Bushfire Australian Widespread Bushfire Risk on Tuesday 12th November - and beyond

Discussion in 'Systems & Events' started by Stillcold, Nov 10, 2019.

  1. zac150

    zac150 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Mar 19, 2010
    Messages:
    4,441
    Likes Received:
    7,169


    Not looking good!
     
  2. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 21, 2001
    Messages:
    34,942
    Likes Received:
    4,800
    Location:
    Canberra
    Better than the prediction map
     
  3. zac150

    zac150 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Mar 19, 2010
    Messages:
    4,441
    Likes Received:
    7,169
    yeah it shows wind direction and fire creep :D
     
  4. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 21, 2001
    Messages:
    34,942
    Likes Received:
    4,800
    Location:
    Canberra
    Haha. Though the radio comms has been saying that conditions have been easing off.
    Today could have been a lot worse.
     
  5. zac150

    zac150 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Mar 19, 2010
    Messages:
    4,441
    Likes Received:
    7,169
    I been watching some of the Bredbo Facebook posts and they seem to confirm the fire spread.


    The conditions do seem to be easing but the fire seems to still be marching south east
     
  6. PiniPowPow

    PiniPowPow One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

    Joined:
    Feb 16, 2010
    Messages:
    1,878
    Likes Received:
    1,555
    Location:
    NSW South Coast
    Currowan fire is smoking again north of Nowra. Visible from Gerringong

     
    telecrag likes this.
  7. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 26, 2002
    Messages:
    63,571
    Likes Received:
    38,789
    Location:
    Mountains
    The wind has died out in Jindy but still warm. Hopefully the lack of wind will help the awesome fire crews.
     
  8. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    19,549
    Likes Received:
    26,209
    Location:
    Eastern Burbs of Sydney
    Clear Range has a lot of spotting on the Eastern Side of Monaro Hwy.
    Wouldn't be surprised if that spark joins with the Peak View burn out, tomorrow.
     
  9. telecrag

    telecrag Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 12, 2007
    Messages:
    28,478
    Likes Received:
    36,894
    Yeah, I think the peak may be as the front comes in tomorrow.
     
  10. skull

    skull One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

    Joined:
    Jun 4, 2017
    Messages:
    1,766
    Likes Received:
    2,780
    Another day helping the afp with road blocks, door knocking and getting ready for evacuation. A couple of the lads got involved with catching some crooks too.

    Coppers said they’ve had a few trouble makers heading south trying to pinch shit.
     
  11. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    19,549
    Likes Received:
    26,209
    Location:
    Eastern Burbs of Sydney
    Chain 'em to an RFS truck.

    A lot of radio chatter about the spotting East of the Monaro... Gonna be long night for the nightwatchmen.
    Sounds like most will be 'left for tomorrow'.
     
    cold wombat and Chaeron like this.
  12. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 26, 2002
    Messages:
    63,571
    Likes Received:
    38,789
    Location:
    Mountains
    This is what the bush looks like before it burns. Dried and struggling to hang on in prolonged drought.

     
  13. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 21, 2001
    Messages:
    34,942
    Likes Received:
    4,800
    Location:
    Canberra
    needs a dislike button
     
    cold wombat, zac150 and Chaeron like this.
  14. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    19,549
    Likes Received:
    26,209
    Location:
    Eastern Burbs of Sydney
    Same, same, but different...
    [​IMG]
     
    cold wombat and dawooduck like this.
  15. teckel

    teckel Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2004
    Messages:
    44,603
    Likes Received:
    13,407
    Location:
    Narbethong, Vic
    Different. How? One has a label on it in case you don't know any better. The other assumes you know what it's for.
     
  16. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 21, 2001
    Messages:
    34,942
    Likes Received:
    4,800
    Location:
    Canberra
    ****, injured firefighter at Big Jack, he's called for an ambulance.

    edit: He says it's not serious, knocked his head.
    Though he does not sound all that good. Is on his way out of the area.
     
  17. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 21, 2001
    Messages:
    34,942
    Likes Received:
    4,800
    Location:
    Canberra
    Monaro has reopened - contra flow.

     
  18. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 21, 2001
    Messages:
    34,942
    Likes Received:
    4,800
    Location:
    Canberra
  19. kylep

    kylep Cage rattler Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Feb 10, 2012
    Messages:
    5,185
    Likes Received:
    8,423
    Location:
    Jumped the wall to Mexico
    Linescan shows some established spots on the elevated areas to the East of Colinton. Mapping has a large amount of spotting on the east of the Hwy between Colinton and Bredbo. I haven't yet looked at weather progression in particular wind today, but I can't see them easily rounding up in the hills on the east there, unless weather comes to the party.
     
