Life of a leeward cloud - couple of pics taken from at @Annago and @SalleeGirl yard this afternoon.......mild weather currently.
Mega Thread Alpine and Southern Summer Weather Hotplate
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Not a bad show.......Still going!
That first image is a beautiful example of Cumulus Mediocris with Cumulus Congestus in the distance (bottom-left of second frame). That cloud base is straight as a ruler too.Life of a leeward cloud - couple of pics taken from at @Annago and @SalleeGirl yard this afternoon.......mild weather currently.
Classic high country sett-up where convection clocks off like a wharfie, right on sunset.
Interesting that GFS was pretty much on the money with this back on January the 4th. Impressive.
It's been a while since I've seen you share a +300hrs-out plot.
Beginners luck!
Snow dusting possible to resort level (1300-1500m in the South, 1500-1800m in the North) on Friday afternoon/evening:
The best activity is likely to be in the Southern resorts, provided it is cold enough.
Like all frontal systems at this time of year, Tas will see the bulk of the moisture with falls as high as 10-15mm tomorrow. It won't be leaving much more than 3-5mm on the mainland IMO. Good to see some polar air through the SE though.
Stunning upper level temps for mid-Summer.
EC indicating -25C (500mb) over the mainland alps tomorrow night, from around midnight - which lends itself to some very unseasonably low snow.
Will be up in the Jagungal area tonight. Might see some snow.
Doesn't look like much moisture getting north at this stage. The High Perch is windy to 35kmh but the sky is wall to wall milky way.
Light snow at CP turning circle according to Didge.
Buller did well with what looks like 2-4cm, and notably all the way down to bottom of LBS.
+ A dusting on Thredbo’s Basin cam.
Looks like you are spot on.Buller did well with what looks like 2-4cm, and notably all the way down to bottom of LBS.
+ A dusting on Thredbo’s Basin cam.
Definitely not uncommon to get summer snow in NZ, this looks more like a winter forecast.
I like this a lot more than what the weather models are saying for the next ten days or so!Snow in Tassie this morning:
Indicators showing on EC for some polar influence on the SE in the first few days of FEB.
Who normally starts the GROUND COOLING thread each year? Is it time yet?
When the calendar-definition of Autumn starts.
1st March.
Finally a change down here and relief from high temps. Winds are up. Looking for that rain later today......heading up to Charlottes.
Still some promise on LR modelling for snow about the peaks on the 2nd Feb (or thereabouts), thanks to a peak in Rossby Wave activity throughout our region.
"Finally a change down here and relief from high temps. Winds are up."" Thredbo cracked 102 kmh at 2 am
8 of us took a ride on chair at CP this morning. Had thought coffee at Stilwell, a short walk then lunch back at Eyre Cafe. Australia Day and all that.....strong winds, good wind chill and lo and behold....rain on the chair as descending. Top station liftie was checking wind strength - was 45-50 kms. Rain so far has pretty much stayed on the main range and resorts.
Still sitting quite long range but GFS putting snow down to 800m on SW Tas next week.
There's shifty signal in all global models.Jindy North Shore received a little rain late yesterday, not enough to make puddles but it is looking like a nice cool week of drizzle n damp.
8 mm over this side. Kicked off at 3 pm and was right within the lower levels of the forecasted range. Most welcome as will be the upcoming week of mild weather.
15mm in the gauge yesterday at Hernes Oak in the Latrobe Valley. The BOM offering 15 to 30mm on Friday. Fingers crossed.
EC 00z tips it's hat to (x2*) mid-summer polar outbreak first week of Feb.
According to the 00z run; she's highly dependent on upper level low influence (rather than MSLP synoptic support) for the 5th Feb system so the fat bird hasn't sung by any means.
Cool here today. Cloudy, misty and cool. No sun at all today. ....heating switched on under instructions.
Who’d believe it was 35 degrees 2 days back
Next week has a bit of a Feb 2005 vibe about it.
Sub-990 HPa Low in Bass Strait is possible... Brace yourself.EC 00z tips it's hat to (x2*) mid-summer polar outbreak first week of Feb.
According to the 00z run; she's highly dependent on upper level low influence (rather than MSLP synoptic support) for the 5th Feb system so the fat bird hasn't sung by any means.
GPS is tracking this as well. I was not expecting next snow cold event until late Feb. if sooner then I'll take this as a good omen.
Still there. Wandering cold pool.
Lovely rain yesterday on the Jindy North Shore, replenished the tanks after all the Christmas visitor showering and softened the parched paddocks of last week.
89 mm in 48 hours at the High Perch.
Booyah
I must get a rain gauge but using the incredibly accurate scientific methodology fine art of "tank tapping", I estimate 5000l in the tanks for the week.
And today was a very lovely day.
Update Sun am H now 14 and T 13. Getting milder. And as for Sun 7th its H at 14 and T at 15. Too much tropical air about keeping cold air south of Oz.- Status
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