No, no rain at all. And I think it will be some considerable amount of time before we get any if any at all. I think we might get a few light showers in September before the severe bushfires start in October.No sign of any rain. Some places are getting quite desperate now.
When Rocky gets it's floods, it is seldom from rain that falls locally. It's always rains that fall elsewhere, like Emerald, West of Mackay or the Coal Fields etc. Which can be deceiving, and one might actually incorrectly assume that it had to rain to produce a flood, not so. And why a La Nina can cause floods in the Fitzroy, but sometimes little actual rainfall for the area.Maybe it will end with big floods next summer.
And it dries off further with Aug & September typically being the driest. I’m wondering if Rocky can do MJJAS with 0.0mm each month. Yet BOM are suggesting a greater chance of above average rain over winter. I’m not sure about you all, but I don’t believe anything the BOM produces.Yup was about to say that RC before I spotted your comment! I mean may is a drier month but Yeah not even a quick shower at all this month.....
the dry continues
And it dries off further with Aug & September typically being the driest. I’m wondering if Rocky can do MJJAS with 0.0mm each month. Yet BOM are suggesting a greater chance of above average rain over winter. I’m not sure about you all, but I don’t believe anything the BOM produces.
Current extended (4 year) drought (second pic) now looking worse in extent of area impacted than the early 1900s federation drought (first pic).
For shorter periods of drought Wide Bay Burnett and central Qld remains the epicentre.
Dunno what will break the trend but it will need a lot to undo the long term rain deficiencies
Pre sunrise Hervey BayYeah it's pretty incredible just how quickly many of the recent rain events have tapered off to nearly nothing in a line from about Rainbow Beach southwards, just inland of the coastline, over and over again, like clockwork, as shown by that chart. Meanwhile the coastal strip between the Sunshine Coast down to southern NSW has been doing just fine. It's almost like there's a forcefield in play of some sorts. Frustrating, but hoping there's a bit of relief soon.
Yeah it would seem that way. I was trying to imagine when the next significant rain would fall, namely in these amounts.This drought just marches on and on.
I do wonder how much topography has an influence?North QLD - tropical downpours, monsoon, cyclones
SEQ -> central NSW - regular spring/summer storms, ECLs, floods, snow in far SW
South NSW / Vic - severe storms, snow, floods, ECLs
Central QLD - Literally a dead-zone. You'll get the odd day of severe storms in the summer (which rarely reach the coast anyway), the odd convergence zone that'll produce 100mm+ usually in isolated spots, but other than that, literally nothing but blue sky and sunshine every day, whilst regularly watching storms decay as they approach our region during warm summer nights.
For storms, it's definitely a factor, but doesn't explain why storms used to make it off the ranges years ago but often fall apart nowadays. Rain events have become so scarce also because every upper system that moves into eastern QLD/NSW often cuts off into a bombing upper low, sucking everything southward. This explains all the recent flood events over SEQ/NSW in recent years, and drought everywhere to the north. Very rarely now do you see a good upper system move into these areas whilst remaining slow-moving without overamplifying.I do wonder how much topography has an influence?
WBB - CQ up to southern parts of NQ is where the great dividing range is the furthermost distance from the coast