    Kletterer and Untele-whippet like this.
  20. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 21, 2001
    Messages:
    34,942
    Likes Received:
    4,800
    Location:
    Canberra
    https://esa.act.gov.au/good-news-assets-saved

    Firefighting efforts on the Orroral Valley Fire have managed to save a number of precious assets in Namadgi National Park. These include:

    • Booth Repeater
    • Hospital Creek Hut
    • Yankee Hat Shed
    • Max and Berts Hut
    • Yankee Hat Artwork
    • Gudgenby Homestead > Glendale Depot
     
    Chaeron, zac150, cold wombat and 4 others like this.
  21. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 21, 2001
    Messages:
    34,942
    Likes Received:
    4,800
    Location:
    Canberra
  22. robbo mcs

    robbo mcs One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Sep 1, 2008
    Messages:
    2,795
    Likes Received:
    9,486
    Location:
    Kenthurst / Jindabyne
    My wife was in Jindy this morning. All landlines / mobile and internet was down, due to infrastructure damage from the fire. Apparently only people with satellite phones and satellite internet were able to get online. She drove up the monaro highway this morning, which obviously was open.
     
  23. davidg

    davidg Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Feb 4, 2009
    Messages:
    13,485
    Likes Received:
    15,739
    Location:
    Lower BM's
    Veiw of what I assume is the Pyrocumulus from the Erskine Creek fire from over the back fence at my place in Glenbrook.
     
  24. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 21, 2001
    Messages:
    34,942
    Likes Received:
    4,800
    Location:
    Canberra
  25. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    19,549
    Likes Received:
    26,209
    Location:
    Eastern Burbs of Sydney
  26. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 26, 2002
    Messages:
    63,571
    Likes Received:
    38,789
    Location:
    Mountains
    It's just keeps rolling on. Billingra looking north with fire burning against the wind. Better keep going while the road is open.
     
  27. kylep

    kylep Cage rattler Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Feb 10, 2012
    Messages:
    5,185
    Likes Received:
    8,423
    Location:
    Jumped the wall to Mexico
    Looks as though most of the section between Bredbo and Colinton on the EAST of the highway has been limited in spread.
    However EAST of Colinton a few kms and a little NORTH from there are a few large spot fires that are active all around.
    Looks to be the main area that has been knocked down is along the highway from Bredbo up toward Michelago. The rest of the fire looks to still have active on most of the perimeter
     
  28. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 26, 2002
    Messages:
    63,571
    Likes Received:
    38,789
    Location:
    Mountains
    Pretty much. Burning on west south flanks. May hook up with Good Good and bugtown burnt extremities.
     
  29. climberman

    climberman CloudRide1000 Legend Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2000
    Messages:
    40,253
    Likes Received:
    29,327
    Location:
    the sunny illawarra
    Any news of Rocky PLains / Wyndham / New Buildings?
     
  30. kylep

    kylep Cage rattler Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Feb 10, 2012
    Messages:
    5,185
    Likes Received:
    8,423
    Location:
    Jumped the wall to Mexico
    Haven't been following closely. Not very familiar with area, so very high level - plenty of work, plenty of fire from what I can see. Looks similar to a lot of the big jobs this season in that it's burning large areas of bushland, with communities squeezed in between, where they seem to be focusing the work.
     
    dawooduck and climberman like this.
  31. kylep

    kylep Cage rattler Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Feb 10, 2012
    Messages:
    5,185
    Likes Received:
    8,423
    Location:
    Jumped the wall to Mexico
    And then this just came out. Watch and Act

    Current Situation
    • The Big Jack Mountain fire is burning north of Rocky Hall.
    • Today we are seeing windy conditions, with Very High fire danger forecast for the area.
    • These conditions are increasing fire activity and will make it challenging for firefighters to slow the spread of fire.
    • There are a number of other fires burning in the area.
     
    climberman likes this.
  32. climberman

    climberman CloudRide1000 Legend Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2000
    Messages:
    40,253
    Likes Received:
    29,327
    Location:
    the sunny illawarra
    Ta. A mate has a shack there, and a friend of my +1 has a place there (both Rocky Hall). If they survived the weekend, today may come through.
     
