Winter 1949 was rather heavy for Bombala: http://www.traveller.com.au/now-thats-a-dump-24swhThis event could deliver big for Bombala area - in the 80s there was an event there that dumped 1 metre at 800m and not so much in the alps.
Wish I could remember the date so I could look up the synoptic chart.....
https://www.ski.com.au/xf/threads/9-12-may-winter-starter-kit.81182/Might need to start an obs thread - looks like it is starting to turn to Snow in Mt Mawson cam
I remember the 1984 snowfall well. Fell to 200m ASL in Central Vic that morning. Not really comparable to tomorrow's event.
Thursday 10 May
Showers then snow. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 10 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 90%
Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of snow showers. The chance of a thunderstorm with possible small hail. Winds northwesterly 40 to 60 km/h turning westerly 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon.
The D models are playing into the whole pin-the-tail scenario. The placement will not only the determining factor for precip but also the hardest thing to prog. It's up to the system itself now.Yeah . Am not exactly adding to the vibe sorry. Just a couple of things that show less favourable outcome from what i am seeing atm.