Mega Thread Alpine and Southern Summer Weather Hotplate

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Mister Tee on XC Skis, Nov 30, 2019.

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  1. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Silver

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    http://www.janebunn.net/mt-stirling
    The modelling has gone ape shite for Mt. Stirling for Sunday and Monday at 1700 M. It predicts, at present , 26 cm.s of snow above 1700 M.It predicts 10 cm of snow for 1550 M. i.e . King Spur hut.
    http://www.janebunn.net/falls-creek
    Falls Ck., Hot Ham and the automated modelling look quite similar.
    http://www.janebunn.net/falls-creek
    http://www.janebunn.net/mt-hotham

    Baw Baw is strengthening its XC ski rock hopper potential.The modelling is not backing off on BB .
    http://www.janebunn.net/mt-baw-baw
    :emoji_snowflake::ski:
     
    #1 Mister Tee on XC Skis, Nov 30, 2019
  2. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    Summer snowfall at Buller :thumbs:
     
    #2 Jellybeans, Dec 1, 2019
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  3. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    #3 Claude Cat, Dec 1, 2019
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  4. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Silver

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    #4 Mister Tee on XC Skis, Dec 1, 2019
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  5. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Silver

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    Baw Baw is set for showers of R**n at first at 1600 today and then snow tomorrow.
    I am still interested in rock hopping on XC skis in December :) .
     
    #5 Mister Tee on XC Skis, Dec 1, 2019
  6. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    Cedarwood looking quite nice.

    Looking like at least a few cms so far.
     
    #6 Jellybeans, Dec 1, 2019
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  7. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Perisher..... starting to stick now. Minus one and snowing steady above around 1750 ASL. Summer :thumbs:.
     
    #7 SMSkier, Dec 1, 2019
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  8. SAsurfa

    SAsurfa One of Us

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    Looking good on the cams, haven't read comments on totals, but we thinking 40cm or so for NSW?
     
    #8 SAsurfa, Dec 1, 2019
  9. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    Probably more like 15-25cm all up.
     
    #9 Jellybeans, Dec 1, 2019
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  10. SAsurfa

    SAsurfa One of Us

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    Hmm Access totals much higher, I'd expect more
     
    #10 SAsurfa, Dec 1, 2019
  11. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Fly South for Winter they said.....it’s Summer down there :rolleyes:....


     
    #11 SMSkier, Dec 1, 2019
    Last edited: Dec 1, 2019
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  12. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    AXS-R has been particularly bullish on precip totals for the last month or two.
    It looks to me BoM's WATL siding with OCF/EC:


    Tomorrow AM 5-11am holds the most promise for particular heavy falls with the passing of the trough and secondary front.

    Tuesday looks to be a non-event for NSW.

    Short duration says to me accumulations in the 15-20cm range for Main Range above 1600m are about right IMO.

    A lot of low-level stuff in the Bight, with very little depth indicative of low PW figures IMO:
     
    #12 POW_hungry, Dec 1, 2019
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  13. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Silver

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    http://www.janebunn.net/mt-baw-baw
    The automated modelling is decreasing the expected snow fall for Mt.Baw Baw. What was 10 cm is now a very marginal 7 cm..
    Hot Ham looks like the pick of out of season rock hopper locations , IF this snow fall bearing low pressure weather system actually delivers.

    http://www.janebunn.net/mt-hotham
     
    #13 Mister Tee on XC Skis, Dec 1, 2019
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  14. GS

    GS Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    My other half is cruising down the NSW coast from Sydney tonight with gale warnings in place. Tomorrow’s scheduled crossing of Bass Strait has been cancelled and they’re stopping in Eden instead. Would have been an entertaining trip I reckon.
     
    #14 GS, Dec 1, 2019
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  15. Paperboy

    Paperboy One of Us

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    Snowing heavy this afternoon near eyre tbar, did someone say summer? What's that.

     
    #15 Paperboy, Dec 1, 2019
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  16. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    7mm at Perisher since 9am.
    9mm at Buller but marginal temps below 1700m, going off the AWS.
     
    #16 POW_hungry, Dec 1, 2019
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  17. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    I know i said it would be a year of Anomalies but this is getting rediculous.
     
    #17 Kletterer, Dec 1, 2019
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  18. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Nothing at Moonbah in respect to rain.... just a bit of evening cloud coming off the mountains....




     
    #18 SMSkier, Dec 1, 2019
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  19. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Silver

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    #19 Mister Tee on XC Skis, Dec 1, 2019
  20. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Won't happen.
    You can already see Buller AWS (1700m) is marginal @ +0.3C with 10mm fallen with just a dusting in the village.
    Too marginal for Buffalo.
     
    #20 POW_hungry, Dec 1, 2019
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  21. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Silver

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    Yes, You are right and I can only dream on...… I think XC skiing on 30 cm of Powder snow at Baw Baw on 9/11/19 was excellent but won't happen again in a hurry, nor the heavy snowfall at the end of May 2019 that made Lake Mountain totally skiable.
     
    #21 Mister Tee on XC Skis, Dec 1, 2019
  22. Paperboy

    Paperboy One of Us

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    Jindabyne this morning clear snow line, 2nd day of summer.
     
    #22 Paperboy, Dec 2, 2019
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  23. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    According to cams Buller looks to have picked up about 2-4cm.
    With Perisher and Thredbo on perhaps 4-6cm coverage.
     
    #23 POW_hungry, Dec 2, 2019
  24. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Falls Creek on the other hand looks like it’s picked up perhaps 15-20cm.

