Mega Thread Alpine and Southern Summer Weather Hotplate

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

http://www.janebunn.net/mt-stirling
The modelling has gone ape shite for Mt. Stirling for Sunday and Monday at 1700 M. It predicts, at present , 26 cm.s of snow above 1700 M.It predicts 10 cm of snow for 1550 M. i.e . King Spur hut.
http://www.janebunn.net/falls-creek
Falls Ck., Hot Ham and the automated modelling look quite similar.
http://www.janebunn.net/falls-creek
http://www.janebunn.net/mt-hotham

Baw Baw is strengthening its XC ski rock hopper potential.The modelling is not backing off on BB .
http://www.janebunn.net/mt-baw-baw

 

[Jellybeans]

Summer snowfall at Buller

 

[Claude Cat]

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

Dec. 1st 2019 . Mt. Stirling at approximately 1650 M.
SNOW!
http://www.janebunn.net/mt-stirling

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

Baw Baw is set for showers of R**n at first at 1600 today and then snow tomorrow.
I am still interested in rock hopping on XC skis in December .

 

[Jellybeans]

Cedarwood looking quite nice.

Looking like at least a few cms so far.

 

[SMSkier]

Perisher..... starting to stick now. Minus one and snowing steady above around 1750 ASL. Summer .

 

[Craig B]

Looking good on the cams, haven't read comments on totals, but we thinking 40cm or so for NSW?

 

[Jellybeans]

Looking good on the cams, haven't read comments on totals, but we thinking 40cm or so for NSW?

Probably more like 15-25cm all up.

 

[Craig B]

Probably more like 15-25cm all up.

Hmm Access totals much higher, I'd expect more

 

[SMSkier]

Fly South for Winter they said.....it’s Summer down there ....

 

[POW Hungry]

AXS-R has been particularly bullish on precip totals for the last month or two.
It looks to me BoM's WATL siding with OCF/EC:

Tomorrow AM 5-11am holds the most promise for particular heavy falls with the passing of the trough and secondary front.

Tuesday looks to be a non-event for NSW.

Short duration says to me accumulations in the 15-20cm range for Main Range above 1600m are about right IMO.

A lot of low-level stuff in the Bight, with very little depth indicative of low PW figures IMO:

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

http://www.janebunn.net/mt-baw-baw
The automated modelling is decreasing the expected snow fall for Mt.Baw Baw. What was 10 cm is now a very marginal 7 cm..
Hot Ham looks like the pick of out of season rock hopper locations , IF this snow fall bearing low pressure weather system actually delivers.

http://www.janebunn.net/mt-hotham

 

[GS]

My other half is cruising down the NSW coast from Sydney tonight with gale warnings in place. Tomorrow’s scheduled crossing of Bass Strait has been cancelled and they’re stopping in Eden instead. Would have been an entertaining trip I reckon.

 

[Paperboy]

Snowing heavy this afternoon near eyre tbar, did someone say summer? What's that.

 

[POW Hungry]

7mm at Perisher since 9am.
9mm at Buller but marginal temps below 1700m, going off the AWS.

 

[Kletterer]

I know i said it would be a year of Anomalies but this is getting rediculous.

 

[SMSkier]

Nothing at Moonbah in respect to rain.... just a bit of evening cloud coming off the mountains....

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

https://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Mt-Buffalo/6day/mid
If this forecast comes true then skiing down the Horn road on XC rock hoppers in December at Mt. Buffalo could become a reality!.

 

[POW Hungry]

https://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Mt-Buffalo/6day/mid
If this forecast comes true then skiing down the Horn road on XC rock hoppers in December at Mt. Buffalo could become a reality!.

Won't happen.
You can already see Buller AWS (1700m) is marginal @ +0.3C with 10mm fallen with just a dusting in the village.
Too marginal for Buffalo.

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

Won't happen.
You can already see Buller AWS (1700m) is marginal @ +0.3C with 10mm fallen with just a dusting in the village.
Too marginal for Buffalo.

