Predictions August 3-9th

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Jul 29, 2017.

  1. kimberlee81

    kimberlee81 One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    [​IMG]
    This is a FANTASTIC book! Many images are both astonishing and unbelievable.
     
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  2. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Makes you believe in God. He's (or she's) high as a kite on acid dreaming up all these weird and wonderful shapes.
     
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  3. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    Far kurnell Craig!

    This could be the biggest storm in a very long time and looks like fairly low freezing levels to come with it.

    Hope you're staying on the mountain because all roads will be a SH#$fight come Monday morning!
     
  4. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    @Claude Cat how are you seeing things panning out for the weekend based off this morning's 12UTC runs?
     
  5. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    IMO Snow showers today, becoming heavy snow over night thinning out during Saturday before becoming heavy right through Sunday into early Monday.
    Hard to see anything less than 60cm (worst case) to come, probably a fair bit more.
    By Monday morning we should have close to 1m of snow out of the whole system in places.
     
  6. Karicta

    Karicta A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Jane is all in

    [​IMG]
     
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  7. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    I'm also surprised some clown hasn't come out with a storm name for this beast

    NOTE: Please do not start thinking of names now or you will be banned from this forum forever :D
     
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  8. Hermon

    Hermon One of Us

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    It'll be interesting to see how this coming weekend pans out compared to other big events in the early 2000s. Namely late-May 2000, Mid-August 2001, and late-July 2003.
     
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  9. absentskier

    absentskier Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Has the fact that there is a separate thread dedicated to naming this storm escaped you?
     
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  10. SAsurfa

    SAsurfa One of Us

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    Just weekend dash for me, hoping Sunday drive out isn't too bad!
     
  11. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    Also Late August 2010 rings a bell @Hermon I think that was in the vicinity of between 50-100cm
     
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  12. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    stay on topic.
     
  13. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    The meteograms are enough to make any skier's knees weaken. This is fully locked in - expect not much else other than this, any model changes will be insignificant to what's about to fall.
    IMO Saturday AM looks amazing if you're skiing in the majors - up there with one of the days of the season (on top of everyday next week), if you ask me.
    Hotham:
     
  14. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    The one system to unite them all.
     
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  15. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Seems about right to me.
    *Peer reviewed
     
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  16. DidSurfNowSki

    DidSurfNowSki One of them Ski Pass: Gold

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  17. absentskier

    absentskier Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Pretty hard to go wrong with 60-110cm. Wide margin there (understandably so).
     
  18. Karicta

    Karicta A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    I find it odd that the bom alpine forecast has 15-40mm for Sunday. I would have thought 15mm, or even 25mm could not be sustained on the available charts we've all seen. Let's wait for the arvo update I suppose.....
     
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  19. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Doesn't correlate with their published precip map figures either. As you say, I think they'll juice it up going into the weekend.
    SUNDAY:
     
  20. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    The afternoon updates seem more realistic. The morning ones just seem to be automated.
     
  21. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    I think that's quite reasonable.
    For example I would expect Buller to be in the low end of that scale, with the other majors at the other end of that scale (especially Perisher).
     
  22. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    You know youve got an event when ' two foot storm' tm is at the minimum end of the range.
     
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  23. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    Yep, Perisher always does very well being at the northern end of the range when we get these W/NW systems and also Selwyn when the freeze levels are low enough
     
  24. Karicta

    Karicta A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    I think it was jane who recently told us the arvo update is the main one.
     
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  25. Heelsideedge

    Heelsideedge Hard Yards

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    I predict I am very excited by this!! But a little anxious about driving into Thredbo Sunday arvo...
    I predict I will be taking it very easy!
     
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  26. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'm looking forward to the driving as much as the skiing.
     
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  27. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    I predict low range 2nd gear be club of choice.
     
  28. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    [​IMG]

    Very tidy. Interesting progression with that little low in Bass strait . Pretty much a cutoff
     
  29. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    A Ben Lommond special Sunday, Baw Baw special Monday.
     
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  30. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Chuck in the Satellite for backup.

    [​IMG]
     
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  31. Alfred14

    Alfred14 Addicted Ski Pass: Silver

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    Is that sliding with more falling Sunday night now instead of Sunday morning?
     
  32. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Kicks off around ~4am Sunday, continuous until Monday lunchtime.
     
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  33. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS 00Z Looking colder again for Sunday (over a broader area too). Snow possible to 700m IMO - which puts Cooma to Jindy access past Berridale under some stress. I'd be carrying chains from Cooma foshorrr for Sunday PM!

    GFS also going for snow as far North as Northern Tablelands (Barrington Tops and Willi Willi) on Monday.
    [​IMG]
     
    #583 POW_hungry, Aug 4, 2017
    Last edited: Aug 4, 2017
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  34. JayDee78

    JayDee78 One of Us

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    Is 100cm+ in a 24 hour period around Sunday pretty much locked and loaded for Perisher?
     
  35. DidSurfNowSki

    DidSurfNowSki One of them Ski Pass: Gold

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    IMO, nope.
     
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  36. Trail Blazer

    Trail Blazer Part of the Furniture

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    haha. very ambitious to use 100cm with the phrase 'locked and loaded' under any circumstances
     
  37. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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  38. dibl0c

    dibl0c coolstorydibloc™ Ski Pass: Gold

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    #shitadelaide or #brisbogan ... take your pick.
    Try again ALDIbro.
     
  39. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    ?
     
  40. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Image not working.
     
  41. telecrag

    telecrag Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Image no show HI!!
     
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  42. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    IMO that would be best - best case.
    More likely to see figures from 60-80cm based upon current projections IMO.
     
  43. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    odd, hotlinking wz has been working
     
  44. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    its not working on wz either LOL
     
  45. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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  46. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    Low centered over Tassie = absolutely perfect position and hence one of the reasons why we are looking at such a mega dump
     
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  47. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Concur. Hook not perfectly positioned Sunday.
    65cm for mine.
     
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  48. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Boy oh boy, wowee.
    That's a tidy looking chart if ever I saw one.
    I love the way it's picking up Macedon and the associated r**n shadow behind as well. Neat.
    Could even be worth a little drive up there on Sunday for a look.
     
  49. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Minty as it gets here. I predict an interesting drive to Thredbo tonight. Chainsaw in the back of the Hilux just in case.
     
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  50. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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