AUSSKY Victorian Snow Forecasts for the 2010 season

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by AUSSKY, Apr 12, 2010.

  1. AUSSKY

    AUSSKY First Runs

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    Good morning all!!

    We're baaack!

    The first outlook for the season is up and running here
    AUSSKY Victorian Snow Outlook

    Looking forward to a good year - we've had the rain - now all we need is the snow....

    For those of you who like to track the cold air as it moves across Victoria, we have 2 online weather stations in Trentham (700 & 705m - soon to be 3)
    Groves St, Trentham - 700m
    and just on the NE outskirts of town at 705m
    Gunyah Bend, NE of Trentham

    You will notice differences (sometimes significant) in windspeed, rainfall and temperature between the sites even though they are only a km apart (Groves St is further southwest)....after running the stations for more than a year and checking and cross checking, the sites really can be quite different.....

    cheers,

    Jane & Clyve
     
    #1 AUSSKY, Apr 12, 2010
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  2. TC

    TC Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    thanks
    im looking forward to your incisive reports
     
  3. keefy

    keefy First Runs

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    [​IMG]

    Welcome back, always a good sign of winter on the way [​IMG]
     
    #3 keefy, Apr 12, 2010
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  4. TC

    TC Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    give us the good news
     
  5. AUSSKY

    AUSSKY First Runs

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    Now that Clyve & I are back from our fabulous "Taking it to Extremes" Stormchase USA 2010 - all of the forecasts and outlooks are up and running again....

    Victorian Alpine Outlook
    http://www.stormchasers.au.com/current.htm
    currently including a dabble with the Australian region Convective and Tropical setup atm

    Victorian Central Ranges
    http://www.stormchasers.au.com/currentcr.htm


    Cheers,

    Jane

    PS: photos of our 5 week stormchasing trip here if you need something to go with your coffee...
    http://www.stormchasers.au.com/aussky2010usa.htm
     
    #5 AUSSKY, May 30, 2010
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  6. shrimp

    shrimp Hard Yards

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    Great pictures,looks like you covered a lot of territory
     
  7. AUSSKY

    AUSSKY First Runs

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    As the stormchasers site host went into liquidation without warning and I'm currently organising shifting everything...I'll load Clyve's alpine discussion and outlook here...will let you know when the site is back up again at a new address... http://www.aussky.com.au

    VICTORIAN ALPINE WEATHER DISCUSSION UPDATE 2/6/10.

    OVERVIEW.
    Not much in the way of snow for the Victoria Alpine areas this coming week....A broad area of high pressure appears will linger to Friday then a weak trough passes east on Saturday...maybe a few showers with that then another stronger high builds in the Bight Sunday shifting winds to the southeast. No major rain or snow bearing weather systems appear. From Sunday mainly fine conditions prevail to the middle of next week (Wednesday 9/6)....Never mind take the opportunity to go bush walking or bird watching instead....

    DAILY WEATHER EXPECTATIONS.

    WEDNESDAY 2/6/10.
    Early mist and frost then a fine day except for patchy highland fog or cloud, light winds....MIN TEMPS -1 to +2. MAX TEMPS .

    THURSDAY 3/6/10.
    Early mist and morning frost then a fine day except for patchy highland mist at times, light winds. MIN TEMPS -3 to 0c MAX TEMPS 3 to 6c.

    FRIDAY 4/6/10.
    Early mist and morning frost then a fine day with light winds tending northwest. MIN TEMPS -3 to 0c MAX TEMPS 3 to 6c.

    SATURDAY 5/6/10.
    Increasing cloud after a cold morning with frost, isolated showers a risk later or overnight into Sunday mainly in the south, risk of sleet or wet snow flurries above 1700M later. Northwest winds occasionally fresh shifting southerly overnight. MIN TEMPS -2 to 0c MAX TEMPS 2 to 4c.

    SUNDAY 6/6/10.
    Areas of highland mist and isolated drizzle or showers mainly in the south, a few flurries about the high peaks in the morning (1700M+). A few sunny breaks in northern areas by afternoon, patchy highland fog persisting in southern areas. Fresh south/southeast winds becoming general. MIN TEMPS -1 to +2c MAX TEMPS 2 to 4c.

    MONDAY 7/6/10.
    Areas of highland mist mainly southern areas, patchy highland frost in the morning, then a partly cloudy day with occasionally fresh southeast winds. MIN TEMPS -3 to 0c MAX TEMPS 2 to 4c.

    TUESDAY 8/6/10.
    Early mist and morning frost then a fine day with light winds. MIN TEMPS -4 to -1c MAX TEMPS 2 to 4c.

    WEDNESDAY 9/6/10.
    Early mist and morning frost then a fine day although freshening north winds later and increasing highland mist to follow. MIN TEMPS -3 to 0c MAX TEMPS 2 to 4c.
     
    #7 AUSSKY, Jun 3, 2010
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  8. AUSSKY

    AUSSKY First Runs

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    VICTORIAN ALPINE WEATHER DISCUSSION UPDATE 5/6/10.