    Hotham looks not far behind it.
     
    #24 POW_hungry, Dec 2, 2019
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  25. Adaminaby Angler

    Adaminaby Angler Addicted

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    Anglers Reach, NSW; 1,290 m AMSL; 35° 59′ 52.08″ S
    Summary thus far (1,290 m AMSL; 35° 59' 52.08" S): low temp of 0.5° C at 5:34 AM (foredawn), currently 1.1° C; intermittent snow flurries, with 5.8 mm in the gauge.
     
    #25 Adaminaby Angler, Dec 2, 2019
    Last edited: Dec 2, 2019
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  26. teckel

    teckel Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Decent dusting at LM too. Only a dusting because the temp didn't get down to 0 until 5am.
     
    #26 teckel, Dec 2, 2019
  27. Telestrom

    Telestrom A Local

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    Looking great this morning at DP
     
    #27 Telestrom, Dec 2, 2019
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  28. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Good coverage. I'd be guessing 10-15cm there?
    Suns out too.

    @SMSkier any rumbles this morning?
     
    #28 POW_hungry, Dec 2, 2019
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  29. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Not locally. Mixed bag here currently. Sun, cloud and some occasional light rain. Just 2mm registered here so far. Cool though. Looking towards the border.....

     
    #29 SMSkier, Dec 2, 2019
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  30. Telestrom

    Telestrom A Local

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    #30 Telestrom, Dec 2, 2019
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  31. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    Baw Baw is getting in on the snowfall:
     
    #31 Jellybeans, Dec 2, 2019
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  32. Adaminaby Angler

    Adaminaby Angler Addicted

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    Anglers Reach, NSW; 1,290 m AMSL; 35° 59′ 52.08″ S
    Transitioned back into common rainfall, albeit with sleety mix; 6.3 mm registered.

    Maximum reading currently standing at 3.1° C, and forecast to remain below 5° C via TWC—not considering the 9:00 AM reset.
     
    #32 Adaminaby Angler, Dec 2, 2019
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  33. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Here’s the princess hwy this morning.

     
    #33 rocketboy, Dec 2, 2019
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  34. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Silver

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    The upper section of Mt. Stirling looks XC skiable. It looks like it has about 10-15 cm and has filled in nicely since yesterday.
    Welcome to Summer in the Vic. Alps :) .
     
    #34 Mister Tee on XC Skis, Dec 2, 2019
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  35. SAsurfa

    SAsurfa One of Us

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    Not good.
     
    #35 SAsurfa, Dec 2, 2019
  36. Raph

    Raph Hard Yards

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    "First tracks" up Buffalo this morning...
     
    #36 Raph, Dec 2, 2019
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  37. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    Buller via FB, about 10cm apparently:

    Perisher via FB:
     
    #37 Jellybeans, Dec 2, 2019
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  38. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Also reported that " Great Alpine road closed to Hotham and between Falls Creek and Omeo Highway"
     
    #38 Claude Cat, Dec 2, 2019
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  39. Paperboy

    Paperboy One of Us

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    Charlottes Pass this morning, beautiful, lucky snowplough ploughed a track for us.
     
    #39 Paperboy, Dec 2, 2019
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  40. DidSurfNowSki

    DidSurfNowSki One of them Ski Pass: Gold

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    [​IMG]
     
    #40 DidSurfNowSki, Dec 2, 2019
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  41. D_Dog

    D_Dog Hard Yards

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    Check out the satellite! This is a big system, especially for summer.
     
    #41 D_Dog, Dec 2, 2019
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  42. Adaminaby Angler

    Adaminaby Angler Addicted

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    Maximum temperature here still standing at 3.1° C, and now down to 1.8° C; snow showers.
     
    #42 Adaminaby Angler, Dec 2, 2019
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  43. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Silver

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    @POW_hungry thought that Mt. Buffalo would not get snow. It is snowing at most ski locations now :).
     
    #43 Mister Tee on XC Skis, Dec 2, 2019
  44. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Silver

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    Mt.Baw Baw looks skiable for rock hopping. I need to decide now if I am going there tomorrow morning for December Nordic skiing.
    2.12.19
     
    #44 Mister Tee on XC Skis, Dec 2, 2019
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  45. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    The URL you shared (snow-forecast.com/GFS) forecasted 19cm for last night... that never happened (as suggested and which you agreed).

    Looks like 4-5cm at best, in line with Buller Village.
     
    #45 POW_hungry, Dec 2, 2019
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  46. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Silver

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    Yes, that forecast you allude to was indeed fanciful but some snow at Mt. Buffalo in December is still good.
     
    #46 Mister Tee on XC Skis, Dec 2, 2019
  47. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    It’s melting quick but there’s been a good amount up high. The alpine in NSW has had a decent snowfall. Existent drifts prior to this event should be good once it clears.

    Currently it seems that the weather is contracting to the peaks.

     
    #47 SMSkier, Dec 2, 2019
    Last edited: Dec 2, 2019
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  48. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Silver

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    It is a toss up whether to go to XC ski Mt. Baw Baw or Mt. Stirling early tomorrow morning.
    Here is the Bluff Spur camera at Mt. Stirling today 2/12/19 at 1455.

     
    #48 Mister Tee on XC Skis, Dec 2, 2019
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  49. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Silver

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    There is so much snow up at Falls Creek in December .
     
    #49 Mister Tee on XC Skis, Dec 2, 2019
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  50. Telestrom

    Telestrom A Local

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    #50 Telestrom, Dec 2, 2019
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