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Predictions August 21st-23rd

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Aug 17, 2017.

  1. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    When for? Heading up to Blackheath and then on to the Oberon plateau on Friday night (staying out there for the weekend)
     
  2. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah, SSTA's are flaring off the coast there. 3 warm eddies dotted evenly down the coast. It will deliver exactly that with some onshore flow (we saw this happen on Saturday night here in Sydney, albeit chiefly coastal).
     
  3. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Early Friday. She'll be a quick fling.
     
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  4. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Actually more like late Thursday for CTs
     
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  5. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS is bullish about the gradient cause of the trailing high pushing into the Low.
    But.
    Its GFS
    and she loves Tasman lows.
     
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  6. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah , the bullseye . It loses the cold pool to the north pretty fast
     
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  7. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    so is this something or not?[​IMG] ?
     
  8. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    It's something, not a lot though.
     
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  9. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Not much more than 2-5cm IMO. Front has a hard time against that high.
    Cold air yes, moisture meh.
    Southern resorts will do best.
     
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  10. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    LA clippers.

    Should keep everything coolish though.
    At least the air is from the correct direction.
    [​IMG]
     
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  11. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    It Could Develop
     
  12. Belly

    Belly A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    No, don't develop, I want corn on Friday :)
     
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  13. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Buller (and lesser extent, BB) could easily pick-up 10-15 cents. But that's as good as it could get IMO.
     
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  14. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    I'm still worried about temperatures for both these mountains (at for portions of when the moisture is about).
    IMO
     
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  15. W0nkey D0nkey

    W0nkey D0nkey One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    ill wait until spring for that
     
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  16. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Cobber
     
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  17. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Sneaky pre-frontal (westerly) band progged on GFS & EC early/mid arvo; that's rain to me.
    The follow up on dusk is on a knife edge.
    I like Buller's chance over Baw Baw's.
     
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  18. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    I think a sneaky leaky 10 cm on the main range with no wind is better than your average corn August day.

    Really goes with the two sunny days after that.
     
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  19. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Low pressure showing signs of deepening. Dropping from 1009 to 1008.

    Temps are fine for higher up.

    [​IMG]
     
  20. Baw Baw Bear

    Baw Baw Bear One of Us

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    Please don't panic min 1.5 mt base it will be o.k :thumbs::thumbs: Sorry just jealous .....
     
  21. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    18Z GFS & EC looking harmonious tonight. Snow above 1600m and dropping from 4-5pm IMO.
    5-10cm for Buller tomorrow, ~5cm for the other majors.
     
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  22. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    BoM - NSW, Mid Nor Coast
    Personally, I see it as more to 1300/1400m, but it's still possible in places like Polblue & Devil's Hole Camps early Friday AM.
     
  23. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    Glad I am in the right location to pick up those falls.
     
  24. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Low looks to stall to the East of Hobart, TAS in the next few hours. If it lingers, reasonable chance of 3-5cm on Kunanyi (Mount Wellington) throughout tomorrow.
     
  25. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Thoughts on 26-27th of this month?
     
  26. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Probably best to ask that in the BBQ thread, but I'm seeing very little for the next 7or 8 days.

    IMO
     
  27. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    Early start to Spring coming up IMO - LWT appears to be going flat
     
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  28. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Is this upgrading or what

    [​IMG]

    Temps seem good. Not sure why every one has an ad-version to BOM ACCES R Charts

    [​IMG]
     
  29. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    In view this is upgrading every run.

    [​IMG]
     
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  30. Gregah

    Gregah Addicted Ski Pass: Silver

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    Does look like an upgrade. Can't see it panning out this way for Hotham and Falls though based on the direction the current rain band is taking (IMO). Looking like a 'solid clipper' for Buller though...
     
  31. Lady Penelope

    Lady Penelope One of some lot ... Ski Pass: Gold

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    ... and for the NSW resorts?
     
  32. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    2-3cms max IMO.
     
  33. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS has never really been into this one for the Alps. The trend has been downgrade in my eyes, including today's 00Z run.