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Anzac Weekend Snow

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Snow Blowey, Apr 20, 2008.

  1. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looking nice on the 7day forecast:

    [​IMG]
     
    #1 Snow Blowey, Apr 20, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  2. Alex.C

    Alex.C One of Us

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    Looks promising.

    However I should note the forum doesn't seem to like image URL's with a query string in them, ie the ?t=... bit after the filename, this should work with that trimmed:

    [​IMG]
     
    #2 Alex.C, Apr 20, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  3. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Wow...a metre of snow on the western arthurs and 30cm at Baw Baw in that forecast.....
     
  4. agentBM

    agentBM Part of the Furniture

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    Watching keenly...see a bit of a low in the Tasman for it to meet up with. Been watching that chart a while and also the Indian Ocean to see the strength of the highs...thought there was a bit of a break coming. Even the BOM 4 day forecast sees a 975 hpa low a few days before, which can't be a bad sign. Wait and see..
     
  5. Thunda

    Thunda First Runs

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    1 metre of snow........I'd like to see that!
     
  6. Yardsale

    Yardsale Part of the Furniture Moderator

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    Holy crap.. .just as well we got the winter delivery of firewood last weekend!
     
  7. SelwynSnowfields

    SelwynSnowfields First Runs

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    omg this is gonna be amazing... such a pity I'm not near the mountains yet... but I wanna see plenty of pics guys =D
     
  8. snowkiter

    snowkiter First Runs

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    yep i'll bet the resort managers and snow towns will be rubbing there hands with glee .A great marketing opportunity and good on em after the fires and 06 season i hope its a great season .the cam watchers will be happy for days looking at white if it comes off too.
    At last a glimmer of hope for se oz farmers too I could not believe how dry taz was when i was there at easter .Hobart was like armegeddon day early that week with 38 degrees and howling winds ,scary
     
  9. ods

    ods A Local

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    Long way to go yet ...
     
  10. Stratus

    Stratus A Local

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    Agreed, a bit early to get excited.
     
    #10 Stratus, Apr 20, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  11. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    nah....the way things have gone in the last few years we may as well have hope....
     
  12. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    bloody oath it is. sheesh you'd think it was already happening.

    if its like that at +72 then it may happen.
     
  13. BenLomond Iceman

    BenLomond Iceman One of Us

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    Settle petels that chart will change a lot in the next week . Still its postive compared to big highs everywhere..
     
  14. SNOW-STUFF

    SNOW-STUFF Hard Yards

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    Gwad... I hope it snows! I am taking a team of 4wd'rs up around Walhalla, Mt Skene area...
    Not being a weather guru... what's the latest guys?
     
  15. Karen97

    Karen97 One of Us

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    Well I for one would like some nice weather on the long weekend , since I will be camped out on the Main Range [​IMG]
     
    #15 Karen97, Apr 20, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  16. Alex.C

    Alex.C One of Us

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    That you'll need to come back in spring to dig them out? [​IMG] Not looking that good currently, but good chance something will come down around then, mostly a question of how much.
     
    #16 Alex.C, Apr 20, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  17. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    I've seen it snow 2 feet on Anzac Day - in Colorado! [​IMG] [​IMG]
     
    #17 CarveMan, Apr 20, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  18. Podlet

    Podlet Part of the Furniture

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    I'm with Kaz! I'd love snow, but only from Sunday onwards please!!
     
  19. Alex.C

    Alex.C One of Us

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    We had that here yesterday, unfortunantly a week early. [​IMG]
     
    #19 Alex.C, Apr 21, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  20. Mattoman

    Mattoman Hard Yards

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    looks good for sunday
    [​IMG]
     
    #20 Mattoman, Apr 21, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  21. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    ...if you're a duck in Mount Gambier...
     
    #21 POW_hungry, Apr 21, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  22. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Monday's (28th) GFS looks even better on this afternoons run.
    Waiting for the inevitable downgrade.
     
  23. Custard

    Custard One of Us

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    If this keeps up it's going to be something! Sunday night and into Monday will be the business end of the deal. Last model I looked at had between 15-30mm precip over most of vic and southern NSW. Interesting to see 528 thickness over Adelaide.
     
  24. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    [​IMG]
     
    #24 Claude Cat, Apr 21, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  25. jvspike

    jvspike First Runs

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    looks like baw baw mite cop a flogging?
     
  26. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Doesn't look like a Baw Baw type of system. Most of the weather looks to be coming from the NW/W.
    Perhaps later on Monday or Tuesday when it swings to the south.
     
    #26 Claude Cat, Apr 21, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  27. Principal Douglas

    Principal Douglas A Local

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    I think you might have to rethink those plans. It won't be a nice weekend to be up there
     
    #27 Principal Douglas, Apr 21, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  28. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'm excited by the latest GFS run. Ski's may be coming out alot earlier than expected!
     
  29. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    4 day chart is looking the goods...high retracting west. I wonder how much that little low last week off WA has helped set this up?
     
  30. Principal Douglas

    Principal Douglas A Local

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    It's a way out, but if this comes off.....

    [​IMG]
     
    #30 Principal Douglas, Apr 21, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  31. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    that is also a pretty picture
     
  32. keefy

    keefy First Runs

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    Shame we have to wait till Monday...

    Has certainly intensified... but still 6 days out
     
  33. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    It's the kind of system which will impact northern resorts mostly, particularly Hotham. Hotham's best recorded snowfalls head from a NNW aspect.