    OVERVIEW.
    A trough passes across the Alpine areas of Victoria through Saturday (5/6), a post trough colder southerly airstream will affect all of the alpine areas from later Saturday into Sunday, scattered showers will accompany this trough with snow showers above 1600M later reaching 1200M overnight into Sunday morning. Most snow activity will be light and affect mainly southern areas of the alpine region. Expect very cold nights from early Sunday to Monday morning. A more substantial trough and cold front is anticipated for later Tuesday to Wednesday 8/6 and 9/6 bring a burst of deeper southerly air in its wake, a reasonable mid and upper cold wave also accompanies this system. From Tuesday increasing NW winds will become galeforce ahead of a squally southwest or south change, a band of rain/sleet will turn to general snow later Tuesday and snow showers through Wednesday tapering off later Wednesday to isolated flurries and cold southerly winds for Thursday and Friday, severe overnight frosts are expected from the middle of next week. Snow line may descend to sub alpine levels through Wednesday (700 to 1000M)

    DAILY WEATHER EXPECTATIONS.

    SATURDAY 5/6/10.
    Areas of highland low cloud and fog becoming general, strengthening northwest or west winds shifting southwest or south later in the day, showers spreading from western areas but mainly affecting southern parts, sleet and snow above 1600M descending to nearer 1200M later in the day or overnight. Overnight frost, ice developing on highland roads later in the day and overnight, increasing wind chill. MIN TEMPS 0 to 2°C MAX TEMPS 2 to 3°C lowering to -3 to 0°C later in the day.

    SUNDAY 6/6/10.
    Areas of highland fog and isolated flurries, snow flurries mainly southern areas, overnight and early frost, then partly misty/cloudy with sunny breaks developing especially northern parts, fresh occasionally gusty south winds moderating later, more overnight frosty tonight. MIN TEMPS -4 to -2°C MAX TEMPS 0 to 2°C.

    MONDAY 7/6/10.
    Overnight and morning frost, patchy highland mist mainly southern areas, south winds becoming lighter, sunny breaks by afternoon. Overnight frost redeveloping. MIN TEMPS -5 to -3°C MAX TEMPS 1 to 4°C.

    TUESDAY 8/6/10.
    Strengthening northwest winds, increasing cloud and highland fog, drizzle becoming general and freezing above 1550M. Showers spreading from the west and affecting all alpine areas by later in the day or at night. Snow above 1500M lowering to nearer 1100M later or overnight some moderate of heavy falls a risk. Increasing wind chill, ice developing on highland roads and patchy ice a risk on sub alpine roads overnight. Winds shifting southwest or south later or overnight and remaining gusty. MIN TEMPS -2 to +1°C MAX TEMPS 1 to 3°C lowering progressively through the day to nearer -3 to 0°C by evening.

    WEDNESDAY 9/6/10.
    Strong and gusty southwest or south winds, scattered snow showers/freezing drizzle or graupel, areas of highland fog. High wind chill on exposed alpine ridges and peaks, extensive road ice possibly to sub alpine areas in the morning. Sunny breaks later in northern parts, general overnight severe frost. MIN TEMPS -6 to -4°C MAX TEMPS -3 to -1°C.

    THURSDAY 10/6/10.
    A few flurries mainly southern areas, general highland mist (freezing). Fresh but moderating southwest or south winds .General frost in the morning and a weak thaw in the afternoon, more frost overnight into Friday. Patchy ice on highland roads. MIN TEMPS -6 to -4°C MAX TEMPS -1 to 1°C.

    (website should be back up in a day or so - relaoding the website currently)
     
  9. teckel

    teckel Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Great to have a website focussing on Victoria [​IMG] The others all seems to focus on NSW and northern Vic resorts. So it's great to have one that you don't have to extrapolate too much to figure out what might be happening at Lake Mountain. Thanks [​IMG]
     
    #9 teckel, Jun 5, 2010
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  10. AUSSKY

    AUSSKY First Runs

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    After 5 weeks stormchasing in the USA we come back and the ISP goes belly up 2 days later (grumble, mutter, growl icon inserted here) - sorry it's taken so much time to find a new home and get everything back up but we're back!!!

    This weeks outlook can be found here...
    http://www.stormchasers.au.com/current.htm

    OVERVIEW: A strong high passes through Victoria on Monday then drifts to the Tasman Sea Tuesday, from Tuesday freshening northwest/north winds will increase cloud cover across the Alpine regions and then for the remainder of the week occasionally strong northwest winds will persist as a broad trough passes through the mountains Wednesday followed by further troughs and cold fronts to next weekend. From Tuesday isolated showers will become more general from Wednesday to next weekend, the airmass although cold is marginal for snow but a reasonable probability of snow exists mainly above 1400/1600M lowering to near 1300M later in the week.

    for daily outlooks,see http://www.stormchasers.au.com/current.htm
     
    #10 AUSSKY, Jun 14, 2010
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  11. AUSSKY

    AUSSKY First Runs

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    This coming week's outlook is up

    OVERVIEW: The bad news is a big high pressure system to settle over the alpine areas from Sunday to Wednesday bringing sunny days !....The good news will be the overnight freeze's, so plenty of 'fake' snow making will be possible......The next weather system of any note appears from next Thursday as a series of troughs and fronts bring cloud/fog/drizzle then snow later in the week and next weekend mainly above 1400M after Thursday.

    for daily outlooks,see http://www.stormchasers.au.com/current.htm
     
    #11 AUSSKY, Jun 19, 2010
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