http://www.janebunn.net/mt-stirling The modelling has gone ape shite for Mt. Stirling for Sunday and Monday at 1700 M. It predicts, at present , 26 cm.s of snow above 1700 M.It predicts 10 cm of snow for 1550 M. i.e . King Spur hut. http://www.janebunn.net/falls-creek Falls Ck., Hot Ham and the automated modelling look quite similar. http://www.janebunn.net/falls-creek http://www.janebunn.net/mt-hotham Baw Baw is strengthening its XC ski rock hopper potential.The modelling is not backing off on BB . http://www.janebunn.net/mt-baw-baw
Baw Baw is set for showers of R**n at first at 1600 today and then snow tomorrow. I am still interested in rock hopping on XC skis in December .
AXS-R has been particularly bullish on precip totals for the last month or two. It looks to me BoM's WATL siding with OCF/EC: Tomorrow AM 5-11am holds the most promise for particular heavy falls with the passing of the trough and secondary front. Tuesday looks to be a non-event for NSW. Short duration says to me accumulations in the 15-20cm range for Main Range above 1600m are about right IMO. A lot of low-level stuff in the Bight, with very little depth indicative of low PW figures IMO:
http://www.janebunn.net/mt-baw-baw The automated modelling is decreasing the expected snow fall for Mt.Baw Baw. What was 10 cm is now a very marginal 7 cm.. Hot Ham looks like the pick of out of season rock hopper locations , IF this snow fall bearing low pressure weather system actually delivers. http://www.janebunn.net/mt-hotham
My other half is cruising down the NSW coast from Sydney tonight with gale warnings in place. Tomorrow’s scheduled crossing of Bass Strait has been cancelled and they’re stopping in Eden instead. Would have been an entertaining trip I reckon.
https://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Mt-Buffalo/6day/mid If this forecast comes true then skiing down the Horn road on XC rock hoppers in December at Mt. Buffalo could become a reality!.
Won't happen. You can already see Buller AWS (1700m) is marginal @ +0.3C with 10mm fallen with just a dusting in the village. Too marginal for Buffalo.
Yes, You are right and I can only dream on...… I think XC skiing on 30 cm of Powder snow at Baw Baw on 9/11/19 was excellent but won't happen again in a hurry, nor the heavy snowfall at the end of May 2019 that made Lake Mountain totally skiable.
According to cams Buller looks to have picked up about 2-4cm. With Perisher and Thredbo on perhaps 4-6cm coverage.
Falls Creek on the other hand looks like it’s picked up perhaps 15-20cm. Hotham looks not far behind it.
Summary thus far (1,290 m AMSL; 35° 59' 52.08" S): low temp of 0.5° C at 5:34 AM (foredawn), currently 1.1° C; intermittent snow flurries, with 5.8 mm in the gauge.
Not locally. Mixed bag here currently. Sun, cloud and some occasional light rain. Just 2mm registered here so far. Cool though. Looking towards the border.....
Transitioned back into common rainfall, albeit with sleety mix; 6.3 mm registered. Maximum reading currently standing at 3.1° C, and forecast to remain below 5° C via TWC—not considering the 9:00 AM reset.
The upper section of Mt. Stirling looks XC skiable. It looks like it has about 10-15 cm and has filled in nicely since yesterday. Welcome to Summer in the Vic. Alps .
Mt.Baw Baw looks skiable for rock hopping. I need to decide now if I am going there tomorrow morning for December Nordic skiing. 2.12.19
The URL you shared (snow-forecast.com/GFS) forecasted 19cm for last night... that never happened (as suggested and which you agreed). Looks like 4-5cm at best, in line with Buller Village.
Yes, that forecast you allude to was indeed fanciful but some snow at Mt. Buffalo in December is still good.
It’s melting quick but there’s been a good amount up high. The alpine in NSW has had a decent snowfall. Existent drifts prior to this event should be good once it clears. Currently it seems that the weather is contracting to the peaks.
It is a toss up whether to go to XC ski Mt. Baw Baw or Mt. Stirling early tomorrow morning. Here is the Bluff Spur camera at Mt. Stirling today 2/12/19 at 1455.