The PDO barely affects Australian weather though.
First week of Nov lining up.
It's a weak signal on ensembles, but EC determs suggest 'come in spinner':
Wettest day in a week of dampness, a little cracking rumble, a little small hail, a lot of good steady rain.
Jindy North Shore.
Lake Jindabyne up from 52 to 72 % in 3 months... WYep.... even here in the rain shadow we unexpectedly received 20mm from that bit of cloud cover I posted pics of yesterday.....very welcome indeed.
And, the mountain runoff from snow melt and recent rains into the lake is accumulating nicely now. It’s not full but has a lot more than several weeks back.
Rolling in .....
Nothing much to report looking from leeward towards PV in this general area.
Looks like a few spots of rain going by the BOM. No wind here. Waiting to see if it builds from the W or NW. That where the cells seem to be currently.
Models have come to their +SAM senses and dropped the polar outbreak neck week.
Unlike the storms North of here the local rain has generally been soaking but not smashing down. My property in the rain shadow sitting on 75mm for the storm event to date. Happy with that . Just a few sprinkles to date since dawn.
Our river benefiting from local falls. It’s headwaters are at Mt Terrible, not far from Thredbo but above 1800 ASL. Decent flush happening.