Yes, You are right and I can only dream on...… I think XC skiing on 30 cm of Powder snow at Baw Baw on 9/11/19 was excellent but won't happen again in a hurry, nor the heavy snowfall at the end of May 2019 that made Lake Mountain totally skiable.

 

[Paperboy]

Jindabyne this morning clear snow line, 2nd day of summer.

 

[POW Hungry]

According to cams Buller looks to have picked up about 2-4cm.
With Perisher and Thredbo on perhaps 4-6cm coverage.

 

[POW Hungry]

Falls Creek on the other hand looks like it’s picked up perhaps 15-20cm.

Hotham looks not far behind it.

 

[Adaminaby Angler]

Summary thus far (1,290 m AMSL; 35° 59' 52.08" S): low temp of 0.5° C at 5:34 AM (foredawn), currently 1.1° C; intermittent snow flurries, with 5.8 mm in the gauge.

 

[teckel]

Decent dusting at LM too. Only a dusting because the temp didn't get down to 0 until 5am.

 

[Telestrom]

Looking great this morning at DP

 

[POW Hungry]

Looking great this morning at DP

Good coverage. I'd be guessing 10-15cm there?
Suns out too.

@SMSkier any rumbles this morning?

 

[SMSkier]

Good coverage. I'd be guessing 10-15cm there?
Suns out too.

@SMSkier any rumbles this morning?

Not locally. Mixed bag here currently. Sun, cloud and some occasional light rain. Just 2mm registered here so far. Cool though. Looking towards the border.....

 

[Telestrom]

 

[Jellybeans]

Baw Baw is getting in on the snowfall:

 

[Adaminaby Angler]

Transitioned back into common rainfall, albeit with sleety mix; 6.3 mm registered.

Maximum reading currently standing at 3.1° C, and forecast to remain below 5° C via TWC—not considering the 9:00 AM reset.

 

[rocketboy]

Here’s the princess hwy this morning.

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

The upper section of Mt. Stirling looks XC skiable. It looks like it has about 10-15 cm and has filled in nicely since yesterday.
Welcome to Summer in the Vic. Alps .

 

[Craig B]

Here’s the princess hwy this morning.

Not good.

 

[Raph]

"First tracks" up Buffalo this morning...

 

[Jellybeans]

Buller via FB, about 10cm apparently:

Perisher via FB:

 

[Claude Cat]

Also reported that " Great Alpine road closed to Hotham and between Falls Creek and Omeo Highway"

 

[Paperboy]

Charlottes Pass this morning, beautiful, lucky snowplough ploughed a track for us.

 

[DidSurfNowSki]

 

[D_Dog]

Check out the satellite! This is a big system, especially for summer.

 

[Adaminaby Angler]

Maximum temperature here still standing at 3.1° C, and now down to 1.8° C; snow showers.

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

"First tracks" up Buffalo this morning...

@POW_hungry thought that Mt. Buffalo would not get snow. It is snowing at most ski locations now .

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

Mt.Baw Baw looks skiable for rock hopping. I need to decide now if I am going there tomorrow morning for December Nordic skiing.
2.12.19

 

[POW Hungry]

@POW_hungry thought that Mt. Buffalo would not get snow. It is snowing at most ski locations now .

The URL you shared (snow-forecast.com/GFS) forecasted 19cm for last night... that never happened (as suggested and which you agreed).

Looks like 4-5cm at best, in line with Buller Village.

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

The URL you shared (snow-forecast.com/GFS) forecasted 19cm for last night... that never happened (as suggested).

Looks like 4-5cm at best, in line with Buller Village.

Yes, that forecast you allude to was indeed fanciful but some snow at Mt. Buffalo in December is still good.

 

[SMSkier]

It’s melting quick but there’s been a good amount up high. The alpine in NSW has had a decent snowfall. Existent drifts prior to this event should be good once it clears.

Currently it seems that the weather is contracting to the peaks.

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

It is a toss up whether to go to XC ski Mt. Baw Baw or Mt. Stirling early tomorrow morning.
Here is the Bluff Spur camera at Mt. Stirling today 2/12/19 at 1455.

 

[Mister Tee on XC Skis]

There is so much snow up at Falls Creek in December .

 

[Telestrom]