Predictions 4-6th October

[POW Hungry]

One for the backcountry crew.
A reinforced low slides South of Tasmania under dominant, ridging influence. Backed by GFS & EC.
Prefrontal is assured, but I am seeing a nice embedded trough in the tail.

5-25cm above 1600m IMO.

EC 12z:

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

EC is showing 10 cms at Falls Creek and Hotham for Tuesday the 5th of October. That could almost be worth a ski if you live in the area and want to have last XC/BC ski for 2021.
Their forecast is from a report that was Updated: Thu Sep 30th, 6:17 am

 

[rocketboy]

AAO has firmed in latest ensemble for a reasonable dip.

 

[POW Hungry]

AAO has firmed in latest ensemble for a reasonable dip.

GFS up to its old tricks again.

Its showing a decent, cold follow-up system on the 7/8th (which mind you, has been there for over week).

Nonetheless, an upgrade on EC for the titled date range:

 

[Baw Baw Bear]

I Predict BB is Tucked ,auto correct sorry !!

 

[iagreewithhim]

Can I just say that this is the first actual snow-related thread I've looked at since July?

 

[POW Hungry]

Can I just say

Forget it, your Gladys COVID press release subscription is showing.

 

[iagreewithhim]

Uh? Oh never mind.

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

I Predict BB is Tucked ,auto correct sorry !!

Baw Baw looks like it will get enough snow to XC ski on , if you are a local. You will need an early start what with a warm sun and no base.
Lake Mtn. looks like it will get some snow too.

 

[Infinity Dawn]

Looks good on EC, net 0 tho

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

EC summary for the next 7 days.
2130. 1/10/21

NEXT 7 DAYS​

Mt Buller: 27-29cm​

Mt Hotham: 43-45cm​

Falls Creek: 35-42cm​

Mt Baw Baw: 21-32cm​

Perisher: 40-51cm​

Thredbo: 39-46cm​

Charlotte Pass: 54-64cm​

Selwyn: 32cm​

Lake Mountain: 20cm​

Mt Stirling: 30-33cm​

Ben Lomond: 4cm​

Mt Mawson: 1cm​

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

EC is predicting snow on 5/10/21 and 11/10/21 at Falls Creek. Possibly enough to XC ski on.

 

[Vandans]

BOM charts today 4 day rule. http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

 

[POW Hungry]

You can lock in 10-30cm by Tuesday eve IMO.
Thursday is looking messy with 1-5cm and perhaps 10-15mm of rain.

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

EC now predicts what looks like a SW Low pressure system a.k.a a Baw Baw special with the main snow fall coming on Thursday this week..

NEXT 7 DAYS​

Mt Buller: 30-31cm​

Mt Hotham: 12-21cm​

Falls Creek: 11-14cm​

Mt Baw Baw: 27-30cm​

Perisher: 21-34cm​

Thredbo: 29-33cm​

Charlotte Pass: 34-43cm​

Selwyn: 12cm​

Lake Mountain: 24cm​

Mt Stirling: 28-30cm​

Ben Lomond: 0cm​

Mt Mawson: 7cm​

 

[Jabes]

Hopefully we cop another sly hit in Tas too. Looks like WOJ will score the best juice

 

[Gregah]

Mt Hotham. A bit of fun to watch on the cams.

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

EC summary. 4.10.21
1856 hours.

NEXT 7 DAYS​

Mt Buller: 9-16cm​

Mt Hotham: 10-18cm​

Falls Creek: 5-7cm​

Mt Baw Baw: 25-28cm​

Perisher: 11-23cm​

Thredbo: 22-24cm​

Charlotte Pass: 31-31cm​

Selwyn: 4cm​

Lake Mountain: 17cm​

Mt Stirling: 16-17cm​

Ben Lomond: 7cm​

Mt Mawson: 12cm​

 

[rocketboy]

AAO could either flat line or go deep. Plenty of weather down south waiting for a breakout. An October surprise could well be brewing.

 

[POW Hungry]

AAO could either flat line or go deep. Plenty of weather down south waiting for a breakout. An October surprise could well be brewing.

Seemingly the odds are against anything significant when you take into account Access-S.

 

[rocketboy]

Seemingly the odds are against anything significant when you take into account Access-S.

flat line it is then.

 

[Young Angus]

Wowza I hadn't been paying attention, something fun to look at I hope!

 

[skimax]

AAO could either flat line or go deep. Plenty of weather down south waiting for a breakout. An October surprise could well be brewing.

the old October 2 foot storm , Used to be around the time of the old Herald Sun tour in October .