Predictions 7-12th Jun 2021 - Curtain Raiser

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Kletterer

Thredbo Doughnut Tragic
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Nov 26, 2014
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EC 12Z Fri 5pm- Sat 5pm. A Wintry mix of precip to begin with and some marginal conditions persisting/ fluctuating.
xx_model-en-304-0_modez_2021061012_43_41597_644.png
 

Kletterer

Thredbo Doughnut Tragic
Moderator
Nov 26, 2014
22,852
27,286
1,063
Canberra
Stay on Topic. This is Predictions. Edit - Off Topic posts have been moved to Observations
 

Donza

Dogs body...
Platinum
Apr 21, 2004
129,056
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woonona
850hpa temps for the MR are ok for a period from late tonight through to Mid afternoon.
 

Donza

Dogs body...
Platinum
Apr 21, 2004
129,056
87,232
3,563
woonona
Moitsure progs are strong.

Winds will be quite strong as well. Possibility of wind-hold IMO.

I'm looking at NSW.
 
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Donza

Dogs body...
Platinum
Apr 21, 2004
129,056
87,232
3,563
woonona
BOM have the snowline at 1400m. Which is consistent with the 850hpa temps.
However it may be lower than that from midnight to 6am.

I'd expect chains from Sawpit - rising to wilsons.
Slush and snow on road to Thredbo.

Thats a ball park situation to make people realise re this storm.
 
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