I am in two minds about this system. It's a tricky one. There's divergence and there's potential for some East Coast troughing that may, get drawn into it - bringing with it warm air advection. Fortunately, at 150 hours out, there's time on our side. EC favours a cut off system, this is where it gets tricky, due to variable nature of where the cold air lands and it's intake from the NE, along the coast. Ideally, we want this moved into the Tasman ASAP. The Canuck doesn't mind the 3rd at all and probably has the more advantageous outcome. But it appears to underestimate the coastal trough + plus it has a particularly bullish favouring of the system as it passes SW WA (big divergence). GFS paints a more benign picture with only a frontal clipper signaled, yet. To some degree, there is still some of that trough interaction that EC alludes to but it's likely to be pushed Eastward by a shortwave in this scenario, rather than draw it over the Alps. GFS: IMO we'll see more settlement on this tomorrow once our big anomaly through the SE tomorrow verifies, but my gut and EC's model trend says there's some snowfall there... atleast for now.