Cyclone season 2016/17

Discussion in 'The Tropics & Cyclones' started by Claude Cat, Jan 28, 2016.

  1. piolet

    piolet Better make it three Ski Pass: Gold

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    Check the brissie radar loop. Eye, rotation... was wild here just before the circle got to us
     
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  2. sharkbait

    sharkbait One of Us

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    Weird eye over amberly, we're getting whipped by the southern tail of it. Didn't win members draw either. Stocked with beer so all good
     
  3. piolet

    piolet Better make it three Ski Pass: Gold

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    How can i record that loop on my s5?
     
  4. Cuddles

    Cuddles One of Us

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  5. Rush

    Rush Pool Room

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  6. telecrag

    telecrag Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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  7. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Must have been given the "local knowledge" from a Sydneysider.
     
  8. cruisin along

    cruisin along A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    You have been lucky .......absolutely pelting down here and has been since 4pm ...according to neighbour we have had 200mm since lunch time and that was at 10pm tonight.
    I am also right on the coast at Potty.
     
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  9. Ubiquitous Steve

    Ubiquitous Steve A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Qld/NSW radar looking a whole lot better now looks like most Sh..t has moved just off shore now in the early hours of this morning.Hope this is the case for you :)guys up in Nth NSW coastal regions...:thumbs:
     
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  10. Undies

    Undies Pizza! Ski Pass: Gold

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    Rain has eased here in Syd. Still a good breeze, though.
     
  11. telecrag

    telecrag Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Mates shop inundated.
     
  12. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Going to be a terrible day up around Lismore , Murwillumbah to say the very least.
    She's been one mother of a storm .
    Thoughts are with all those effected.
     
  13. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Footage taken just now
     
  14. parkmonkey

    parkmonkey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    No power since the early hours, 3G running slow, wind gusting to 100km/h
     
    #814 parkmonkey, Mar 31, 2017
    Last edited: Mar 31, 2017
  15. parkmonkey

    parkmonkey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Powers back can make a coffee
     
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  16. davidg

    davidg Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    :( man that is some serious flooding. Looks like the Wilson river will peak at about 11.5m sometime this morning, up to 540mm in 24 hours across the Wilson River valley! At least the rain has cleared out for now.
     
  17. parkmonkey

    parkmonkey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    800mm+ has fallen in 24hrs in locations in the hinterland :emoji_astonished:
     
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  18. telecrag

    telecrag Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Friends shop in Lismore has water more than half way up it, I reckon it may peak higher.
     
  19. Zimboo

    Zimboo A Local

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  20. telecrag

    telecrag Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    ^need more coal!
     
  21. Undies

    Undies Pizza! Ski Pass: Gold

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    My mate outside Murbah is still above water, but no chance of getting off his property. No sign of the SES yet, but he's still hopeful that they'll airdrop off some Nimbin hash brownies at some point to ease the boredom.
     
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  22. telecrag

    telecrag Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    I dont know how mine is going to go, it looks bad, he is not sure if insurance will cover it. I suggested he sue the council for not making the levy higher.
     
  23. parkmonkey

    parkmonkey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Sif he don't have his own crop living out there
     
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  24. parkmonkey

    parkmonkey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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  25. Undies

    Undies Pizza! Ski Pass: Gold

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    He's going to be installing some now as part of his disaster plan.
     
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  26. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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  27. Zimboo

    Zimboo A Local

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    Sewage plant / pump station failure Murwillumbah. Council asking residents not to use water/toilets etc. :eek:
    Council civil works plant under water in Sth Murwillumbah, so no access to maintenance equipment.
     
  28. jwx

    jwx One of Us

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    Cut in here for a brief look @ the tropics.
    [​IMG]
    Lots of upper-level divergence/uplift is still centred over the Indonesia,
    region the walker cell has been parked there since the la-nina re-amearged, months ago.

    [​IMG]
    Current walker cell position, is where it should be in nina/neutral
    conditions.



    [​IMG]
    GFS indicating the U-level divergence spreading E along the
    EQ and the top-end and out along the Spac also active.
    What you would see with a passing cckw.




    [​IMG]
    GFS spins up a disturbance in the arafura sea and a smaller one
    in the sw of the GOC.


    [​IMG]

    Precip signature's of the disturbances.
     
  29. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Just giving a rap where it's due.
     
  30. jwx

    jwx One of Us

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    Yeah its a nice gesture on behalf of STIHL.

    The other mob is just out to make a buck from,
    videos of the storm.
     
  31. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah I get that.
    But do you reckon they going to make more $ than what it cost them all to chase ?
     
  32. Zimboo

    Zimboo A Local

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    Win/win. No need to do more.
     
  33. jwx

    jwx One of Us

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    EC 00z giving some weight to a possible TC topend and one
    in the spac mid April.

    [​IMG]


    [​IMG]
     
  34. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah there seems to be a tropical low NW of WA on most models including GFS, GEM and EC. Only GEM and GFS seem to show cyclogenesis in the system.

    GEM is showing another tropical low, undergoing cyclogenesis in the Northern Coral Sea too.
     
  35. jwx

    jwx One of Us

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    CMC is a good snow model, as a tropical model for sniffing
    out systems its not worth 1 indonesian rupiah .:)
     
  36. Seafm

    Seafm Too far from the snow Ski Pass: Gold

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    Is this the model that used to be called No Gaps. If so, yes it is claimed to be hopeless.
     
  37. jwx

    jwx One of Us

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    #837 jwx, Apr 1, 2017
    Last edited: Apr 1, 2017
  38. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    Good to know. Will see how this one goes.
     
  39. jwx

    jwx One of Us

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    I don't see anything on synoptic's atm to support the cmc,
    suspect its a classic phantom cs storm.
     
  40. Seafm

    Seafm Too far from the snow Ski Pass: Gold

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  41. jwx

    jwx One of Us

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    Without EC/GFS support i don't have any interest in that model storm.

    You not have got around to answering if you have sighted any dragonfly aka horse- shoe fly,

    Being from the tropic's you would know what that usually means.
     
    #841 jwx, Apr 2, 2017
    Last edited: Apr 2, 2017
  42. Nidecker

    Nidecker One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    How far inland does the rain have to fall, before it flows inland to lake eyre rather than seaward?
     
  43. Ubiquitous Steve

    Ubiquitous Steve A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    What is transpiring in Rockhampton.We hear its getting significant flooding.
     
  44. jwx

    jwx One of Us

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    [​IMG]


    [​IMG]


    [​IMG]

    I think there maybe something further east maybe around 160E,
    could develop and likely track SE.
     
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  45. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Don't know.
    I'll check it out and get back to you.
     
  46. jwx

    jwx One of Us

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    If you think the public should chip $ in then you should join their subscriber base if that's your thing.:)
     
    #846 jwx, Apr 2, 2017
    Last edited: Apr 2, 2017
  47. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Thought about it when I first saw their stuff but no...
    Having second thoughts about my wz upgrade , most you can track down for free, tho the extras does work for me.
     
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  48. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    They have EPS to 15 days at WZ, don't they?
     
  49. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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  50. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    EC.


    gfs