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Predictions 8-11th June

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by Claude Cat, May 31, 2016.

  1. loweee

    loweee One of Us

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    Perisher totals on the back end near 50cm
     
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  2. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Yep i recon your right.

    I probably over cooked the Spag analysis for this weekend. Main range gets so hammered by westerlies, so I am always looking for snow from the east, which is really not that great for resorts, but great for the higher north faces.

    This system is looking minty.
     
  3. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Welcome @Baggage
     
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  4. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  5. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    GFS a hell of a lot better - not quite an alignment with EC, a little earlier, but colder.

     
  6. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    It definitely looks better on the Spag than this weekend. But then sort of flattens out over the south east.

    I forgot about the light blue lines. I think this may develop into an event.

    [​IMG]
     
  7. Nowada

    Nowada Addicted

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    Back end changing for the better. Hope it keeps improving but still a long way out. The previous system appears to be settling down so hopefully the model progression wont change so much now.
     
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  8. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'm no expert, in fact I'm mostly a plonk on this stuff but from what lord Donza has mentioned looking for consistency in the two control lines is a good indication something might happen.
     
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  9. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Yowzers, improving with every run on GFS
    IMO

    [​IMG]
     
  10. Kelpieboy

    Kelpieboy One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Starting to think this system may well bare fruit towards its back half anyway. Still not entirely on it yet but 30 - 40 cms wouldnt be a surprise , either would a bucketload of rain for that matter.
     
  11. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    That looks pretty decent all of a sudden
     
  12. nfip

    nfip Cold n' Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Hmmm.
    Check back in on this on Sunday #4 day rule.
    (If not before ;))
     
  13. Nowada

    Nowada Addicted

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    Yr,no now saying 70 cm at the back end at Perisher Village. Can we keep it at that please.
     
  14. jungfrau

    jungfrau One of Us

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    Still showing 90cm for Hotham Mid Monday on.. (For the week)
     
    #64 jungfrau, Jun 3, 2016
    Last edited: Jun 3, 2016
  15. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    2ft Storm TM
     
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  16. Adelaidometer

    Adelaidometer One of Us

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    Mountainwatch jumping on board with a 'possible blizzard' this Thursday.

    Is it all aboard the opening weekend promotional train, or is this for real?

    :nerd::eek:o_O
     
  17. Snorkler

    Snorkler Part of the Furniture

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    Needs more -AAO
     
  18. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Blizzard just means windy with snow. And still a long way from locked in but improving with every run.
     
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  19. Snorkler

    Snorkler Part of the Furniture

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  20. Chondro

    Chondro One of Us

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    riding the bike to deniliquin on the 10th and camping in a swag.
    Keeping an eye on this hoping not to get too wet on the 10/11/12th zzz.
     
  21. DidSurfNowSki

    DidSurfNowSki One of them Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'm sorry, but I hope you get very wet and cold. ;)
     
  22. Snorkler

    Snorkler Part of the Furniture

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    Here here.
     
  23. Chondro

    Chondro One of Us

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    Now thats not real nice
     
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  24. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Its looking good TM.

    GFS has the existing through / low/ ECL morphing in with the cold air blast 8 to 9 th system and there is no respite (high) until 240 hrs out. If Cold air uppers hang in there..

    [​IMG][​IMG]
     
  25. glengary

    glengary One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Best chance yet of a good fall.
     
  26. Stephen James Allen

    Stephen James Allen Addicted

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    Access G suggesting 20 - 30 cm Friday 9, 10 cm Saturday 10.
     
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  27. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    EC latest
    [​IMG]
     
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  28. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Stronger yeah?
     
  29. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    perhaps a little.
     
  30. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Perhaps hint that the 11th could produce as well.
     
  31. Baggage

    Baggage Hard Yards

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    Cheers Mate, it's great following the discussion on here. Very active participants with varying amounts of info being thrown around. Whether it be expert advice or just people who have sound knowledge/experience on certain subjects really creates great topics of discussion. I hope I can mix in and provide my point of view whilst learning a lot as well.
    Keep it up. My first Season in NZ so really looking forward to it and I hope my timing is a good one. Looks good at the moment but like I said and everyone is interested in is this bizzare start of season set up.
    Let it Dump.
    Cheers Crew
     
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  32. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    That EC run has all the hallmarks of a season starter from 9-11th there. That second lick of cold air in the bight looks ready to traject at the mainland alps. The next few days runs should reveal the possibility.

    GFS also has it hinted in the 00z run.
    [​IMG]

    Open that date range to include the 11/12th?
     
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  33. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    If it hangs in tomorrow's runs I will.
     
  34. Baggage

    Baggage Hard Yards

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    There's call for another prediction range. Looks like a stall to me unless that big high over WA pushes over the top ie: Grasshopper. Models are very divergent as models go. NZ is up for some very interesting feeds over that period 4 day rule..!!
     
  35. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    EC has the High positioned better, no doubt about it. GFS leans a little more for an NZ gain. We're too far out though.
     
  36. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  37. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    If it holds, season starter IMO

    Just not so keen that it's happening on opening weekend as that is usually a bad omen to a season...
     
  38. Bluebird

    Bluebird One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    She's on holiday anyway - I follow her on Instagram and she's been putting up pics from QLD. She might miss this bit of exciting weather!
     
  39. Nidecker

    Nidecker One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Oh if she's in QLD she will cop this :)
     
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  40. Astro66

    Astro66 Still looking for a park in Thredbo

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    This is 8th through to 10th. Cold and Moist. Cold lagging slightly. Looks fabulous for opening weekend.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
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  41. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Spag looking hawt this morning.
    8-9th, 11th, 14-15th.
     
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  42. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    sure does
     
  43. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS has the 11th lacking a little moisture and maybe a clipper. EC has things positioned better for alps snow. Certainly looks cold enough.
    9th on the otherhand has temps marginal for the alps (snow above 1700m at this stage) with a lot of moisture. This trough/ECL is throwing things I think.

    I don't see an upgrade but looks to be one to follow (9-11th).
     
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  44. Karicta

    Karicta A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yr no would be 1.2m beginning to end on MtP. I can't remember the last time I saw such huge numbers on yr no
     
  45. DidSurfNowSki

    DidSurfNowSki One of them Ski Pass: Gold

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    What's the likelihood of there being any base ? Or are we just going to sink straight to the bottom skiing on the QBW ?
     
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  46. Slalom

    Slalom A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Even 20% of those totals would be a good outcome.
     
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  47. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    No base whatsoever for QBW. Not uncommon.
     
  48. TDS

    TDS Hard Yards

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    Would like to know this
     
  49. telecrag

    telecrag Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    See above.
     
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  50. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    9 to 11oclock here is looking pretty good, thats the system we're talking about:
    [​IMG]
     
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