Predictions August 1st - 4th

Discussion in 'Weather' started by Claude Cat, Jul 23, 2016.

  1. PMG

    PMG Dedicated Member
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    Weekend was great. Still some snow to come from this event. Season is hanging in there so far.
     
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  2. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
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    In reality we've had 1 rain event (given today is panning out better than expected). Everything else has been snow and on a few occasions to very low levels. And we're only just into August.
     
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  3. Hermon

    Hermon Dedicated Member

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    Looks like some pretty good weather for snow-making as the week progresses.

    As for the 500 HPa ridge in the midst of a strong -ve AAO: I tend to think of it as the atmosphere trying to equalize things as cold air moves North, it has to return South to balance things out. And unfortunately it looks like we're in the wrong location...
     
  4. Qroozn

    Qroozn Active Member

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    Interesting Wednesday forecast for NSW snowy mountains on BOM website. 30% at 1800, 20% at 1400, 50% at 1000m.
    Make sure you hang low guys!
     
  5. Karicta

    Karicta Dedicated Member
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    Now that's an inversion!
     
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  6. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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    Not a skerrick for Vicco after tomorrow AM.
    [​IMG]
     
  7. Cham

    Cham Dedicated Member

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    One rain event? You could get a job working for resort management!
     
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  8. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
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    Tell me another significant rain event outside of Friday week ago?
     
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  9. Gregah

    Gregah Active Member

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    BOM certainly running with it. This afternoon's 4 dayer has it (the high) charging even further south. The final chart (Friday 10pm) is the most unusual Australian chart I've seen for some time...
     
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  10. blackice

    blackice Active Member

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    Technically correct. If I knew how I'd post the video of the creek that runs between the skitube and the base of perisher front valley raging in flood and 30 meters wide. I think they had to close the bridge for safety reasons. Never seen anything like it.

    Amazingly it seems to have very little impact on the snow quality (edit : or quantity, which is even more surprising)
     
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  11. Cham

    Cham Dedicated Member

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    There's been a few. 9th - 11th July...solid rain event to name one. Pre the big cold snap. I delayed my trip by a couple of days because of it. All good...this is Aus . Anyways this is off topic...sorry
     
  12. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
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    Yep. That was a significant rain event. That's the only one this season. Barely even been any prefrontal for most systems and they've been plenty cold enough until now.
     
  13. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
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    A little bit of prefrontal is not a rain event.
     
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  14. Nidecker

    Nidecker Dedicated Member
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    Courtesy of Brunos son - bridge closed

    [​IMG]
     
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  15. blackice

    blackice Active Member

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    Incredible photo!

    IMO....
     
  16. derwent

    derwent Well-Known Member

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    LM and BB waving
     
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  17. NIFF

    NIFF Active Member

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    Thursday 7 July, 27 mm rain by 9am. Thredbo Top Station. No more snow until 5 cm the following Sunday so could not be decribed as prefrontal.
     
  18. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
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    Clutching at straws if you're using lake mountain or Baw Baw as examples of extreme weather events.
     
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  19. derwent

    derwent Well-Known Member

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    You say significant but mean extreme?
    BTW no straws here bro
     
    #669 derwent, Aug 1, 2016
    Last edited: Aug 1, 2016
  20. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
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    Okay that's one... Hardly significant though.
     
  21. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
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    No in mean significant. Rain at lake mountain or Baw Baw is no significant. It happens multiple times every season.
     
  22. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
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    About half our systems ever in history agree.
     
  23. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
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    Lel.
    This. Lots.
    Anyways let's get back to mountain obs.
    Anyone got any?
    Edit; or predictions....got lost in the OT
     
  24. jungfrau

    jungfrau Well-Known Member

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    Not much happening at DP .. Rain has stopped :) edit.. Slowed down a lot is more accurate
    Edit 2 sorry obs :)
     
    #674 jungfrau, Aug 1, 2016
    Last edited: Aug 1, 2016
  25. derwent

    derwent Well-Known Member

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    wow
     
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  26. Cuddles

    Cuddles Active Member

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    Tuesday before rain event at perisher, Perisher picked up 2-3 inches as well, It left scouring on the main range. That's was an event. Today was a now show.
     
  27. derwent

    derwent Well-Known Member

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    Just to be clear here mick and plow ......I didn't and most very likely will never use LM or BB as examples of extreme weather events.
    They are your words mick.[/QUOTE].
     
  28. Cham

    Cham Dedicated Member

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    Rained in school holidays starting around 6th through to 11th July. Up to 40mm for all majors. 80mm for Baw Baw. Rain is rain. Your first statement there has only been "one" rain event. There has been a few this season, some heavier than others. It is what it is...
     
  29. Stratus

    Stratus Addicted Member

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    Forecast wind has REDUCED as the high pressure system strengthens and pushes the low outwards. Looking at 15 - 25km/hrs over the next two days for Falls Creek (was 35 - 50). Nothing much left in terms of snow left in this one but good weather later this week ensues.
     
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  30. jungfrau

    jungfrau Well-Known Member

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    Good, southerly no good, blow snow off mountain.. I predict bluebird days and groomer is where it's at (would've preferred earlier predictions for this thread coming true though)
     
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  31. blackice

    blackice Active Member

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    Stay on topic. Predictions only. Sheesh...

    IMO..
     
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  32. jungfrau

    jungfrau Well-Known Member

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    Anyone predict snow tonight in NE? I predict a few snow showers based on obs
     
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  33. Snowy Joey

    Snowy Joey Dedicated Member
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    Bom forecast for Perisher says chance of snow tonight and tomorrow morning. Had some light snow this morning and a few heavier snow showers late this arvo.
     
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