    Contrary to popular sentiments on this thread, we will not get a season-opening fall from this. It's bloody APRIL...
     
  34. Djon

    Djon First Runs

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    This looks very good for some very decent rain for Vic, and for the Alps Saturday into Sunday. Looks like there will be some snow on the tail of it, but at the moment it looks like a majority of this moisture initially to be of the 'a few degrees too warm for snow' sort for all but perhaps the very highest parts of the alps.

    That said it could still be a 10-20cm fall from later Sunday into Monday going on recent GFS data, but we are really looking a looooooong way out for this (It's what we do this time of year I suppose).

    Only just shown up on the experimental seven day forecast :

    Sat 26/04/2008 22mm rain Min 2, Max 3 2150m Strong to Gale, NW
    Sun 27/04/2008 22mm rain, 7cm Snow Min -5, Max 2 1050m Storm to Light to Strong, NW/SW/W
     
    #34 Djon, Apr 21, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 14, 2013
  35. Custard

    Custard One of Us

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    Dude take a chill pill. [​IMG] No one thinks the season is going to start this weekend, were just happy [​IMG]

    And on to more pressing matters - agree yes Hotham / Falls will benefit more from this current model.
     
    #35 Custard, Apr 22, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  36. mr

    mr Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    agreed custard on both fronts (har har)...lets see...if we only get a few of these a year i too would prefer it a month later, but thats out of my control so i am happy just to sit here and watch the action
     
  37. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    #37 Donza, Apr 22, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 14, 2013
  38. BH

    BH One of Us

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    Looks kind of similar to a system we had in early June last year-Bought bucket loads of snow to Jindabyne and Berridale caused mayhem on the roads. I think the blokes at Perisher are Sh#*%$$G themselves cause from what I have heard the new snowmaking is still not ready and really needs to be done before it gets snowy.
     
  39. agentBM

    agentBM Part of the Furniture

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    Snow is good at any time regardless if it quantifies lift openings or not. I'll be skiing in May....and taking my son on a snow chase maybe sunday.
     
  40. Principal Douglas

    Principal Douglas A Local

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    Well they had better get a lot of work done this week!

    Not that I think this snow will stay on the ground, but it will definitely put them back a few days.
     
    #40 Principal Douglas, Apr 22, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 17, 2013
  41. Djon

    Djon First Runs

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    GFS may have backed off in terms of amount of precipitation over the whole period, but it has got a whole lot colder for the same time period. Now is predicting it will be cold enough for the most part, with not much lead up rain, and 10-20cm over Sunday and Monday.

    Of course this is still a long way out. At the end of the day if we get a few cm on the ground around the resorts, and some cool weather, it will be very nice to see, but perhaps not much more than that except for a few lucky punters that may be able to head out on their rock hoppers.
     
  42. (;optimist

    (;optimist First Runs

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    still looks great on this mornings run for Sunday
     
  43. main street

    main street Sun Peaks Resident

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    There seems to be a decent amount of pre frontal in it before things get down to business though.

    Snow late Sunday & through to Monday by the looks of things.

    It'll look pretty, but it won't stick.

    [​IMG]
     
    #43 main street, Apr 22, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  44. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    BOM latest 4 day run looking awesome.....
     
  45. Principal Douglas

    Principal Douglas A Local

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    Latest GFS update is drool inspiring

    [​IMG]

    Still 144 out though so we can only hope this comes off. Either way I think it's going to be a pretty significant weather event for the south east
     
    #45 Principal Douglas, Apr 22, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013
  46. 24

    24 Hard Yards

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    beat me to it PD!

    looks nice doesn't it!
     
  47. agentBM

    agentBM Part of the Furniture

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    Reckon some will stick up on the main range....seems hardly any instance of hot weather to follow. Any decline in regional temps at any stage is good and increases chances of staying down given that some of this snow will be on ground going into May and we are yet to see what next month holds. Some say they do not care for snow now....me, anytime, and this is leading into the season so anything is good. Does Whistler not care utnil a week before opening hoping their bare ground will become white in time?

    Up there mid to late May last season and what was above 1900m stuck around and kept things cold....that is what I want to see here.
     
  48. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    If the current forecast scenario eventuates there will be skiable snow in plenty of places, especially out on the main range. And it should stick stick through till winter in plenty of places. Unfortunately i'd say the charlotte pass road will close unless they plough it.
     
  49. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    Yeah follow up mid next week and again 9th-13th ish of may.
    So it should stick around.
    At least it will cool the ground. (Runs away.....).
     
  50. agentBM

    agentBM Part of the Furniture

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    ah....but does it cool the ground? Last week during my walk to Kosci I pondered this as I viewd the many grasses and shrubs that abound upon the alps....particularly in ski resorts.

    Up top....there is short grass so this cool the ground may apply

    [​IMG]

    In the Basin, there is some longer growth

    [​IMG]

    But down lower, there is shrubbery (for those Monty Python fans)

    [​IMG]


    Considering the Pygmy Possum often lives beneath the snow...I am thinking, there also often is room for it beneath the snow....amongst the shrubbery.

    Sure there are grassy runs in that pic above....but for so many, this is not the case...go to PB in summer and it is difficult to see them.

    So, by how much is our ground cooled anyway. I am thinking this had very little effect until we are in to mid season wher by there, sufficient cold is generated to hold snow.
     
    #50 agentBM, Apr 22, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 11, 2013