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Predictions August 21st-23rd

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by Claude Cat, Aug 17, 2017.

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  1. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    When for? Heading up to Blackheath and then on to the Oberon plateau on Friday night (staying out there for the weekend)
     
    #51 SnowBound, Aug 22, 2017
  2. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah, SSTA's are flaring off the coast there. 3 warm eddies dotted evenly down the coast. It will deliver exactly that with some onshore flow (we saw this happen on Saturday night here in Sydney, albeit chiefly coastal).
     
    #52 POW_hungry, Aug 22, 2017
  3. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Early Friday. She'll be a quick fling.
     
    #53 POW_hungry, Aug 22, 2017
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  4. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Actually more like late Thursday for CTs
     
    #54 POW_hungry, Aug 22, 2017
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  5. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS is bullish about the gradient cause of the trailing high pushing into the Low.
    But.
    Its GFS
    and she loves Tasman lows.
     
    #55 Donzah, Aug 22, 2017
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  6. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah , the bullseye . It loses the cold pool to the north pretty fast
     
    #56 Donzah, Aug 22, 2017
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  7. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    so is this something or not?[​IMG] ?
     
    #57 7wombathead, Aug 22, 2017
  8. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    It's something, not a lot though.
     
    #58 Jellybeans, Aug 22, 2017
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  9. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Not much more than 2-5cm IMO. Front has a hard time against that high.
    Cold air yes, moisture meh.
    Southern resorts will do best.
     
    #59 POW_hungry, Aug 22, 2017
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  10. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    LA clippers.

    Should keep everything coolish though.
    At least the air is from the correct direction.
    [​IMG]
     
    #60 Donzah, Aug 22, 2017
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  11. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    It Could Develop
     
    #61 7wombathead, Aug 22, 2017
  12. Belly

    Belly A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    No, don't develop, I want corn on Friday :)
     
    #62 Belly, Aug 22, 2017
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  13. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Buller (and lesser extent, BB) could easily pick-up 10-15 cents. But that's as good as it could get IMO.
     
    #63 POW_hungry, Aug 22, 2017
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  14. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    I'm still worried about temperatures for both these mountains (at for portions of when the moisture is about).
    IMO
     
    #64 Claude Cat, Aug 22, 2017
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  15. W0nkey D0nkey

    W0nkey D0nkey One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    ill wait until spring for that
     
    #65 W0nkey D0nkey, Aug 22, 2017
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  16. Donzah

    Donzah Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Cobber
     
    #66 Donzah, Aug 22, 2017
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  17. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Sneaky pre-frontal (westerly) band progged on GFS & EC early/mid arvo; that's rain to me.
    The follow up on dusk is on a knife edge.
    I like Buller's chance over Baw Baw's.
     
    #67 POW_hungry, Aug 22, 2017
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  18. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    I think a sneaky leaky 10 cm on the main range with no wind is better than your average corn August day.

    Really goes with the two sunny days after that.
     
    #68 7wombathead, Aug 22, 2017
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  19. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Low pressure showing signs of deepening. Dropping from 1009 to 1008.

    Temps are fine for higher up.

    [​IMG]
     
    #69 7wombathead, Aug 22, 2017
  20. Baw Baw Bear

    Baw Baw Bear One of Us

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    Please don't panic min 1.5 mt base it will be o.k :thumbs::thumbs: Sorry just jealous .....
     
    #70 Baw Baw Bear, Aug 22, 2017
  21. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    18Z GFS & EC looking harmonious tonight. Snow above 1600m and dropping from 4-5pm IMO.
    5-10cm for Buller tomorrow, ~5cm for the other majors.
     
    #71 POW_hungry, Aug 22, 2017
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  22. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    BoM - NSW, Mid Nor Coast
    Personally, I see it as more to 1300/1400m, but it's still possible in places like Polblue & Devil's Hole Camps early Friday AM.
     
    #72 POW_hungry, Aug 22, 2017
  23. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    Glad I am in the right location to pick up those falls.
     
    #73 Jellybeans, Aug 22, 2017
  24. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Low looks to stall to the East of Hobart, TAS in the next few hours. If it lingers, reasonable chance of 3-5cm on Kunanyi (Mount Wellington) throughout tomorrow.
     
    #74 POW_hungry, Aug 22, 2017
  25. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Thoughts on 26-27th of this month?
     
    #75 Rick Ross Da Boss, Aug 23, 2017
  26. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Probably best to ask that in the BBQ thread, but I'm seeing very little for the next 7or 8 days.

    IMO
     
    #76 Claude Cat, Aug 23, 2017
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  27. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    Early start to Spring coming up IMO - LWT appears to be going flat
     
    #77 FourSquare04, Aug 23, 2017
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  28. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Is this upgrading or what

    [​IMG]

    Temps seem good. Not sure why every one has an ad-version to BOM ACCES R Charts

    [​IMG]
     
    #78 7wombathead, Aug 23, 2017
  29. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    In view this is upgrading every run.

    [​IMG]
     
    #79 7wombathead, Aug 23, 2017
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  30. Gregah

    Gregah One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Does look like an upgrade. Can't see it panning out this way for Hotham and Falls though based on the direction the current rain band is taking (IMO). Looking like a 'solid clipper' for Buller though...
     
    #80 Gregah, Aug 23, 2017
  31. Lady Penelope

    Lady Penelope One of some lot ... Ski Pass: Gold

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    ... and for the NSW resorts?
     
    #81 Lady Penelope, Aug 23, 2017
  32. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    2-3cms max IMO.
     
    #82 POW_hungry, Aug 23, 2017
  33. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Old n' Crusty Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS has never really been into this one for the Alps. The trend has been downgrade in my eyes, including today's 00Z run.
     
    #83 POW_hungry, Aug 23, 2017
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