ouch... that's gotta smart a bit, not even a dust settler. hopefully there's a surprise in the next round of goodies. TH
Over the last 4 days or so I've recorded 0.2+1.7+3.3+0.5 = 5.7mm giving a total of 9.5mm for December so far. Looking at your records Skifree, looks like I'm about 16mm up for the year to end of Nov. For some reason I thought that you had a higher total. What do you use to measure your rainfall? I use a Nylex 1000 rain gauge. Let's see what Dec brings to end 2020.
I think it is one of these, maybe not this brand, looks like the same product is sold under various labels. Mine is somewhat yellowed. https://www.bunnings.com.au/holman-professional-rain-gauge-cylinder_p0013754 It's location may be a little sheltered but I'm thinking it gives a fair report of the average rain over the yard.
We are in a bit of a shadow area, so we often see rain South and to the North and about 3 to 4km inland and will not get a drop at home.
Yep, that's the one. I've tried to put mine in the most open part of the yard to minimise any disruption to rainfall from trees, buildings etc. Wonder what would be causing your shadow effect unless it's just the luck of the draw for this year. I'll have a look at the other months and see if there is any pattern when I get time.
there's some serious cirrus there... heat just in time for the weekend, we deserve it after the winter bollocking we got last weekend, looks to carry on over to monday too at this stage both gfs and ec have christmas day a very bog standard garden variety mediterranian fine and cool to mild. i've put my order in for 40° with scattered supercells but i think i've been too naughty. TH
> Today’s morning cloud scapes, delivered nothing except humid hair dryer. Was mostly like that - I did see some nice looking virga this arvo and even heard a pitter patter first thing this morning.
y'all got something....all i got was someone ring me from a long way away which ended up rain wise being a far call. non-deliverance is the order of the day thanks that mother sucking vacuum cleaner on the east coast. i blame it for everything.... why.....cos i can. jeeze ya dont have to be dead to be stiff do ya, i only thought the doldrums existed out in the ocean. i did get a good smattering of dribble almost tending to rain up around pt. wakefield yesterday to the point the road was visibly wet but i manged to refrain from dialling 000 for an emergency rescue from the 3mm deep puddles on the road. the horizon and outlook is just as bleak although access and ec seem to be having a bit of a party of sorts on wednesday. other than that all i see is much wailing and gnashing of teeth. TH
Can someone explain how the forecast can go from Showers and a chance of a thunderstorm at 5.40AM to a Chance of a shower 90 minutes later? No wonder the folks at the BOM cop it.
Some one forgot to look out the window after getting the latest forecast out of the remotely located weather modelling and making the correction.
not quite skifree, sticking ones head out the window comes down to nowcasting not forecasting and is a pet bone of mine but that's another story. gary...the first forecast you looked at had probably been out for quite a while, when you next looked at it (90 minutes later) there was obviously an update. this is not unusual, playing catch up with changing weather conditions can be challenging at best. models and ensembles are as complex and changable as the weather. also forecasters have a huge workload and tight deadlines and a forecast for 'ones little neck of the woods' is but a tiny fraction of their overall workload. however, having said all that even i get a tad frustrated at times. TH
I can read a fresh forecast, absolutely fresh as and look out the window and know it is absolute rubbish. Sometimes. Not often but not rarely. We are slaves to the models.
Getting a tad frustrating hearing how Australia will be smashed with above average rainfall with scant reference to those areas in NW Vic, SA and WA getting scant attention by the BOM in their videos and the wider media.
yer, climate change.....were all doomed. fighting coastal erosion is an exercise in futility just let nature take its course and adjust accordingly. mans propensity to build close to the shoreline is the problem not the erosion that occurs as a result of whatever. the only thing constant is change, adapt and adjust accordingly. mans propensity to build in more and more marginal areas are more and more likely to be trashed by a 'natural disaster' where years before would not have rated a mention. what the planet desperately needs is a virus twice as virulent as covid and 50+ times more deadly that takes out 50% or better of the global population. we are a product of nature therefore everything we do is natural. if we trash the planet big freaking deal, other than us who cares. nature doesn't give a fat rats clacker what we do, nature will be around billions of years after were gone, nature will always bounce back with something new and different long after our global civilisation has been subducted, recycled and unrecognizably regurgitated. the weather does whatever it likes, like it always has and aways will. we can try and modify it but it will simply be robbing peter to pay paul. still plenty of summer to go and still a work in progress, we can debrief on what did or didn't eventuate in april when the fat lady has sung. TH
might get a mil or 3 over the next couple of days. some places will get a proper drenching....just not here. should have a sort but nice tropical feel about it though. TH
Nice bit of rain this morning. I was out and about driving and I had the wind screen wipers on most of the time. Not that much in my rain gauge but it is in a pretty bodgy spot anyway depending on which way the wind blows ;-)
2mls in the Exeter gauge this morning. Just enough to dampen the new pea straw mulch but not enough to get thru it.
