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Mega Thread Alpine and Southern Summer Weather Hotplate

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by Mister Tee on XC Skis, Nov 30, 2019.

  1. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    Boring days of gales and passing twilight showers.
     
  2. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Popped into the PV thread. Thankfully the winds here in the leeward have dropped off.

     
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  3. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Perisher with 3-5cm on the ground.
    And the Main Range doing its best mid-century painting impression:
     
  4. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Perhaps a little over 5cm above 1900m
     
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  5. warrie

    warrie One of Us

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    Yet to beat 10 cm summer solstice fall of Dec 2010
     
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  6. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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    Mt.Stirling has received a dusting of snow from this cold front.
    Nothing worth breaking the op shop rock hoppers out for.....
     
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  7. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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  8. Mister Tee on XC Skis

    Mister Tee on XC Skis A Local Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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    @chriscross skied at Baw Baw in Dec. 2019 !
     
  9. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    If you're a devout GFS believer, a white Christmas is a rare chance on the the ultra long range GFS model today. At least on high elevation MR and Tassie above 900m.
    [​IMG]
     
  10. Vandans

    Vandans Addicted

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  11. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Rain here on the leeward. Kicked off about 45 minutes back. Falling steady and just what the paddocks and water tanks needed. Has not dropped much on the mountains and Alpine thus far. BOM showing a few mm at PV. Monaro should be getting a decent drink. Garden happy to boot!!



    EDIT: 19 mm for the first round. Nothing compared to all the northern rains however good to get it on these.......

     
  12. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    50 mm ( total) rain here over 24 hours till today morning. It was interesting as my neighbour about 500 metres away received 44 mm and his neighbour about 300 m from him received 39. We all have rain guages and monitor the rain closely being reliant on it for potable water. Generally the results are pretty much the same but not this time.

    Meantime this evening, watched this little cell develop off the range. Some lightning and a few drops of rain.

     
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  13. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Last few days has really highlighted how isolated cells can be in the high humidity and highly unstable atmosphere.
    Great obs as always, cheers.
     
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  14. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Looks like that NW topical low will affect the SE / highlands Monday / Tuesday.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    Likely fairly high falls in locations.
     
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  15. CCKW

    CCKW Hard Yards

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    Northwest cloud band

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]





     
  16. CCKW

    CCKW Hard Yards

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    aligning up nicely. Timing of the k/w is most interest for me atm.

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

     
  17. CCKW

    CCKW Hard Yards

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    Add to above post.
     
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  18. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Seems pretty much locked in.
     
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  19. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    According to my sources, heavy, wet sleet at the top of Kosciuszko Express in the last 20 mins.
     
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  20. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    It’s possible. There was a good temp drop as a band of cloud came from the South. Could see rain falling, a few large rain drops here on the lee and very cool outdoors. It was brief though. Pics as the cool air hit and after - timing is about right.

    BOM showing Thredbo TS down to 1.7 degrees and 2 mm as it passed over.



     
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  21. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    Loving this cool, occasional showers weather on the Jindabyne North Shore and so is the land.

    Felt like snow coming in late yesterday.
     
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  22. CCKW

    CCKW Hard Yards

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    Decent looking stream of very moist unstable air from the tropics in the last week.
    ecmwf-deterministic-aus-toa_brightness-9394400.png ecmwf-deterministic-aus-precip_120hr_inch-9394400.png ecmwf-deterministic-aus-chi200_anom-9394400.png
    EC
     
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  23. CCKW

    CCKW Hard Yards

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    Appears he agreed with that synoptic setup.

    [​IMG]
    Andrew Miskelly
    @andrewmiskelly

    ·
    Dec 22
    A tropical low and a cold front combine to produce a northwest cloud band, resulting in widespread rain over central and eastern Australia.
     
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  24. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    A little rain falling on the leeward side of the mountains. Some thunder and scattered clouds.

    Meantime.........(credit per pic off FB).

     
  25. Homer

    Homer One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Holy shite!!
     
  26. Homer

    Homer One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Btw, wouldn't this be better posted in the NSW Day to Day Weather page?
     
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  27. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Alpine and Southern.... I think it fits ok here. :) My assumption is Southern includes this part of the world?
     
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  28. Adaminaby Angler

    Adaminaby Angler One of Us

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    Definitely fits better on this thread. Doesn't get much farther south than Nimmitabel in NSW…a mere ~ 50 km from the 37th parallel.

    You sure love your thread policing, Homer. :whistle:
     
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  29. Homer

    Homer One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    No, not at all. I learnt my lesson the first time. But the NSW/ACT Weather thread covers all of that area as well.
    It was a pretty impressive picture and it's a shame it doesn't get more viewership.
    That's ok though if you guys want to keep things south. Maybe there should be a Southern NSW/Snowy Mountains sub thread?
    In the meantime, I'd hope it's ok to share that pic in the NSW thread.
     