    POW_hungry likes this.
  33. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 26, 2002
    Messages:
    63,571
    Likes Received:
    38,789
    Location:
    Mountains
    There where more homes lost this week in that area.
     
  34. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 21, 2001
    Messages:
    34,942
    Likes Received:
    4,800
    Location:
    Canberra
  35. DidSurfNowSki

    DidSurfNowSki One of them Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 19, 2014
    Messages:
    9,319
    Likes Received:
    17,883
    Location:
    Canberra, ACT
    Dislike
     
  36. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 21, 2001
    Messages:
    34,942
    Likes Received:
    4,800
    Location:
    Canberra
    The wind change is supposed to push smoke back over Canberra from later this afternoon.
     
    skull likes this.
  37. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Nov 26, 2014
    Messages:
    18,908
    Likes Received:
    20,045
    Location:
    Canberra
  38. D-eye

    D-eye Photographer and skier Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 21, 2001
    Messages:
    34,942
    Likes Received:
    4,800
    Location:
    Canberra
    The wind GFS seems to be different to Windy and others.
     
  39. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 28, 2000
    Messages:
    19,549
    Likes Received:
    26,209
    Location:
    Eastern Burbs of Sydney
    interesting to note that SW'ly fire front is still V active against the WSW flow.
    Speculatively, it must be sitting under exposed ridgelines, on face value.
     
  40. Interruptedbyfireworks

    Interruptedbyfireworks One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

    Joined:
    Jun 1, 2018
    Messages:
    1,176
    Likes Received:
    3,277
    Location:
    Queanbeyan, NSW
    The Beard Fire just popped back up on the ACT ESA website but it isn’t showing on the RFS fires near me website - does anyone know anything more about it?
     
  41. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 7, 2004
    Messages:
    23,614
    Likes Received:
    17,533
    Location:
    Dubbo NSW
    No idea but i reckon there'll be a few hipsters around with burnt chins.
     
    cold wombat, Normo, zac150 and 2 others like this.
  42. Interruptedbyfireworks

    Interruptedbyfireworks One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

    Joined:
    Jun 1, 2018
    Messages:
    1,176
    Likes Received:
    3,277
    Location:
    Queanbeyan, NSW
    LOL
     
  43. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 1970
    Messages:
    31,221
    Likes Received:
    16,317
    Location:
    Blue Mts
    Old work colleague has the shack right at Yaouk Gap... he'll be nervous.
     
    climberman and ecowain like this.
  44. ecowain

    ecowain One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2003
    Messages:
    1,919
    Likes Received:
    2,924
    Location:
    Mount Victoria, NSW
    Looks like the tinderries and the aptly named "strike a light" nature reserve are at threat.
     
  45. ecowain

    ecowain One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2003
    Messages:
    1,919
    Likes Received:
    2,924
    Location:
    Mount Victoria, NSW
    Looking at the satellite image, the SW boundary are along a major ridge line, Kelly, gudgenby, east side of Naas creek. Fire burning up the lee slopes.
     
  46. Seafm

    Seafm Too far from the snow Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 5, 2014
    Messages:
    5,055
    Likes Received:
    5,302
    Location:
    Cairns, Queensland
    The staff newsletter for work came out today and had an eye opening story from one of our staff members on the south coast. He's an RFS volunteer along with several other staff members involved with the SES etc. I'm going to seek his permission to put his experience on here tomorrow.
     
    climberman, telecrag and Homer like this.
  47. Snowfi

    Snowfi One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 27, 2011
    Messages:
    581
    Likes Received:
    430
    ACT State of Alert update this evening - fire 1.2km from Corin Forest. Crews pulled out. Owner defending, perhaps against advise.

    6km from Gordon, yet another evening at Watch and Act. Burnt leaves falling are cool so all still good.
     
  48. skull

    skull One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

    Joined:
    Jun 4, 2017
    Messages:
    1,766
    Likes Received:
    2,780
    Burnt leaves were falling in lanyon
     
  49. zac150

    zac150 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Mar 19, 2010
    Messages:
    4,441
    Likes Received:
    7,169
    Winds have changed to an unlike direction and further afield (Cooma etc) the wind speed is higher.

    Corin Forrest is now at risk
     
  50. ecowain

    ecowain One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2003
    Messages:
    1,919
    Likes Received:
    2,924
    Location:
    Mount Victoria, NSW
    Good luck this evening. Nervous friends in tharwa.