616m asl.
    They look to be around the bullseye of the coldest part of system atm imo
     
    Claude Cat likes this.
  8. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    10,971
    Likes Received:
    15,962
    Location:
    Box Hill, Vic.
    More chance for them, than Mt Dandenong, but we will see.
     
    doogasnow likes this.
  9. stormkite2000

    stormkite2000 One of Us

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 2020
    Messages:
    710
    Likes Received:
    2,044


    Hotham


    Forecast Air Temperature
    Model: BoM ADFD
    Resolution: 3km VIC/TAS, 6km NSW/QLD/WA/SA/NT
     
    doddles, Claude Cat and Gregah like this.
  10. Karicta

    Karicta A Local Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2011
    Messages:
    6,480
    Likes Received:
    4,497
    I predict those ascending feathertop tomorrow are going to have a full-on day!
     
    DidSurfNowSki likes this.
  11. stormkite2000

    stormkite2000 One of Us

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 2020
    Messages:
    710
    Likes Received:
    2,044
    AS the low moves further east next 2 days ec thinking it's going too whip-up the tasman somewhat.










    Wind direction arrows is my favourite display on plots.
     
    SnowBound, Claude Cat and POW_hungry like this.
  12. stormkite2000

    stormkite2000 One of Us

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 2020
    Messages:
    710
    Likes Received:
    2,044
    looks like it will be the current 700mb vort gets off the coast and gets going i think.
     
    Donzah and POW_hungry like this.
  13. Snowmaker7

    Snowmaker7 One of Us

    Joined:
    Jul 25, 2013
    Messages:
    230
    Likes Received:
    531
    Location:
    Bowral, NSW
    Currently staying in Jindy. Radar looks ok for this evening, but the main blob may shoot too far north for the NSW resorts (I predict Crookwell/CTs will do surprisingly well out of this later tonight). Left Thredbo village at 1pm when it was snowing nicely but was thinking about heading to perisher later this evening for a look if it seems worth it. Anyone have a prediction of what time the next band will hit (if at all)?
     
  14. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2017
    Messages:
    38,782
    Likes Received:
    39,616
    Location:
    woonona
    I really enjoy the 6 foot cliffs of sand at my local beach.
    Preparing for 12 foot versions now.
     
  15. Homer

    Homer One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2005
    Messages:
    583
    Likes Received:
    1,012
    Location:
    Castle Hill - Sydney

    Just keep an eye on Sat pics and the radar.
    You're in real time obs now, which are easy to keep a tab on.
     
  16. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    19,916
    Likes Received:
    27,232
    Location:
    Eastern Burbs of Sydney
    Some explosive convection as the 700mb cold pool/front moves offshore (Port Stephens, Sydney Coast etc.), going off the radar just now.
     
    JM72 likes this.
  17. stormkite2000

    stormkite2000 One of Us

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 2020
    Messages:
    710
    Likes Received:
    2,044