Bushfire Australian Widespread Bushfire Risk on Tuesday 12th November - and beyond

Discussion in 'Systems & Events' started by Stillcold, Nov 10, 2019.

  1. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    Michelago may get hectic soon
     
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  2. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  3. zac150

    zac150 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    we are tucked safely in town, but not looking good for friends out of town, heading straight at them albeit they are tucked behind the containment lines.

    interesting how the “look at me” social media crowd who were so prevalent last Friday are now quiet, yet now is the genuine threat to Canberra! This is what I feared.
     
  4. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  5. skull

    skull One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    The army are sitting ready to commence evacuation once the AFP give the nod.

    No going home tonight
     
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  6. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    Four Corners
     
  7. zac150

    zac150 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    watching
     
  8. zac150

    zac150 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Michelago can’t take a trick, with Calabash fire they now have fires on both side so no matter what the wind it will take a fire toward them.
     
  9. kylep

    kylep Cage rattler Ski Pass: Gold

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    Forgot about it. Will have to watch on catch-up tomorrow.
     
  10. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    Sky News cronies, the European Wasps of the media
     
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  11. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Cabra devastation:
     
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  12. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    It's popped in an out a few times, possibly a tree or something comes alight and it put out (speculation) they don't change it's status level.
     
  13. Lady Penelope

    Lady Penelope One of some lot ... Ski Pass: Gold

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    I don’t know if it’s just a change in wind direction, but the fire south of Canberra (27km away from me, according to the FIres Near Me app) seems more menacing.

    This morning ...



    And from a different vantage point later this afternoon ....

     
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  14. zac150

    zac150 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Whoever the liberal member on q&a tonight is, they can just $&@? Off (Jim Molan)! Isn’t it the governments role to seek expert advice, not the experts to call up the government and say, hey just so you know...


    Not Andrew Constance I am actually impressed by him.
     
  15. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    The wind direction makes a difference, even with the warnings all seeming lower.
    Then you have this from Saturday night.
     
  16. Nature's Fury

    Nature's Fury One of Us

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    For all of you down south, how bad exactly is the current fire situation? With a lot of the rain and the decreasing media coverage the fire crisis seemed to be over. To what extent is it still ongoing?
     
  17. Marquise de Kappy

    Marquise de Kappy One of Us

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    Yeah Jim Molan may as well throw himself under a bus! So out of touch with the mood & tone of most Australians.
     
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  18. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    Fires continue to burn fiercely, spread through the bush and farmland and destroy homes and infrastructure.

    There are multiple ongoing road closures.

    In another month there will be very little left unburnt from Nowra to Cape Paterson.

    What rain ?
     
  19. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    Another past his use by date grifter sneaks into parliament to spruik the denialist party line.
     
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  20. zac150

    zac150 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Really depends on the town! For Canberra we have a fire burning to the South West which with the wrong wind could run, and run fast as the land is very dry. The concern at present is that the fire is creeping in a manner that more common prevailing winds could fan it to Canberra (again it would move quickly). The same fire (Orroral) has started two spot fires that are effecting Bredbo and Michelago, these could easily run in the wrong conditions and unfortunately the spot fires have created a situation where towns like Michelago could be effected by any of three fires depending on the wind.
     
  21. Interruptedbyfireworks

    Interruptedbyfireworks One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Yeah it stressed me out for a bit today but was gone after an hour. No smoke when I rode home so clearly ok.


    The wind makes a huge difference doesn’t it! Looked decidedly apocalyptic as it was coming over this arve
     
  22. vibe++

    vibe++ One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    We still have fires to the south of us keeping us on edge. We have packed to evacuate 3 times in the last 3 weeks(Bega valley)
     
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  23. Seafm

    Seafm Too far from the snow Ski Pass: Gold

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    Watching it now on Qld time. And yes I think Jim Nolan is complete ****wit too. The climate scientist and the aboriginal elder have both hit the nail on the head.
     
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  24. Belly

    Belly A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    There is an article on swellnet, a shaper lost his family home a few days ago inland from Pambula (haven't read the article closely yesterday).
    And I know there's still fire activity in the Bodalla area.
     
  25. sbm_

    sbm_ One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    I'm starting to lose track, but I think it's the 85th day of this thread.
     
  26. Undies

    Undies Pizza! Ski Pass: Gold

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    We’ve almost become numb to fires. What a dark summer.
     
  27. kylep

    kylep Cage rattler Ski Pass: Gold

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    This is not a new phenomenon. We tend to get huge coverage on early season fires, fires close to big population centres, and fires with big impacts. Often only for a couple of the worst days and then it goes away, while the work continues.
    Corona has taken over as the latest ratings emergency and fires have moved to 'the recovery story'.

    And interestingly, this thread was started about fires from mid-November. NSW fires kicked off in a bad way even earlier, in August
     
  28. vibe++

    vibe++ One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Its tiring looking at weather forecasts everyday. Not being able to think about anything else.My greatest fear is becoming too complacent after all the near misses we have had. Cant this just be over.
     
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  29. telecrag

    telecrag Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Fingers crossed the progged weather starting Sunday or so actually happens, IMO good chance it will end the current fires.