  30. Kelpieboy

    Kelpieboy One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Warm to hot westerly/norwesterly winds of reasonable strength blowing for the last 36/48 hours across the southern Riverina and South West Slopes +plains. Once you get off the slopes the ground and vegetation is getting pretty dry ...... again. Storms crossed last night without incident but it wouldn't take much .............. and there is plenty that didn't burn last year. Admittedly atmosphere has a little more humidity but still .......
    Please be vigilant and thoughtful if traveling in the region especially if your a smoker.
     
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  31. Adaminaby Angler

    Adaminaby Angler One of Us

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    Well to be fair, the precip pattern of the SW Slopes has always, traditionally, been one of a mediterranean nature, i.e. dry summers and autumms; wet winters and springs. Unfortunately (IMO), that long-term mediterranean pattern has weakened substantially, and abruptly, since the 2000s (source here).

    Snowfall on the western slopes, in particular, has taken a major blow as a result of this pattern shift. Cabramurra SMHEA AWS (1996–2020) has warmed about 1° C in winter, and suffered a drastic reduction in winter precip of almost –100 mm (!), from the 1955–1999 station.
     
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  32. Kelpieboy

    Kelpieboy One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Your not telling me anything I cant see for myself every day.
     
  33. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    I reckon this is about to hit the resorts. Thredbo first.....steamy, not a breath of wind and thundering. Moonbah rain shadow with fingers crossed for a bit across the paddocks!

     
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  34. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Well.......still waiting but somewhere on the Monaro and surrounds is getting a bit of weather.

    Interesting that the cells I have been watching are predominantly from the SW however another has circled around from the SE. Dropped the temps and down-drafted some strong winds before going still again.



    Thumping heavy rain and stiff winds now..... pic taken from indoors!!



    EDIT: 30mm in 45 mins. Decent for the rain shadow!!
     
    #284 SMSkier, Dec 31, 2020
    Last edited: Dec 31, 2020
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  35. Kelpieboy

    Kelpieboy One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    We getting a smashing over the western side as well , about time.
     
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  36. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    We drove out to Grosses Plain in a tropical rate late afternoon down pour yesterday with paddocks running rivers and a road under water.

    Whilst not quite the smashing the South shore recieved, the North Shore also received a very good drink.

    2020

    2021
     
    #286 dawooduck, Jan 1, 2021
    Last edited: Jan 5, 2021
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  37. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    For ****s and giggles at 318 hours out.

    [​IMG]
     
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  38. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    ^^^^^. Its been a very mild Summer to date.

    Below is a pic looking to the mountains 20 mins back. Plenty of days like this thus far.



    Currently a cool day with no wind. 7mm rain here yesterday. PV picked up just under 3 and Thredbo TS under 5.
     
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  39. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    All show and no go here on another day of mild temps and overhead cloud......

    Watched a neat storm however to the South for a few hours. It moved “towards the mountains” but (thus far) stayed well clear......

    PV has picked up over 13mm in the past 60 mins.

     
  40. chriscross

    chriscross One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Nice pics, thanks, but there are other "mountains".
     
  41. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    No doubt. Post some updates for us :thumbs:. Always interested in what’s going on in other parts of the mountains!
     
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  42. Kelpieboy

    Kelpieboy One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    We got 7mm later yesterday but sky was looking much the same as you saw it. Light field fog in the valleys early this morning but burnt off pretty quick.
     
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  43. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Certainly a few hit and miss storms thus far. Local farmer 10 mins away picked up 75mm in 30 mins a few days back!

    24 hrs till 9:00 a.m. this morning:
    • PV 31mm
    • Thredbo TS 16mm
    • Moonbah 14mm.

    Brings the local total here over the past 5 days to 69mm. Handy rain across the paddocks.

    It’s as mild a Summer (to date) as can I recall in recent years.
     
  44. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    We got a decent puddle filler last night on the Jindy North Shore. There is a lot of activity but the downpours are elusive. Big thunder about 3pm followed by intermittent rain continues the tropical summer in the Snowys.

    I must buy a rain gauge sometime soon.
     
  45. scottski

    scottski A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    You can borrow mine. Will give you the log in to see how much rain fell in the Jindabyne Southern Highlands.
     
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  46. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    Whilst I can see your place it's a whole different climate on South Shore Heights where the dark n stormy machine plies it's trade.
     
  47. warrie

    warrie One of Us

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    The more gauges the better.
     
    #297 warrie, Jan 6, 2021
    Last edited: Jan 6, 2021
  48. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    A little something-something to keep an eye out for mid-next month as we see the likely-errosion of the La Nina set-up. The dead-giveaway will be the blocking High SW of WA, which has already proven itself a stubborn piece this year already.
    [​IMG]

    GFS still showing some promise for the upper slopes of the Alps, next weekend.
    [​IMG]
     
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  49. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  50. hongomania

    hongomania One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Summer has arrived #melbourne #westisbest

    20210110_211729.jpg
     
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