Is it worth doing a thread for the front coming in July 9 or is there not enough in it? Looked like there could be some half decent falls for NSW on July 9 to 10. Maybe 10 - 15 cm as it stands.
Predictions 9-12th Inland Trough
- Thread starter Medicine_Shoes
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This date range is trending as a marginal inland trough.
Moisture is inbound courtesy of the NW cloud band created by a subsiding Westward frontal system. Outlook is for marginal snow-gain above 1700m. 5-10cm gain above the ele IMO.
Looking kinda messy here via GFS IR simulation.
Looking better on EC this arvo for temps in this date range.
I am eyeballing temps ok for accum above 1500m now.This date range looking a bit meh at this stage (for mid July).
IMO this is good….pineapple trends and all
Yes agreed. A little top up, plus all the snowmaking this week before the next main event means we will still be looking pretty good.
Trending hard today.
Looking much betterer for the back end of the date range - past this troughy mess.
Has potential for another 20cm or so IMO.
As for the trough on the 9th... Looking like it will have a minimal impact which is great.
Friday (9th July) trough system still checking in with snow above ~1500m.
However the follow-up frontal pattern on the 11/12th is looking like snow for all mainland resorts top to bottom, above 900m at times (Mon).
Thursday Friday's NSW trough is looking far more benign on recent runs.
The alpine region might see a dusting at best now.
As for the trough early next week (11-13th), it's looking like a super-light top-up at best IMO. 2-5cm gain as it stands IMO.
Snow down as low as 1200m IMO.
Maybe now 5+cm across Monday-Tuesday?
This is feeling like one of those seasons where we get those small consistent top ups with a few dumps. And staying cold with minimal rain. Ie as good as it gets in Aus.BOM is showing maybe 5-10cms at Falls Creek for this period. Moisture for the 14th-16th looks good too. Just need temps down a couple of degrees