3.3mm here. southerlies, southerlies, southerlies, nothing but ******* southerlies. when it comes to screwing up christmas the climate outranks and outperformes covid anyday. welcome to s.a ...... the mundane state. TH
Update on my rainfall figures for December : 1.5mm for Dec 21 & 3.2mm for Dec 22 giving a Dec total of 14.2mm & YTD of 434.5mm. This may well be the total for 2020 as there doesn't seem to be much on the horizon between now & NYE. As a comparison YPAD has 17.0mm for Dec & YTD 369.8mm.
yer FW, looking that way, keeping one eye on it every now and then. was going to mention it a bit down the track but you put pay to that. disappeared in a puff of dust without so much as a see you later. it appears to have been administered by someone who should never have started it in the first place, looks like we jumped ship just in time. in light of the way it was run....good riddance. at least we're some where good and properly run now. been in central vic for the last week, nothing overly interesting to report weatherwise although that cool change certainly had some grunt sunday afternoon and the piddling unmeasurable bit of precipitation that made it to earth was chock-o-block full of dirt which made it as clear as mud and trashed any vehicle cleaning efforts in about 2.76 nanoseconds. vic is going to get some decent rain from the north and east just in time after my leaving. it may retrograde over the border a bit into s.e.s.a. as well. a nice tropical feed that we don't get to taste... again. s.a.is going to get some weather north of pt augusta as well early next week while the gulf areas get a wheelbarrow load of nothing as usual..... yawn. TH
Last double digit rain here October 11th. 341 mm for year against average of 340. 9 mm for nov dec about 20 mm since 11 th oct. Rain water getting dire. Really doesn’t appear jan gonna help situation. Few 30mm falls peebinga etc fri sat
It will rain again but when is on everyone’s lips. Farmers who need summer rain for lucerne upper se and mid se it’s shockingly dry pasture shit
ZZZZZZZZ........POP!!!!! yaaaawn, streach, snort. huh? aaaahhhh! at last something of note on the horizon mid next week. and whats this stuff next mionday/tuesday, no it cant be... OMFG yes it is.... it's... **H-E-A-T** oooh i better stop before i wet myself. TH
Gawd, When is this is this wind going to end? I have been off work for 3 weeks and as an avid fisherman I can't remember a summer that's been as windy as this I've only been able to get out on 3 days this season so far (not happy Jan) haha
yes this damned incessant wind has been nothing but a pain in the arse since the day it started. anything above 10kmh can stay above 850hpa. this heat will be a welcome change even if it ain't marrow boiling material. the rain at the end of it is yo-yo-ing atm, just hope it doesn't end up in the bugger all box... again. TH
Adelaids 'on average' coolest start to summer in 19 years... so they say. finally the heat is on, the end is looking more dry with every run. TH
Be optimistic mate! Another weather site has made mention of the forming of a Ningaloo Nina (Oh Lord!) which they are saying will increase chances of rainfall for those areas forgotten by the BOM and Media. That said I hold no hope of any rain for the southern half of SA, western VIC and southern WA for a long time.
ha ha, and you're telling ME to be optimistic gary... winters a long way off, still up for a good kick in the pants. you said, oh lord @ nigaloo nina, more like WTF?. that's the first i've heard of it. jeeze, i downloaded a pdf on it... https://www.researchgate.net/profil...cf27acb0de87026/On-the-Ningaloo-Nino-Nina.pdf and after reading the abstract my head was spinning harder than an F5 on steroids. i mean seriously... nigaloo nina?, what next?, a noogatistic dipole? doesn't matter what you call it, if we don't get a decent rain soon the landscape is going to start to wrinkle. TH
well the rain situation at the end of this heat has gone from half decent to totally bad. aka 0 we are now rapidly moving toward end game if this is la nina they can shove it. give me el nino anyday. at least it does what they say it does. TH
TH - as for rain, I have no models to fall back on; however, I am going for mid Feb before anything to write home about. I would accept the dryness if only the media and agencies would acknowledge that all of Australia is not inundated. As far as I can see anything to the south of the tropics and west of the great divide doesn't exist and as for most, so long as water comes out of the tap everything is fine.
Over in Marion Bay at the moment. Drove into Innes National Park at midday to be greeted by a short but somewhat heavy shower.
Steady rain here for the last 15 - 20 minutes. Light rain but the gutters are flowing nicely. That was unexpected today. FYR - Adelaide Southern Suburbs
Really? I told the crane crew this morning it would be windy & raining by lunch after looking at the window after breakfast. And it's now raining in Kent Town.
Ah! I see you use the gold standard forecasting tool each morning. Much more accurate than published forecasts!