    I have been talking with a few people from effected areas, and the trauma is palpable. And its ongoing. Survivor guilt (my house is still there), the constant burntness. one of my client from Batlow just visited, and he is coming to Canberra every week or so, as relief.
     
  30. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    A minor affect ..... everything in at the ponderosa smells of smoke.
     
  31. currawong

    currawong Old but not so Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    one of the reasons we left home for 10 days at the start of Jan. Didn't expect our place to really be in danger. We remember from other campaign fires how the smoke and the constant tension of having to know what's likely to happen gets to you.
     
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  32. telecrag

    telecrag Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    There are people who have been living with the stress for so long now. Id imagine that @Untele-whippet is not yet clear of that feeling. A friend of mine has been on and off, evacuated at times, and the fire is still threatening the property, over a month after the first approach. In the Blueys it is months and months of it.

    4 Corners was pretty good I thought last night. Not sure the channel 7 attempt tonight will be so thoughtful.
     
  33. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    TBC was just saying "the fires are stressing me out" and yet we are very much on the fringe. We will be driving through the Bredbo area tomorrow which is not going to help. (I was on my own last trip)
     
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  34. Untele-whippet

    Untele-whippet beard stroker Ski Pass: Gold

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    We first saw a plume from Gospers Mtn Fire on Sunday 27th October out in the Wollemi and watched it get closer for 2 months knowing it would definitely impact us somehow for weeks before 21st December when it hit.
    The waiting was draining.
    Wifey told me to go MTB at Thredbo with @telecrag the weekend before because there was no point watching and twiddling our thumbs at home as we were as prepared as best we could.
    The adrenaline arced up again last Monday driving on the Monaro past Tharwa then during this week when Erskine Creek went pyrocumulus.
    No smoke is great but every time we head out of Mt Vic down the Darling Causeway it’s like a depressing black scorched earth melancholy envelopes us.
    Almost no evidence of regrowth.
    The process of having the house ruins assessed and now removed hasn’t helped with any positivity either as has the fact a lot of the outdoor NP playgrounds we recreate in here are closed because of severe fire damage.
    Hopefully now with good rain and building plans moving along the mood will lighten.
    Most other previous fires have been here in a day then gone in another few days.
    Unprecedented this time.
    Am planning some winter adventures looking forward :)
     
  35. Rabid K9

    Rabid K9 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    That damage to the 'natural sanctuaries' I find hard in fire aftermath.

    You want to escape & enjoy the environment, but everything is stark & raw particularly with spring / early summer fires, where the long expanse of summer keeps many systems in a torpor before proper regeneration begins.

    Had to leave for a while after the last big fires in my area (2011). Ironically went to south coast NSW & Kosciusko.
     
  36. Rabid K9

    Rabid K9 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    I thought it also thoughtful, being largely first hand accounts. That poor fella from Cobargo who lost his father & brother....

    I also craved more information, more breakdown of conditions & fire behaviour, burn patterns & learnings, but this was't the time with events still unfolding.
     
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  37. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Tiffany's is just down the road.
     
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  38. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Sorry - got confused - thought it was the pm we had going on.
     
  39. Nidecker

    Nidecker One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Great shop, one in sydney as well

    [​IMG]
     
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  40. zac150

    zac150 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    $&@! The fire creep is bad, not sure how Corin is but +1 just told me they have turned on the sprinklers at Pryor hut.

    So many memories in that hut, so many nights I can’t remember due to red wine as well!
     
  41. Interruptedbyfireworks

    Interruptedbyfireworks One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Just going off the fires near me app it’s not looking good for Corin :cry:
     
  42. Legs Akimbo

    Legs Akimbo Grumblebum Ski Pass: Gold

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    Nothing compared to the real Tiffany's, or even the San Francisco branch.
     
  43. kylep

    kylep Cage rattler Ski Pass: Gold

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    Was quite balanced, first hand accounts and a bit of a preparation message but more left for people to digest and take their own message away rather than clearly having an angle as some stories have.

    I think leaving all of that other detail is what made it what it was.
     
  44. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    The hot spot overlay on bushfire.io earlier today looked worse for them. Luckily I've been busy all day and haven't really had a chance to look at info or think about fires for most of the day - except for going out in the smoke.

    This is the current overlay, not sure how long ago the hot spots were scanned.
     
  45. Belly

    Belly A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Re 4 corners, the father and daughter in East Gippsland (I think), wow, legends!!
     
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  46. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    hmm no longer current, it just updated after I pasted that.
    Not much of an improvement.
     
  47. telecrag

    telecrag Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Me too, and one really bad one, where I got hit with a bug at 2am, in the snow, OMG.
     
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  48. zac150

    zac150 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    +1 is really worried, I know she got some updates today at work and she has been pottering since, checks phone, then goes out the back and looks toward mountains, then comes back in dusts, cleans, wipes repeats.

    I have been dusted off the lounge three times.
     
  49. zac150

    zac150 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    once this is done and dusted we might do some hut tours on the bikes.
     
  50. zac150

    zac150 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Oh and not sure if already posted but there is another fire across the border from the ACT kind of behind Bimberi